Archrock, Inc.

Archrock, Inc. (AROC) Market Cap

Archrock, Inc. has a market capitalization of $6.29B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $35.87

-0.43 (-1.18%)

Market Cap: 6.29B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: D. Bradley Childers

Sector: Energy

Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

IPO Date: 2007-08-21

Website: https://www.archrock.com

Archrock, Inc. (AROC) - Company Information

Market Cap: 6.29B · Sector: Energy

Archrock, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company in the United States. It operates in two segments, Contract Operations and Aftermarket Services. The company engages in the designing, sourcing, owning, installing, operating, servicing, repairing, and maintaining its owned fleet of natural gas compression equipment to provide natural gas compression services to customers in the oil and natural gas industry. It also offers various aftermarket services, such as sale of parts and components; and provision of operation, maintenance, overhaul, and reconfiguration services to customers who own compression equipment. The company was formerly known as Exterran Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Archrock, Inc. in November 2015. Archrock, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Analyst Sentiment

78%
Strong Buy

Based on 18 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $36.00

Average target (based on 2 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$40

Median

$40

High

$40

Average

$40

Potential Upside: 11.5%

Price & Moving Averages

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 ARCHROCK INC (AROC) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Archrock Inc (AROC) is a leading provider of natural gas compression services in the United States. The company plays a crucial role in the midstream energy sector, supporting the reliable transport and processing of natural gas from production sites to end users. By offering contract compression services and aftermarket parts and maintenance, Archrock enables energy producers, processors, and transporters to maintain consistent gas flows and maximize production uptime. The company primarily focuses on long-term, fee-based contracts, which provide a degree of revenue stability and recurring cash flows. Its fleet comprises thousands of compression units of varying sizes and horsepower, tailored to meet a broad array of customer needs in shale and conventional gas plays across North America.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Archrock generates revenue through two primary channels: contract operations and aftermarket services. The contract operations segment involves leasing out compression equipment, along with operational expertise, to customers under longer-term agreements. This model ensures a steady stream of recurring revenues, as customers typically require reliable compression over multi-year horizons to keep gas moving efficiently through pipelines. The aftermarket services segment centers on providing parts, maintenance, and overhaul services for both Archrock-owned and customer-owned compression equipment. While the aftermarket business is more transactional and cyclical, it capitalizes on a large installed base and ongoing demand for equipment maintenance across the industry.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Archrock’s core competitive advantages stem from its scale, operational expertise, and deep industry relationships. The company operates one of the largest standardized fleets of natural gas compression equipment in the United States, offering customers broad coverage and flexibility. Archrock also differentiates itself through its technical expertise and history of reliable service delivery—attributes that foster stickier customer relationships and high contract renewal rates. Its comprehensive maintenance platform reinforces uptime commitments, while the company’s focus on safety and environmental performance aligns increasingly with customer and regulatory priorities. Additionally, Archrock’s embedded presence in key American production basins establishes durable barriers to entry, as new entrants face significant capital, logistics, and relationship hurdles.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Archrock’s long-term growth outlook is supported by several structural drivers in the North American natural gas market. The ongoing shift toward natural gas as a cleaner energy source continues to fuel domestic production, particularly from shale gas plays that require extensive compression infrastructure. Increased liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports and international demand growth also underpin the need for reliable midstream services. Furthermore, midstream infrastructure buildout in high-growth basins, combined with the trends of longer laterals and declining reservoir pressures, are expected to sustain demand for compression services. Technological advancements in compression efficiency and fleet electrification present opportunities for Archrock to differentiate and capture value through premium offerings targeted at ESG-conscious customers.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Despite its strengths, Archrock faces several notable risks. The company’s fortunes are closely tied to natural gas production levels, which are influenced by commodity price volatility, regulatory developments, and broader energy transitions. Prolonged low gas prices or unfavorable policy shifts could depress industry activity and reduce compression demand. Competitive pressures remain, particularly from local or regional compression service providers and alternative technical solutions. High capital intensity also presents balance sheet and operational leverage risks, necessitating prudent asset management and capital allocation. Technological disruption or a pronounced secular shift away from fossil fuels could further impact long-term demand for Archrock’s services.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Archrock is generally viewed as a yield-oriented, midstream services provider with a business model characterized by recurring revenue and cash flow visibility. The company's enterprise value is typically assessed on a multiple of EBITDA, reflecting its capital-intensive, asset-heavy profile and fee-based contracts. Investors evaluate Archrock’s payout stability, growth prospects, and capital structure efficiency against those of other energy infrastructure businesses. Dividend sustainability, leverage ratios, and the ability to self-fund modest growth or fleet reinvestment without reliance on equity issuance are key considerations. The broader market perspective balances the company’s stable cash flows and elevated yield with sectoral headwinds, cyclical exposure, and transition risk considerations.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Archrock Inc occupies a critical niche in the midstream energy chain, underpinned by its expansive fleet, operational expertise, and long-standing customer relationships. Its focus on contract compression services provides cash flow stability even in variable commodity environments, while the aftermarket segment offers cyclical upside. Secular trends toward natural gas consumption—both domestically and for export—support a favorable multi-year demand backdrop for compression solutions, augmented by opportunities in newer, environmentally oriented fleet investments. Nonetheless, investors must weigh these strengths against commodity sensitivity, capital intensity, and the broader uncertainties facing hydrocarbon infrastructure over the coming decades. For investors seeking yield and exposure to midstream energy infrastructure, Archrock presents a blend of dependable income and moderate growth potential—tempered by sector-specific and macro risks.

⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"AROC reported revenue of $377.07M and a net income of $116.77M, indicating solid profitability with a net income margin of approximately 31%. The company exhibits robust cash generation with operating cash flow of $214.48M. While there are no capital expenditures reported, the free cash flow aligns with operating cash flow, showcasing a sustainable operational aspect. AROC carries total assets worth $4.35B against total liabilities of $2.86B, leading to a solid equity base of $1.49B. The company's leverage, reflected in a net debt of $2.42B, necessitates monitoring, as it indicates a reliance on debt financing. With a market price of $37.02, an impressive 1-year price appreciation of 35.55% underscores strong market performance, complemented by dividends totaling $0.82 during the reporting period. This gives a favorable backdrop for shareholder returns despite a slightly high debt profile. Overall, AROC illustrates good growth potential, a strong earnings track, and value in returning cash to shareholders."

Revenue Growth

Positive

Consistent revenue generation of $377.07M.

Profitability

Good

Net income margin of 31% reflects strong profitability.

Cash Flow Quality

Good

Solid cash flow generation with operating cash flow of $214.48M.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Neutral

Net debt is high, but assets cover liabilities adequately.

Shareholder Returns

Strong

Strong price appreciation of 35.55% and consistent dividends.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Good

Price targets and sentiment indicate positive outlook.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Management is clearly upbeat: they highlight 95.5% utilization, sustained >95% utilization for 11 quarters, strong contract-ops margins (~78% reported; 71.5% underlying), and 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $865M–$915M ($890M midpoint). They also reinforced a shareholder-friendly capital stance (dividend to $0.22/share; $117.7M remaining buyback authorization; leverage down to 2.7x and targeting <3x). However, the Q&A exposed two real pressure points. First, supply chain lead times have extended materially (Caterpillar gating gas-drive equipment; 110–120 weeks for large horsepower). Their mitigation is operationally specific: 2026 deliveries are 85% committed, with limited remaining new bookings and early booking into 2027. Second, management acknowledged pricing power is more constrained in 2026—rate increases expected but at more modest levels—while margin comparability is distorted by discrete tax items and asset-sale EBITDA swings.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • 170,000 horsepower expected to be delivered in 2026 (from growth CapEx 2026)
  • Compression demand durability tied to Permian associated gas growth (mid-single-digit) and continued LNG export capacity build-out
  • Electric motor drive compression demand remains supportive (order share expected to remain ~20%–30%, lumpy/inconsistent)
  • Reliability/automation push (standardized field operating model; digital tools, analytics, machine learning; expanded remote monitoring) to reduce unplanned downtime and expand utilization

Business Development

  • Caterpillar is identified as the gating supplier for gas-drive equipment long lead items
  • Customer equipment demand remains strong/contracted (2026 backlog described as 85% contracted; 2027 already booked)

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Adjusted EPS +68% vs 2024; adjusted EBITDA +51% vs 2024
  • Q4 2025 adjusted EBITDA: $269M; full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA: $901M; net income Q4: $117M; net income FY: $322M
  • Underlying performance beat expectations; discrete items added noise: $23M cash net benefit (prior period sales and use tax audit settlements/credits) to contract ops cost of sales; $32M net gains from compression and other asset sales
  • Excluding discrete items, FY 2025 adjusted EBITDA would have been $846M vs last guidance midpoint range $835M–$850M
  • Contract operations adjusted gross margin: ~78% in Q4 (reported increase driven by $23M prior-period cash tax settlements/credits); underlying operating gross profitability 71.5% in Q4 (up from 70% in Q3, excluding out-of-period tax items)
  • Aftermarket Services Q4 adjusted gross margin: 24% vs 23% in Q3/prior-year
  • 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance: $865M–$915M ($890M midpoint)
  • Gross margin noise/bridge: 2025 vs 2026 adjusted EBITDA comparison impacted by $98M (tax-related $33M benefit in 2025; asset sales items: $47M gains recognized in 2025 and ~-$18M reduction in 2026 EBITDA estimate; $12M of the $18M not yet in some analyst forward estimates due to late-year sale)

AI IconCapital Funding

  • 2025 capital returns: $212M dividends + share repurchases (share repurchases via program; total shareholder returns up >70% YoY)
  • 2026 growth CapEx guidance raised/refined to $250M–$275M (was stated minimum $250M); total FY 2026 capex: $400M–$445M
  • Q4 dividend increased to $0.22/share (annualized $0.88): +5% QoQ, +16% YoY
  • Dividend coverage: quarterly cash available for dividend $189M; 4.9x coverage on the increased dividend
  • Remaining share repurchase authorization at year-end: $117.7M
  • Debt/liquidity: total debt $2.4B at FY end; available liquidity $579M (pro forma liquidity >$1.3B after $800M issuance)
  • Leverage: 2.7x at year-end (down from 3.3x in Q4 2024); guided/expected to operate below 3x in near term
  • Debt actions: redeemed $300M of 2027 notes at par; upsized $800M 8-year bond issuance priced at 6% (lowest rate cited in compression sector / tightest yields cited in energy high-yield context)

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Utilization durability: exited Q4 with 95.5% utilization; full utilization (>=95%) maintained for 11 consecutive quarters
  • Stop activity at historically low levels; equipment staying on location longer: average time on location 73 months+ (up 61% since 2021); for >=1,500 HP units: 97 months+
  • Operating horsepower at quarter end: 4.6M; sequential decline of ~80,000 horsepower driven by new build deliveries more than offset by sale of ~123,000 horsepower (84,000 active horsepower completed at year-end)
  • FY 2025 asset sales: 325,000 horsepower sold for $192M proceeds; net gains on asset sales $47M; asset sales reduced estimated 2026 adjusted EBITDA by ~ $18M
  • Front-loaded 2026 startup: ~60% of the ~170,000 delivered horsepower expected to start up in the first half of 2026

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Backlog: 85% contracted for 2026; units already booked for 2027 delivery
  • Market volumes: US natural gas production expected to reach record levels for the 6th consecutive year in 2026; Permian gas volumes expected to grow mid-single-digit rates; oil expected relatively flat
  • Infrastructure demand tailwinds: 4.6 Bcf/day of additional takeaway capacity, particularly 2H 2026; 2 Bcf/day additional FID LNG export capacity coming online in 2026; 14 Bcf/day of additional export capacity expected to come online through 2030 (final investment decisions already made)

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Supply chain gating/lead time extension: gas-drive equipment lead item gating on Caterpillar; large horsepower equipment lead times out to 110–120 weeks (longer for larger horsepower)
  • Mitigation stated: 2026 horsepower is already 85% committed/allocated to meet customers’ needs for the year; company has started booking horsepower into 2027 and expects to meet customer growth needs through 2027 despite extended supply chain
  • Pricing pressure risk tempered: 2026 installed-base price increases expected at more modest levels; market described as 'well priced' after having caught up with inflation
  • Operational margin noise: gross margin reported benefit in Q4 and FY included discrete $23M prior-period cash tax settlements/credits (out-of-period items could mask underlying trend)

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the AROC Q4 2025 (FY 2025) / Guidance for 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (AROC)

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