Carter's, Inc.

Carter's, Inc. (CRI) Market Cap

Carter's, Inc. has a market capitalization of $1.48B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2026-01-03

Price: $40.23

1.07 (2.75%)

Market Cap: 1.48B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: Douglas C. Palladini

Sector: Consumer Cyclical

Industry: Apparel - Retail

IPO Date: 2003-10-28

Website: https://www.carters.com

Carter's, Inc. (CRI) - Company Information

Market Cap: 1.48B · Sector: Consumer Cyclical

Carter's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, and markets branded childrenswear under the Carter's, OshKosh, Skip Hop, Child of Mine, Just One You, Simple Joys, Carter's My First Love, little planet, and other brands in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Retail, U.S. Wholesale, and International. Its Carter's products include babies and young children products, such as bodysuits, pants, dresses, knit sets, blankets, layette essentials, bibs, booties, sleep and play products, rompers, and jumpers; and OshKosh brand products comprise playclothes, such as denim apparel products with multiple wash treatments and coordinating garments, overalls, woven bottoms, knit tops, and bodysuits. The company also provides products for playtime, travel, mealtime, bathtime, and homegear, as well as kid's bags and diaper bags under the Skip Hop brand. In addition, it offers bedding, cribs, diaper bags, footwear, gift sets, hair accessories, jewelry, outerwear, paper goods, socks, shoes, swimwear, and toys. The company operates 18,800 wholesale locations, including department stores, national chain stores, and specialty stores. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 980 retail stores. The company also sells its products through its eCommerce websites, such as carters.com, oshkoshbgosh.com, oshkosh.com, and skiphop.com, as well as other international wholesale accounts and licensees. Carter's, Inc. was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Analyst Sentiment

61%
Buy

Based on 24 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $29.44

Average target (based on 2 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$25

Median

$32

High

$40

Average

$32

Downside: -19.8%

Price & Moving Averages

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📘 Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 CARTERS INC (CRI) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Carter’s, Inc. (CRI) is the largest branded marketer of young children’s apparel in the United States, focusing primarily on the design, sourcing, and marketing of apparel for babies and young children under several brand banners. The company’s most well-known brands include Carter’s, OshKosh B’gosh, Skip Hop, and Little Planet, all of which are positioned toward the value-to-moderate price point within the children’s apparel market. Carter’s maintains a diversified approach through both wholesale and direct-to-consumer retail channels, including company-operated stores, e-commerce platforms, and a robust wholesale business with major retailers and mass merchandisers. Its products encompass a wide assortment of everyday essentials such as bodysuits, pajamas, and seasonal goods, as well as accessories and gift sets, targeting parents, grandparents, and gift-givers.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Carter’s generates its revenue through a combination of retail, e-commerce, and wholesale channels: - **Retail (Company-operated stores):** Carter’s operates branded stores across the U.S. and Canada, offering a broad assortment of products. These locations focus on high-traffic shopping centers and outlet malls to maximize brand exposure. - **E-commerce:** The company manages dedicated e-commerce websites for its brands, serving both domestic and international customers. Digital channels have grown in strategic importance, offering personalized experiences and exclusive products. - **Wholesale:** Partnerships with leading retailers—including national chains, department stores, and mass merchants—enable Carter’s to reach a larger customer base. The company maintains long-term relationships with key retail partners who carry Carter’s and OshKosh B’gosh products. - **International:** Carter’s also engages in licensed and franchised operations internationally, through distribution partners and international wholesale relationships, allowing expansion into select foreign markets. Revenue is primarily earned through the sale of finished apparel and accessories. The company’s monetization benefits from a recurring demand pattern, as children outgrow clothing rapidly, ensuring a degree of consistency in demand.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Carter's enjoys several enduring competitive advantages: - **Leading Brand Recognition:** The Carter’s and OshKosh B’gosh brands possess high trust and widespread recognition among U.S. families, giving the company a notable edge over niche competitors and private labels. - **Scale and Distribution Capabilities:** Carter’s sizeable retail footprint, strong wholesale partnerships, and omni-channel infrastructure create significant barriers for new entrants and competitors seeking similar reach. - **Design and Product Innovation:** In-house design teams develop attractive, functional, and fashionable products tailored to customer needs, reinforcing loyalty and differentiating Carter’s from generic private labels. - **Supply Chain and Sourcing Efficiency:** Long-standing supplier relationships and robust supply chain management allow the company to deliver quality products at competitive prices, keeping inventories aligned to demand and minimizing markdown risk. - **Data-driven Merchandising:** The company leverages data across digital and physical channels to optimize assortment planning, promotions, and personalized marketing, driving greater engagement and conversion. Carter’s market positioning is squarely within the “value” segment, balancing affordability with quality and style, which resonates with a broad demographic cross-section of U.S. families. Its scale affords it prime retail locations, and its product quality and brand perception foster high rates of repeat purchases.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Carter’s growth thesis rests on several structural and company-specific drivers: - **Expansion of Child Population:** While birth rates fluctuate, the need for baby and toddler apparel is recurring and relatively inelastic; new parents and steady population influxes underpin demand. - **Digital Transformation:** Ongoing investments in digital commerce, omnichannel integration (such as buy-online-pickup-in-store), and mobile app engagement provide avenues for increased customer acquisition and retention. - **International Expansion:** Carter’s international wholesale, licensing, and franchise models offer a scalable pathway to penetrate underrepresented markets in Canada, Mexico, and select global territories. - **Product Innovation and Adjacency:** Continued development of new lines (e.g., organic and sustainable collections, baby gear via Skip Hop) expands basket sizes and increases the company’s relevance throughout early childhood. - **Brand Extension:** Strategic branding efforts, including collaborations and exclusive collections with key retail partners, support both brand visibility and pricing power. - **Operational Efficiencies:** Ongoing focus on supply chain optimization, inventory management, and cost containment supports margin enhancement and free cash flow conversion.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Investors should remain vigilant of several risks inherent in Carter’s business model: - **Macro-Economic Sensitivity:** Slower consumer spending, inflationary pressures, or economic downturns may dampen discretionary purchases. - **Retail Channel Disruption:** Changing shopping habits, reduced foot traffic to malls and outlets, or store closures can pressure sales from the company-operated retail segment. - **Competitive Landscape:** Intensified competition from both legacy brands, private labels, and digitally native upstarts can compress margins and erode market share, particularly if Carter’s cannot maintain its value proposition. - **Supply Chain Disruptions:** Dependence on third-party manufacturing and international logistics introduces vulnerability to geopolitical events, tariffs, labor shortages, or transportation bottlenecks. - **Brand Relevance:** The company’s brands must continually innovate and refresh to stay relevant with millennial and Gen Z parents; stagnation in product design or marketing can curtail customer loyalty. - **Foreign Exchange and Regulatory Risk:** International activities expose Carter’s to currency volatility and compliance with foreign regulatory frameworks.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Carter’s is often evaluated on a blend of traditional valuation metrics such as price-to-earnings, enterprise value-to-EBITDA, and free cash flow yield. The company’s valuation is influenced by its consistent cash generation, healthy dividend payout, and historical track record of capital returns via share repurchases. Market perception often centers on Carter’s ability to deliver stable, recession-resistant earnings and sustained revenue growth, particularly given secular trends in e-commerce penetration and international expansion. Relative to specialty apparel peers and broadline retailers, Carter’s often trades at a modest premium thanks to its brand equity and category leadership within children’s apparel.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Carter’s, Inc. presents an investment case supported by its leading market position, brand strength, and omni-channel business model within the durable and essential children’s apparel market. The company benefits from recurring demand, robust supply chain capabilities, and opportunities in digital and international growth. While exposed to cyclical retail risks, competitive pressures, and shifting consumer preferences, Carter’s overall value proposition centers on its trusted brands, operational execution, and shareholder-friendly capital allocation. For investors seeking exposure to a consumer staples-like segment within the broader apparel sector, Carter’s offers a combination of defensive stability and thoughtfully managed growth potential.

⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-01-03

"CRI reported revenue of $925.45M and net income of $64.22M for the latest quarter. The company shows solid profitability with an EPS of $1.81. The operating cash flow stands at $258.64M, and after accounting for capital expenditures, the free cash flow is $247.60M, indicating good cash flow quality. On the balance sheet, total assets are at $2.57B, with liabilities of $1.64B and a net debt of $725.05M. This results in total equity of $925.05M, highlighting a reasonably balanced capital structure. Shareholder returns include a consistent dividend of $0.25 paid quarterly. Although the market performance shows a 1-year decline of 18.45%, the recent 6-month recovery of 17.76% indicates potential for rebound. The target price consensus suggests that investors can aim for upside, contributing to a moderate valuation sentiment."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

The revenue growth is stable, reflecting consistent demand.

Profitability

Positive

Profitable operations with a substantial EPS of 1.81.

Cash Flow Quality

Good

Strong free cash flow of $247.60M demonstrates healthy cash management.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Neutral

Leverage is moderate with a manageable net debt position.

Shareholder Returns

Fair

Regular dividends are paid, but share price performance has declined.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Analyst targets suggest potential upside but current price performance is under pressure.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Carter’s management is explicitly confident in brand-led pricing power and productivity-driven margin recovery, but the Q&A pressure centers on whether tariffs can truly be neutralized. In prepared remarks, management guided 2026 with low-to-mid single-digit sales and operating income growth while warning gross margin must decline “somewhat” and first-half profitability is tariff-weighed. The hard number that anchors the risk: 2026 assumes >$200M gross tariff impact versus $60M gross in 2025, partially offset by “significant assumed pricing increases” and supply chain mitigation. In Q&A, the CFO reframed the tariff burden as largely stable by half (more weighted to 2H but “reasonably comparable”) and highlighted they are “at the lower end” of the prior $200M-$250M estimate. Incremental operational hurdles are also clear: store closures (~60 in 2026) and productivity savings ($35M) are meant to offset demand/tech investment and tariff drag, but the magnitude of margin compression remains the near-term gating item.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • DTC: all apparel brands and all age segments grew in Q4; ecommerce traffic up (double-digit) driving comps
  • Reduced promotional activity / more clean-ticket selling supporting AUR gains
  • Baby segment momentum: 6th consecutive quarter of baby growth in Q4
  • Active consumer count continued to grow in Q4 (driven by higher-rate new Gen Z consumers mixing into better/best assortments)

Business Development

  • Little Planet crossed $100M in sales; growth plans in Wholesale and Retail for FY2026
  • Purely Soft (Carter's sleepwear) referenced as example of pricing-up on less promotion
  • Wholesale exclusives: Child of Mine and Just One You strength cited; Simple Joys down YoY in Q4

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Q4 net sales: $925M (+8% YoY); 13-week/comparable basis +3% (extra 53rd week contributed ~$37M)
  • Q4 gross margin: 43.2% (down 460 bps YoY); tariff gross impact ~$40M (about double Q3 impact)
  • Q4 adjusted SG&A: $315M (+5% YoY) with 90 bps of spending leverage; driven by 53rd week and demand creation/product/in-store investments
  • Q4 adjusted operating income: $89M; adjusted operating margin nearly 10%; segment op income down overall: Retail & Wholesale declined, International partially offset
  • Q4 adjusted EPS: $1.90 vs $2.39 last year (lower profitability and tariff/product cost pressures)
  • Effective tax rate: 15.4% in Q4 (340 bps below last year) driven by higher non-U.S. income mix and delayed Hong Kong minimum tax implementation
  • 2026 outlook: net sales growth low-to-mid single digits vs 2025; adjusted operating income growth low-to-mid single digits; back-half weighted profitability
  • 2026 gross margin: expected to decline somewhat vs 2025 (despite offsets); first-half profitability down vs second half due to tariff timing and less pricing offset in Wholesale
  • 2026 adjusted EPS: expected down low double digits to down mid-teens vs FY2025 adjusted EPS of $3.47
  • 2026 tariff gross impact assumption: >$200M gross (management now at lower end of prior $200M-$250M expectation; offset by pricing/supply chain mitigation)
  • Q1 2026 guide: net sales +mid single digits YoY; Q1 gross margin down ~400 bps YoY (tariff net unfavorable impact is primary driver)
  • Q1 2026 SG&A: spending up ~3% (demand creation + tech + higher wage/rent)
  • Q1 2026 adjusted operating income: $12M-$15M; Q1 EPS projected $0.02-$0.08; Q1 effective tax rate ~37% (non-typical due to stock-based comp tax effects)

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Debt: issued $575M new 5-year senior notes at 7.375% (replaced prior notes); maturity extended
  • Revolver: replaced with new $750M asset-based revolving credit facility (5-year tenor)
  • Liquidity: year-end liquidity >$1B (just under $500M cash + borrowing capacity)
  • Dividends: $56M paid in 2025
  • Cash flow: 2025 operating cash flow $122M (declined YoY due to lower earnings and higher inventories tied to higher incremental tariffs)
  • CapEx 2026: ~$55M (new Mexico stores, DC upgrades, technology)

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Store rationalization: close ~150 lower-margin North America stores through 2028; last year closed ~35; 2026 intended closings ~60
  • Cost savings: Q3 2025 rightsize office workforce targeting ~$35M cost savings in 2026; also discretionary spending reductions
  • Product/process productivity: 3-month faster development cycle; 20%-30% reduction in product choices (Carter's Inc. and OshKosh) to improve speed-to-market and assortment productivity
  • Tech productivity: leveraging AI to pilot/test consumer & product insight tools; bringing proprietary real estate market planning platform online in 2026
  • Wholesale model changes: greater adoption of mainline product and reduced reliance on wholesale exclusives

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • 2026 full-year: net sales low-to-mid single digits; adjusted operating income low-to-mid single digits; operating income back-half weighted (first half down)
  • 2026 gross margin rate: decline somewhat vs 2025
  • 2026 net interest expense: just under $40M; EPS impact from higher interest ~($0.30)
  • 2026 effective tax rate: ~22% (vs 19% in 2025) due to Hong Kong global minimum tax and higher proportion of worldwide income in U.S.
  • Q1 2026: net sales +mid single digits; U.S. Retail growth high single digits with comps mid single digits; U.S. Wholesale net sales down low single digits; International net sales +double digits (Mexico + Canada drivers)
  • Easter timing: earlier Easter expected to benefit Q1 2026

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Tariffs are the dominant forecast variable: management excluded last week’s tariff developments from guidance; uncertainty remains on policy outcomes
  • Tariff gross impacts: Q4 gross impact $40M; 2025 referenced gross impact $60M; 2026 assumption increases to >$200M gross (offset only via pricing and supply chain/productivity actions)
  • Timing mismatch: first-half 2026 profitability weighed down by tariff comparability and weaker pricing offset in U.S. Wholesale due to sell-in timing; second-half expected to stabilize
  • Macro: consumer spending confidence and employment metrics signal caution
  • Gross margin pressure in Q1 2026: down ~400 bps YoY driven principally by net unfavorable tariff impact

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the CRI Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (CRI)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Carter's, Inc. (CRI) Financial Profile