Backblaze, Inc.

Backblaze, Inc. (BLZE) Market Cap

Backblaze, Inc. has a market capitalization of $252.1M.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $4.20

β–² 0.07 (1.57%)

Market Cap: 252.12M

NASDAQ Β· time unavailable

CEO: Gleb Budman

Sector: Technology

Industry: Software - Infrastructure

IPO Date: 2021-11-11

Website: https://www.backblaze.com

Backblaze, Inc. (BLZE) - Company Information

Market Cap: 252.12M Β· Sector: Technology

Backblaze, Inc., a storage cloud platform, provides businesses and consumers cloud services to store, use, and protect data in the United States and internationally. The company offers cloud services through a web-scale software infrastructure built on commodity hardware. It also provides Backblaze B2 Cloud Storage, which enables customers to store data, developers to build applications, and partners to expand their use cases. This service is offered as a consumption-based Infrastructure-as-a-Service (IaaS) and serves use cases, such as backups, multi-cloud, application development, and ransomware protection. In addition, the company offers Backblaze Computer Backup that automatically backs up data from laptops and desktops for businesses and individuals, which provides a subscription-based Software-as-a-Service and serves use cases, including computer backup, ransomware protection, theft and loss protection, and remote access. It serves the public cloud IaaS storage and Data-Protection-as-a-Service markets. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in San Mateo, California.

Analyst Sentiment

75%
Strong Buy

Based on 8 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $7.67

Average target (based on 2 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$5

Median

$8

High

$9

Average

$7

Potential Upside: 66.9%

Price & Moving Averages

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πŸ“˜ Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

πŸ“˜ BACKBLAZE INC CLASS A (BLZE) β€” Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Backblaze provides cloud-based data protection and storage services centered on reliable offsite backup. The business typically sells software-driven subscriptions to end users and teams, then delivers the service through a scalable storage infrastructure. Customers install a client (or enable an application workflow), define what data to back up, and the platform continuously uploads and manages backups. The value chain is anchored in (1) customer onboarding and retention via backup software experience, (2) data ingestion and replication to Backblaze-managed storage, and (3) ongoing backup integrity, restore readiness, and customer support.

Revenue is closely linked to data volume, backup frequency, retention settings, and the breadth of devices coveredβ€”creating a service that expands within the existing customer relationship once a backup workflow is established.

πŸ’° Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Backblaze monetizes primarily through subscription products. This structure drives a recurring revenue profile because backups must continue as long as customers want ongoing data protection. Monetisation also correlates with storage usage and retention choices, which can translate into incremental revenue as customers add devices, increase data volume, or extend backup horizons.

Margin drivers are largely operational: storage density and utilization, cost of hardware and power, efficiency of data transfer, and the proportion of customer value delivered through standardized infrastructure. Because backup services are highly repeatable at scale, incremental revenue can support attractive contribution margins if infrastructure costs remain controlled and restore/repair processes stay efficient.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

The strongest moat is switching costs. Once customers have configured backup targets, retention policies, and restore workflows, migrating away requires reconfiguring endpoints, re-creating backup histories, and validating recovery. That practical effort is meaningful for both consumers and small businesses, where data recovery reliability is a primary purchase criterion.

The platform also benefits from operational know-how and cost advantages in storage-heavy businesses. In this sector, execution matters: hardware lifecycle management, storage utilization, and reliability engineering directly influence per-GB economics. Competitors can enter the market, but sustaining superior unit economics and recovery performance across hardware generations is non-trivial.

There is limited emphasis on traditional network effects, but there can be indirect engagement stickiness: customers who successfully restore and rely on backup services tend to remain with the same provider to avoid operational risk and revalidation effort.

πŸš€ Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Over a 5–10 year horizon, growth should be supported by durable tailwinds rather than short-lived product cycles:

  • Secular shift toward offsite backup and disaster recovery: Rising frequency of device loss, ransomware incidents, and cloud-to-cloud data sprawl increases demand for reliable backup that can be restored under stress.
  • Data growth and higher average storage footprints: More photos, video, documents, and system data increases addressable backup volume per customer.
  • Broader protection behavior across households and small businesses: Expanded multi-device usage and tighter recovery expectations raise the likelihood of maintaining paid subscriptions.
  • TAM expansion through product packaging: Adding tiers, retention options, and endpoint coverage can expand revenue per account without proportional increases in go-to-market costs.
  • Infrastructure scalability: In storage services, growth can be accompanied by improved cost efficiency as volumes increase and infrastructure execution matures.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Key risks are structural and should be tracked with a disciplined view of unit economics and reliability:

  • Capital intensity and cost inflation: Storage hardware, networking, and energy costs can pressure margins if per-GB economics deteriorate or if utilization targets lag.
  • Technological disruption: Changes in client backup architectures, compression/transfer paradigms, or shifts in customer preference toward alternative backup models could require product and infrastructure adaptation.
  • Reliability and recovery performance: Backup credibility is existential. Any rise in restore failures, backup corruption, or operational outages can damage retention and increase support costs.
  • Regulatory and data governance requirements: Cross-border data handling, privacy obligations, and security standards can increase compliance cost and constrain data placement.
  • Competitive pricing pressure: Large cloud and storage providers can compress pricing. Sustained share gains depend on maintaining differentiated unit economics and a trusted recovery experience.

πŸ“Š Valuation & Market View

Equity valuation for storage and data protection services typically reflects (1) the sustainability of recurring revenue, (2) gross margin and contribution margin trajectory, and (3) long-term per-GB cost trends. Markets often price these businesses with frameworks that blend revenue multiple thinking with operating leverage expectationsβ€”rather than focusing solely on near-term earnings.

For investors, valuation typically becomes more favorable when indicators show improving cost efficiency, durable retention, and credible path to operating leverage. Conversely, valuation headwinds appear when infrastructure costs rise faster than revenue per account or when reliability issues increase churn and operating expense.

πŸ” Investment Takeaway

Backblaze’s long-term thesis rests on a subscription-driven backup model with meaningful switching costs once customers have configured backup and recovery expectations. The investment case is strengthened when storage operations demonstrate consistent cost discipline and reliable restore performance, allowing revenue growth to translate into improving unit economics over time. The central question for multiyear investors is whether per-GB economics and retention remain resilient amid competitive pricing and evolving infrastructure costs.


⚠ AI-generated β€” informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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πŸ“Š AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"BLZE has reported revenue of $37.76M with a net loss of $5.41M and an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.0937. The company's operating cash flow stands at $9.31M, providing a positive cash flow despite the absence of capital expenditures or paid dividends. With total assets of $191.83M against total liabilities of $108.61M, the total equity is at $83.22M, indicating a reasonable balance sheet. However, the stock price has declined significantly over the past year, dropping by 35.62%. Given the company's challenges reflected in its negative net income and declining stock price, it faces hurdles in profitability and investor sentiment. While there are no dividends paid, the positive cash flow and ongoing operations could provide some reassurance, though the leverage indicated by the net debt of $52.57M is noteworthy. Overall, share price performance undermines the otherwise stable financial metrics, leading to a cautious outlook."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

Revenue remains relatively stable but no substantial growth has been noted.

Profitability

Neutral

The company is currently operating at a loss, indicating poor profitability.

Cash Flow Quality

Positive

Positive operating cash flow suggests good cash generation capabilities.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Fair

A manageable balance sheet with a reasonable level of leverage indicated by net debt.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

Negative price change reflects poor shareholder returns over the past year.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Caution

Mixed analyst sentiment with a low stock price relative to consensus target.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Management delivered a solid Q4 with revenue of $37.8M in line with guidance and adjusted EBITDA margin of 28% (~+600 bps vs the high end of guidance), plus positive adjusted FCF (+$4M, 11% margin). The tone is confident around operating leverage and AI opportunity (B2 Neo, neocloud pipeline), but the Q&A reveals the real pressure points behind the derisked outlook. The biggest hurdle is timing and variability: Q4 B2 was below expectation because multiple deals closed very late (late November), so they didn’t benefit Q4. For 2026, they explicitly underwrite only contractual minimum commitments and exclude large swing deals, implying NRR could approach ~100% for 1–2 quarters even though full-year NRR should be closer to ~110% (Β±200–300 bps). Gross margin headwinds are also concrete: data center cost increases and accelerated CapEx should pressure gross margins by a few hundred bps, prompting a structural optimization initiative. Overall, the analyst pressure translates into guidance conservatism rather than optimism.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • B2 Neo launched: high-performance white-label storage offering for neoclouds (to reduce their capital costs/engineering time)
  • Flamethrower start-up program launched to engage high-growth companies early
  • Upmarket expansion: 168 customers with >$50k ARR, +35% YoY; cohort ARR +73% YoY to $26M
  • Expansion within installed base via proactive processes to capture additional share of wallet across 119,000+ B2 customers
  • AI GTM momentum: 75% growth in number of AI workflow customers; AI customer growth ~3x average customer growth rate

Business Development

  • Largest contract in company history: over $15M total contract value (8-figure TCV) with a neocloud customer
  • Signed multiple multibillion-dollar neoclouds (6- and 7-figure deals; first 8-figure deal noted); discussions with half a dozen others
  • B2 Neo developed in collaboration with neocloud customers

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Q4 total revenue: $37.8M (in line with guidance)
  • Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin: 28% (exceeded high end of guidance by ~600 bps); doubled YoY
  • Adjusted EBITDA outperformance driven by nonrecurring items (variable comp alignment + office restructuring savings); even excluding onetime items, still above 22% high-end guidance
  • Q4 adjusted free cash flow (FCF): +$4M; margin 11% (exceeded outlook of FCF neutral)
  • Cash & marketable securities at quarter-end: $51M
  • Q4 gross margin: 62% (flat sequential; +7 pts YoY from 55%); adjusted gross margin: 80% vs 78% YoY
  • Outlook shift: derisked 2026 by excluding large swing deals and underwriting only contractual minimum commitments for high-variable usage customers
  • Q1 2026 guidance: revenue $37.6M to $38.0M; adjusted EBITDA margin 18% to 20%
  • Full-year 2026 guidance: revenue $156.5M to $158.5M; adjusted EBITDA margin 19% to 21%; adjusted FCF roughly neutral
  • B2 growth guidance: 20% YoY for 2026; Q2–Q3 range 12%–19% with ~20% for full year (lumpiness driven by prior large variable customer comps)

AI IconCapital Funding

  • No plan to raise additional capital; growth funded via operating cash flows and capital leases
  • Potential capital structure optimization: shifting compensation to performance-based RSUs (no buyback/debt amounts disclosed in transcript)

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Go-to-market transformation initiatives: (1) increase awareness via Flamethrower, (2) improve pipeline consistency via top-of-funnel system upgrades + scaled demand gen, (3) expand installed-base revenue via proactive share-of-wallet capture
  • Organizational build-out: hired VP of Revenue Operations; hiring/leaders for revenue operations/systems/cust success noted (including planned sales development leader + revenue operations leader); Elias Mendoza joined as strategic transformation leader
  • Gross margin optimization initiative launched to offset increased costs via structural improvements across pricing, packaging, and infrastructure

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • 8-figure neocloud deal timing: expects no meaningful revenue in 2026 as development/switching work completes; in 2027 expected to contribute >300 bps to B2 revenue growth
  • NRR outlook (derisked for 2026): factoring out usage above minimum commitments from the large variable customer implies NRR could approach ~100% for 1–2 quarters, but overall NRR expected closer to ~110% for the year (Β±200–300 bps)
  • Computer backup (non-B2 referenced by management): expected to decline ~5% YoY in 2026; Q1 ~-3%, building through the year to average ~-5%

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Gross margin headwinds in 2026: data center cost/equipment increases plus need to accelerate CapEx for capacity tied to large deal; expected gross margin reduction of 'a few hundred basis points' (ongoing structural factor)
  • White-label/large-scale solution can carry lower gross margin but lower OpEx as well (management asserts economics net out)
  • Revenue timing variability: larger customers with $500k+ ARR have longer, less predictable sales cycles; swing deals excluded from guidance underwriting
  • NRR volatility: due to lumpiness from the large variable customer, NRR could go toward ~100% for 1–2 quarters in 2026 before normalizing
  • Computer backup demand/customer base shrinking: expected decline ~5% YoY, with Q1 closer to -3%

Sentiment: CAUTIOUS

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the BLZE Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (BLZE)

Β© 2026 Stock Market Info β€” Backblaze, Inc. (BLZE) Financial Profile