ASGN Incorporated

ASGN Incorporated (ASGN) Market Cap

ASGN Incorporated has a market capitalization of $1.68B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $39.44

0.22 (0.56%)

Market Cap: 1.68B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: Theodore S. Hanson

Sector: Technology

Industry: Information Technology Services

IPO Date: 1992-09-22

Website: https://www.asgn.com

ASGN Incorporated (ASGN) - Company Information

Market Cap: 1.68B · Sector: Technology

ASGN Incorporated provides information technology services and professional solutions in the technology, digital, and creative fields for commercial and government sectors in the United States. It operates through two segments: Commercial and Federal Government. The Commercial Segment provides consulting, creative digital marketing, and permanent placement services primarily to Fortune 1000 and mid-market clients. This segment also offers workforce mobilization, modern enterprise, and digital innovation IT consulting services; and cloud, data and analytics, and digital transformation solutions. The Federal Government Segment provides mission-critical solutions to the department of defense, intelligence agencies, and civilian agencies. This segment offers cloud, cybersecurity, artificial intelligence, machine learning, application and IT modernization, and science and engineering solutions. The company was formerly known as On Assignment, Inc. and changed its name to ASGN Incorporated in April 2018. ASGN Incorporated was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Glen Allen, Virginia.

Analyst Sentiment

55%
Hold

Based on 7 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $54.89

Average target (based on 3 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$45

Median

$60

High

$65

Average

$56

Potential Upside: 42.5%

Price & Moving Averages

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 ASGN INC (ASGN) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

ASGN Incorporated is a leading provider of IT and professional staffing services, advanced consulting, and project-based solutions. The company operates at the intersection of workforce agility and digital transformation, offering specialized talent placement and high-value technology consulting across a range of end markets, including commercial enterprises, government, and healthcare sectors. Through a blend of business units and subsidiaries, ASGN delivers solutions that address clients' needs for project management, software development, cybersecurity, cloud migration, and general and niche talent acquisition. ASGN’s business is structured primarily under two segments: commercial (comprising IT and healthcare staffing and consulting for private sector clients) and federal government solutions (serving U.S. government customers with technical and mission-critical services). The company leverages deep domain expertise, a broad contractor base, and geographic reach across North America to serve Fortune 1000 enterprises and federal agencies. Its solution-driven approach combines traditional recruitment with consultative services, providing flexibility and scalability to clients navigating the digital economy.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

ASGN generates revenue through two core channels: 1. **Staffing Services:** This includes the placement of highly-skilled IT, creative, engineering, and scientific professionals on contract, contract-to-hire, and permanent placement arrangements. Clients typically pay ASGN an hourly or project-based fee for contract staffing. For permanent placements, ASGN earns one-time fees based on a percentage of the candidate's first-year compensation. 2. **Consulting & Solutions:** ASGN’s higher-margin segment provides end-to-end consulting for technology transformation, digital modernization, application development, IT security, cloud adoption, and other specialized initiatives. These engagements are project-based and priced on a fixed-fee or time-and-materials basis, often involving complex, long-duration contracts, particularly in its government solutions business. The revenue mix is balanced between recurring, shorter-term staffing contracts and longer-duration consulting projects. This diversification supports resiliency through economic cycles and enhances margins as ASGN transitions toward a greater share of value-add consulting revenues.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

ASGN enjoys several competitive advantages in a fragmented staffing and consulting industry: - **Specialization in High-Demand Fields:** The company differentiates itself by focusing on sectors with durable, secular growth trends—such as IT modernization, cloud migration, data analytics, and cybersecurity—rather than commodity staffing segments. - **Dual Commercial and Federal Franchise:** ASGN’s ability to serve both leading private enterprises and the U.S. federal government gives it a unique customer footprint and revenue diversification. - **Strong Talent Networks and Proprietary Database:** The company maintains a substantial database of top-tier technical professionals, allowing for swift matching of complex client needs with specialized talent. - **Branding via Subsidiaries:** Operating brands such as Apex Systems, ECS, and Creative Circle provide market recognition and credibility, attracting both clients and consultants. - **Compliance and Security Credentials:** In the federal space, ASGN benefits from required security clearances and compliance standards that serve as significant entry barriers for new competitors. - **Robust Client Relationships:** Long-standing relationships with blue-chip clients and agencies support contract renewals and recurring business from multi-year digital transformation trends.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

ASGN’s long-term growth outlook is anchored by several secular and company-specific catalysts: - **Digital Transformation Initiatives:** Enterprises and government agencies continue to invest in digitization, cloud migration, automation, and cybersecurity—fields where ASGN has deep capabilities. - **Secular IT Talent Shortages:** The persistent gap between demand for technology professionals and available supply supports favorable pricing and utilization rates for specialized staffing and project solutions. - **Expansion in Government Services:** Federal investment in IT infrastructure, defense, and intelligence drives increased demand for specialized consulting and technical services. - **Shift Toward Higher-Value Consulting:** ASGN’s strategic focus on moving up the value chain—away from traditional staffing toward solutions and consulting—supports margin expansion and differentiation. - **Acquisition & Integration Model:** The company has a track record of disciplined acquisitions, integrating smaller boutique firms and consultancies to broaden capabilities and client reach. - **Diversification Across Industries:** Serving end-markets including healthcare, financial services, government, and communications insulates ASGN from industry-specific volatility.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Investors should monitor several key risks: - **Economic Sensitivity:** Demand for staffing and consulting services may be affected by macroeconomic slowdowns, which typically prompt clients to defer projects or reduce contractor usage. - **Talent Supply Constraints:** While IT talent gaps benefit ASGN, acute shortages or wage inflation could pressure delivery timelines, costs, or client satisfaction. - **Client Concentration:** ASGN’s government solutions business can be exposed to contract renewals, appropriations cycles, and procurement delays. High client concentration may result in revenue lumpiness. - **Competitive Pressures:** The broader staffing and consulting industry faces persistent competition from large established players, boutique consultancies, and networks of independent contractors. - **Integration and Execution Risks:** Continued mergers and acquisitions activity introduces the risk of execution missteps, cultural challenges, or the failure to realize anticipated synergies. - **Regulatory and Compliance Risks:** Federal contracting exposes the company to evolving standards, audit scrutiny, and potential changes in government spending priorities.

📊 Valuation & Market View

ASGN is typically valued within the context of staffing peers and technology consultancies—often using EV/EBITDA, P/E, and EV/Sales multiples. The transition toward a higher mix of consulting revenues justifies a valuation premium to traditional staffing companies, reflecting higher margins and greater visibility. ASGN also tends to command a multiple between pure-play staffing and pure consulting peers, given its hybrid business model. Longer-term, investors anticipate expansion of margins and cash flow as ASGN continues its emphasis on value-added solutions, recurring contracts, and mission-critical government programs. The market generally appreciates the company’s defensible positions in both commercial and federal end-markets, its demonstrated acquisition discipline, and the ongoing secular tailwinds underpinning demand for specialized talent and digital services.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

ASGN Incorporated presents investors with exposure to resilient trends in technology staffing, digital transformation, and public sector IT modernization. The company’s strategic shift toward higher-value consulting, its balanced exposure to both commercial and government end-markets, and strong client relationships underpin a durable competitive position. While macroeconomic sensitivity, competition, and talent supply issues remain perennial risks, ASGN’s focus on in-demand specialization and its integrated service model enable it to outpace legacy staffing providers. For investors seeking a plays on secular IT spending, diversified end-market exposure, and a gradually accretive business mix, ASGN offers a compelling long-term opportunity within the mid-cap staffing and solutions sector.

⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"ASGN reported a revenue of $980.1M and a net income of $25.2M for the year ending December 31, 2025. The company has a strong asset position with total assets of $3.6864B against total liabilities of $1.8824B, resulting in substantial equity of $1.804B. Despite a negative 1-year price change of 40.34%, ASGN generated positive free cash flow of $82.2M, indicating solid cash generation capabilities. However, the company has no dividends paid, which may concern income-focused investors. The current market price of $38.02 appears undervalued relative to the consensus price target of $56.2, implying potential upside. Leverage is present with net debt at $1.0671B, but the balance sheet remains relatively strong given the asset-to-liability ratio. Overall, while revenue growth is steady, the significant decline in market performance raises questions about future profitability and investor sentiment."

Revenue Growth

Positive

Steady revenue growth with $980.1M reported.

Profitability

Fair

Net income margin is moderate at 2.57%.

Cash Flow Quality

Positive

Strong cash flow generation with $82.2M free cash flow.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Neutral

Decent balance sheet with assets exceeding liabilities, but notable debt.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

No dividends with a significant stock price decline.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Lower market performance but consensus price target suggests upside.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

So what: management is pitching a transition to higher-margin, AI-enabled digital engineering (Everforth brand + Quinox + AI Factory) while acknowledging near-term financial pressure points. The Q&A pressure centered on timing—federal awards and book-to-bill improvement after ODBA/approval delays—plus how much gross margin can sustainably be earned “post-Doge.” Management’s answers were candid: Doge is lapping in March 2026, with federal gross margin expected to normalize around ~20% (and possibly a bit higher), while commercial assignment work remains softer (-12% YoY) due to macro-sensitive staffing demand and clients being “judicious” about opening the staffing spigot. Despite this, adjusted EBITDA margin beat (11%) and free cash flow strength (87% conversion) supported share repurchases and confidence in handling post-Quinox leverage (~2.9x vs 2.5x target). Net: constructive on AI-driven demand and deal execution, but cautious on timing-driven variability in federal revenue conversion and margin normalization.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • AI demand: nearly 80% of enterprises planning to increase AI spending in 2026 (management commentary)
  • Commercial consulting bookings record $444.4M; book-to-bill 1.3x for the quarter and 1.2x TTM
  • Federal pent-up demand in Q1 after lengthy government shutdown delayed Q4 awards
  • New AI Factory framework launched in November to address fragmented tools, governance complexity, and resource constraints
  • Quinox integration to nearly double (QoQ) Q4 bookings for application engineering & services practice

Business Development

  • Acquisition intent: Quinox for $290M cash; expected close in March (subject to HSR approval)
  • Quinox alliance partnerships: AWS, Databricks, Salesforce, SAP, Calypso
  • Federal: Department of Homeland Security / Continuous Diagnostic and Mitigation Program Office awarded additional funding to deploy Elastic AI capabilities at scale; Elastic named ASGN top services partner of the year
  • Federal: ServiceNow positioning with agentic capabilities across DHS, DoD, and DOE initiatives
  • Federal: Strategic partnership with Wiz (acquiring by Google); first engagement with Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS)
  • Commercial: Selected as one of the first Workday partners approved to deploy Paradox (candidate experience agent)
  • Salesforce 360 partnership: integrating AgentForce into Slack to enable search of Salesforce CRM
  • Commercial data/cloud example: telecom client centralizing marketing data in Snowflake; aligned to Snowflake Cortex governance foundation

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Revenues $980.1M (top end of guidance); commercial IT consulting mix 63% of total (vs 59% prior year)
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin 11% (exceeded expectation; driven by greater commercial mix)
  • Commercial segment: revenue +0.9% YoY; +2.2% sequential on billable-day adjusted basis
  • Assignment revenue $359.2M (-12% YoY) due to macro-sensitive softness in parts of commercial
  • Commercial consulting revenue $339.4M (+19.2% YoY); excluding TopLock, consulting improved mid-single digits
  • Federal segment: revenue $281.5M (-3.7% YoY)
  • Federal gross margin decline: 60 bps YoY to 19.9%, primarily from loss of higher-margin contracts related to Doge; impact to anniversary in March 2026
  • Q4 effective tax rate 36.4% vs 28% forecast; driven by discrete one-time items not included in guidance
  • Q4 free cash flow $93.7M; conversion ~87% of adjusted EBITDA (vs conversion target 60%-65%)
  • Q4 share repurchases: $64.2M; 1.4M shares at avg price $46.5
  • Full-year free cash flow $288.1M; 68.2% of adjusted EBITDA
  • Full-year repurchases: $170.1M; 3.1M shares at avg price $55
  • Guidance impact: Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin expected ~100 bps sequential decline due to annual payroll tax reset
  • Guidance impact: Q1 2026 does not include Quinox contribution; Quinox expected low-to-mid teens revenue growth on ~$100M 2025 revenue; adjusted EBITDA margin in low 20% range; assume 9 months of Quinox revenues in full-year 2026
  • FY 2026 guidance: revenue $960M-$980M; net income $25.8M-$29.4M; adjusted EBITDA $93.5M-$98.5M; adjusted EBITDA margin 9.7%-10.1%

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Revolver: $500M senior secured revolver; ~$455M available at quarter end
  • Cash and cash equivalents: $161.2M at quarter end
  • Net leverage ratio: 2.4x at quarter end
  • Post-Quinox leverage expectation: ~2.9x net leverage after funding acquisition with cash + revolver borrowings
  • Share repurchase authorization: newly approved $1B program; remaining ~$972M on $1B authorization after Q4/FY activity
  • Quinox purchase agreement: $290M cash; close anticipated in March (post-HSR)

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Brand consolidation: Everforth new unified commercial + federal customer/investor-facing brand debuting in first half of 2026
  • Cost savings program: management referenced a three-year cost savings plan totaling net $80M; moderate in 2026 and building in 2027-2028
  • Structural cost savings ramp: acquisition integration & strategic planning expenses of $10.7M included in Q4 SG&A (not included in previously announced guidance estimate)
  • Operational delivery expansion plan: Quinox adds highly global delivery centers in India to build offshore delivery platform; complements nearshore operations in Mexico
  • AI governance tooling: AI Factory Watchtower with built-in TrustOps being demoed to federal and commercial clients

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Q1 2026 guidance assumptions: 62 billable days (same as year-ago; one more than 2025); typically low single-digit revenue decline from Q4 to Q1 despite billable-day increase due to seasonal reset
  • Federal award timing risk/expectation discussed: management expects award activity to improve in areas supported by Department of Defense/security/intelligence once shutdown resolution completes (except noted DHS items)
  • Deleveraging pathway referenced by CEO: target delever back below 2.5x within 18-24 months after prior higher-leverage acquisitions (context for comfort)

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Federal: Doge contract margin headwind laps in March 2026; management indicated the impact likely <2% total revenues (~$15M) and federal gross margin steady-state around ~20% after
  • Commercial: assignment revenue down 12% YoY tied to macroeconomic cycle sensitivity in parts of commercial segment
  • Operational/awards timing: lengthy government shutdown delayed award activity in Q4; analyst follow-up highlighted slow percolation of ODBA funding into contracts/revenue
  • Tax rate overhang: Q4 effective tax rate 36.4% vs 28% guidance forecast due to discrete one-time items
  • Leverage/financing risk: post-close leverage expected to rise to ~2.9x (management frames as modestly leveraged vs historical up to ~3.8x)

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the ASGN Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (ASGN)

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