Dana Incorporated

Dana Incorporated (DAN) Market Cap

Dana Incorporated has a market capitalization of $5.07B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $37.89

0.04 (0.11%)

Market Cap: 5.07B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: R. Bruce McDonald

Sector: Consumer Cyclical

Industry: Auto - Parts

IPO Date: 2008-01-02

Website: https://www.dana.com

Dana Incorporated (DAN) - Company Information

Market Cap: 5.07B · Sector: Consumer Cyclical

Dana Incorporated provides power-conveyance and energy-management solutions for vehicles and machinery in North America, Europe, South America, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in four segments: Light Vehicle Drive Systems, Commercial Vehicle Drive and Motion Systems, Off-Highway Drive and Motion Systems, and Power Technologies. The Light Vehicle Drive Systems segment offers axles, driveshafts, e-axles, electrodynamic and drivetrain components, and transmissions, as well as electric, hybrid, and ICE products for light trucks, sport and crossover utility vehicles, vans, and passenger cars. The Commercial Vehicle Drive and Motion Systems segment provides axles, driveshafts, e-axles, e-transmissions, electrodynamic and drivetrain components, and electric vehicle integration services, as well as software as a service for medium and heavy duty trucks, buses, and specialty vehicles. The Off-Highway Drive and Motion Systems segment offers axles, driveshafts, transmissions, planetary hub drives, e-axles and e-drives, and helical and bevel-helical gearboxes, as well as electrodynamic, hydraulic, and drivetrain components for construction, earth moving, agricultural, mining, forestry, material handling, and industrial stationary markets. The Power Technologies segment offers gaskets and sealing, cover modules, heat shields, thermal management, e-thermal management, cooling, and bipolar fuel cell plates products for light vehicle, medium/heavy vehicle, and off-highway markets. The company was formerly known as Dana Holding Corporation and changed its name to Dana Incorporated in August 2016. Dana Incorporated was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Maumee, Ohio.

Analyst Sentiment

68%
Buy

Based on 24 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $31.13

Average target (based on 4 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$32

Median

$36

High

$42

Average

$37

Downside: -2.3%

Price & Moving Averages

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📘 Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 DANA INCORPORATED INC (DAN) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Dana Incorporated is a global leader in the design and manufacture of highly engineered driveline, sealing, and thermal-management products for automotive, commercial, and off-highway vehicles. The company serves original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket, with an emphasis on solutions that improve fuel efficiency, performance, and sustainability across light vehicles, commercial trucks, and off-highway machinery. Dana’s operations emphasize close collaboration with OEM customers throughout the product development cycle, leveraging vertically integrated design, manufacturing, and assembly capabilities across its global footprint.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Dana’s revenues are primarily generated from the sale of drive systems, power technologies, and e-propulsion solutions for vehicle manufacturers and aftermarket customers. The primary segments include Light Vehicle Driveline Technologies, Commercial Vehicle Driveline Technologies, Off-Highway Drive and Motion Technologies, and Power Technologies. The company derives sales from both long-term supply agreements with global OEMs and recurring aftermarket parts and service sales. While most contracts with OEMs are based on multi-year programs, aftermarket operations provide more stable and higher-margin revenue streams. Additionally, Dana offers specialized engineering services and technical support to supplement its core manufacturing business, providing further opportunities for monetization.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Dana’s competitive advantage stems from its extensive engineering expertise, broad product portfolio, and global manufacturing footprint. The company’s active involvement in electric vehicle (EV) and hybrid technology development positions it as a key partner for OEMs transitioning to electrified platforms. With a legacy spanning over a century, Dana commands a robust supply chain network and long-standing customer relationships, including supply partnerships with leading automakers and heavy-equipment manufacturers. Its diversified customer base mitigates dependency on any single geographic region or OEM. Continuous investment in R&D, coupled with intellectual property and patents portfolio, fortifies Dana’s ability to innovate and differentiate within a rapidly evolving mobility landscape.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Multiple secular trends underpin Dana’s multi-year growth prospects:
  • Electrification: The accelerating adoption of electric and hybrid vehicles is fueling demand for Dana’s e-Propulsion systems and thermal management solutions, particularly as OEMs seek integrated, lightweight, and efficient driveline components.
  • Aftermarket Expansion: Aging global vehicle fleets extend demand for replacement parts and maintenance services, a segment in which Dana maintains strong brand recognition and distribution reach.
  • Off-Highway and Commercial Market Penetration: Increasing infrastructure spending and investment in construction and agricultural equipment support higher demand for Dana’s off-highway business.
  • Emerging Markets Expansion: Investment in manufacturing and sales capabilities in growth markets enables Dana to capitalize on vehicle market maturity cycles globally.
  • Technological Innovation: Ongoing investment in engineering advanced driveline, sealing, and thermal-management solutions differentiates Dana as a premium supplier for evolving vehicle platforms.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Investors should monitor several key risks associated with Dana’s business:
  • Automotive Industry Cyclicality: Demand for Dana’s products is closely tied to global vehicle production volumes, which are inherently cyclical and sensitive to macroeconomic shocks.
  • Raw Material and Supply Chain Volatility: Fluctuations in the prices or availability of key raw materials (e.g., steel, aluminum) and supply chain disruptions can negatively impact margins and operational continuity.
  • Customer Concentration: While Dana serves a diversified client base, a significant portion of revenues may still be concentrated among a limited number of large OEMs.
  • Technological Disruption: Rapid advancements in electrification, autonomy, and alternative propulsion technologies may impact traditional driveline components sales.
  • Regulatory Changes: Evolving environmental, safety, and trade regulations could impact cost structures or require additional CapEx and R&D investment.

📊 Valuation & Market View

The valuation of Dana Incorporated typically reflects its positioning as a diversified automotive supplier with solid exposure to high-growth electrification markets alongside stable legacy businesses. Peer group analysis suggests that Dana trades at valuation multiples consistent with tier-one auto suppliers, factoring in near-term cyclical pressures as well as long-term secular tailwinds. The market tends to view Dana’s R&D investments in EV technologies as a positive differentiator, although execution risk during industry transitions remains a focal point. The company’s strong cash flow generation, commitment to balance sheet management, and capital allocation towards strategic growth reinforce its investment profile. Yield and return potential are often benchmarked against both legacy auto part manufacturers and emerging mobility solution peers.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Dana Incorporated offers investors exposure to the confluence of traditional automotive strength and transformational growth in vehicle electrification and advanced mobility solutions. The company’s established relationships with global OEMs, diversified revenue base, and ability to innovate support its competitive positioning through industry cycles. Key growth catalysts include increasing demand for electrified driveline components, aftermarket expansion, and penetration into high-growth off-highway and emerging markets. Nonetheless, investors should be mindful of cyclicality, input cost fluctuations, and technological disruption risk. For portfolios seeking balanced exposure to both legacy and forward-looking automotive trends, Dana represents a considered, research-driven investment opportunity in the evolving mobility supplier landscape.

⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"DAN reported significant negative revenue of -$6.2B and a net loss of -$168M for the period ending December 2025. The company has total assets valued at $7.808B against total liabilities of $6.888B, resulting in a total equity of $920M. Operationally, DAN posted a negative operating cash flow of -$54M and free cash flow of -$103M, highlighting cash flow challenges. Despite these factors, the stock has seen remarkable price appreciation, with a 1-year price change of 126.48%, reflecting strong market confidence despite earnings difficulties. The presence of dividends paid, totaling $13M recently, suggests efforts to generate shareholder returns, albeit the overall financial performance indicates a pre-revenue scenario effectively, emphasizing the need for turnaround strategies."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

Company reported negative revenue, indicating fundamental challenges.

Profitability

Neutral

Net loss demonstrates significant profitability issues.

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

Negative operating and free cash flow highlight poor cash generation.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Caution

Leverage is manageable with reasonable equity to support obligations.

Shareholder Returns

Positive

Strong price appreciation with dividends paid indicate some shareholder return strategy.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Fair

Positive price movement suggests optimism, though financial metrics remain concerning.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

So What? Dana exited 2025 with tangible upside in profitability and cash: Q4 margin 11.1% (+640 bps YoY adjusted EBITDA margin), full-year adjusted EBITDA margin 8.1% (+300 bps), and adjusted free cash flow of $331m (+$250m), the highest since 2013. Management’s tone is confident—cost run-rate now $325m, stranded costs (~$40m) expected to be largely eliminated in 2026, and 2026 guidance calls for ~$800m adjusted EBITDA and +~250 bps margin expansion. However, the Q&A pressure highlights that longer-term sales/margin ambition relies on multiple assumptions beyond near-term backlog: to bridge the gap to $10bn by 2030, management cites CV normalization ($2.3bn), aftermarket sealing/gaskets ($250m), and applied technologies ($400m–$500m), plus efficiencies. Analyst skepticism also surfaced around EV cancellations and recoveries: management admitted short-term profit benefit is limited and is mainly timing/price adjustments rather than a major tailwind.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Backlog supports 2026: $750m total 3-year net backlog, with $200m flowing through in 2026
  • North America CV share gains tied to performance/quality/cost at new Mexico low-cost greenfield facility (gain share of wallet)
  • Aftermarket growth: North America sealing & gasket opportunity—$250m opportunity starting to enter North America this year (30%–35% share in Europe as benchmark)
  • Applied technologies expansion: powersport/off-roading quad vehicles (RFQs in 'several hundred million dollars')
  • Rigid/quasi-discipline in EV quoting expected to preserve business while shifting mix toward ICE/HEV/SUV/CUV demand

Business Development

  • Refers to customer EV cancellation recovery programs (no named OEM; tied to Detroit Three recovery programs)
  • North America aftermarket sealing & gasket market entry (no named partner/customer stated)
  • Range-extended products from customers (EV-related, no named OEMs)

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Q4 2025 margin: 11.1%, +40 bps vs preannouncement; +640 bps vs prior-year Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin (prior-year Q4 margin referenced as 4.7%)
  • Q4 sales: $1,867m (+$93m YoY) driven by customer recoveries and currency translation
  • Q4 adjusted EBITDA: $208m vs prior-year base of $84m; improved mix and ongoing cost actions
  • Full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA margin: 8.1%, +300 bps vs prior year
  • Full-year 2025 operating cash flow: $512m (+$62m YoY)
  • 2025 adjusted free cash flow: $331m (+$250m YoY); highest since 2013
  • 2025 sales: $7,500m (down $234m YoY) reflecting weakening demand in light vehicle and commercial vehicle, partially offset by recoveries
  • Tariffs: 2025 tariff recoveries were $102m in sales; tariffs were a $14m headwind to adjusted EBITDA due to timing of recoveries
  • 2026 guidance (reinstated): adjusted EBITDA ~$800m (midpoint), ~10%–11% margin; +~250 bps YoY
  • 2026 guidance: diluted adjusted EPS $2.50 at midpoint (109m share count; excludes future repurchases in target estimate)
  • 2026 guidance sales: ~ $7,500m (flat YoY) with tariff improvement of ~$50m and FX translation ~$60m (euro strengthening)
  • 2026 profit headwind: expected commodity cost recovery is a $15m headwind due to timing/material cost changes; tariff tailwind ~$10m
  • Post-divestiture stranded costs: expecting elimination of about $40m in 2026 (included in performance walk)

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Share repurchases: $2.0b total buyback plan through 2030; $650m completed in 2025; $300m targeted for 2026
  • 2025 buyback execution: just over 34m shares at average cost $18.96
  • 2025 dividends: $54m total paid; dividend increased 20% to $0.12 per quarter
  • Q1 2026 buybacks: $100m worth at a little over $27/share (management stated 'in the first quarter')
  • Additional buyback forecast for rest of 2026: 'another couple hundred million' (implied ~$56m at current prices per CEO remarks, wording approximate)
  • Balance sheet liquidity post Off-Highway sale (ended Jan 2026): $659m cash; total liquidity about $1.8b including revolver capacity just over $1.1b
  • Debt deleveraging: reduced total debt by approx. $1.9b; no near-term maturities; first maturity in 2029 at just over $200m; remaining debt avg interest rate ~6%
  • Average cash balance expected: ~$400m

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Cost reduction: originally targeted $200m run rate; upped commitment to $300m; delivered $248m in 2025 and run rate $325m going into 2026
  • Stranded costs post Off-Highway sale: about $40m; confident they can substantially eliminate next year
  • Off-Highway divestiture completed Jan 1 (used most proceeds to repay down debt)
  • Operational efficiency emphasis: new state-of-the-art CV plant ramp-up driving margin improvements (CV segment efficiency benefits; 'more good to come')
  • Balance sheet optimization actions: evaluate rightsizing revolver capacity and real estate lease portfolio; pursue additional divestitures of noncore operations
  • 2026 capital spending: net capex expected ~$325m (+$70m vs 2025) to fund efficiency improvements and support new business backlog

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Light vehicle: plan assumes flat volume YoY vs 2025 (steady operating environment/customer volume)
  • Commercial vehicle: plan assumes flat volumes vs 2025, with optimism for improved volumes in the back half of 2026
  • 2026 sales guidance: approximately $7,500m (broadly consistent with 2025)
  • 2026 adjusted EBITDA: ~ $800m; midpoint margin ~10.6%
  • 2026 adjusted free cash flow: ~ $300m midpoint (stated 'in line with 2025 performance')
  • Capital Markets Day: March 25 in New York at 9 a.m. (management plans to lay out 2030 'Dana 2030' walk)

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • EV light-vehicle softness impacting battery/electronics cooling business; 2026 guidance explicitly cites ongoing softness in EV light-vehicle platforms
  • Volume/mix headwind: 2026 revenue walk includes volume/mix reducing revenue by ~$95m (lower demand in traditional commercial vehicle markets and EV platform softness)
  • Tariff dynamics: tariff recoveries improve sales (~$50m) but adjusted EBITDA tariff impacts are mostly timing (2025 EBITDA headwind $14m; 2026 tariff tailwind only ~$10m)
  • Commodity price recovery timing: expected $15m headwind to 2026 commodity cost recovery due to timing/material cost changes (2025 commodities were net neutral year over year with $19m benefit to sales)
  • EV cancellation 'recovery programs' provide limited near-term profit tailwind: management said much of recovery is adjustments to ongoing sales prices for programs not fully canceled (volume down vs cancellation) and net coverage of incurred costs is 'largely not a big tailwind in profit drivers for us in the short term'
  • Customer recoveries/adjustments and timing-based recoveries create earnings volatility (explicitly referenced as 'timing of recoveries' for tariffs and commodities)

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the DAN Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (DAN)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Dana Incorporated (DAN) Financial Profile