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πŸ“˜ Fox Corporation (FOXA) β€” Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Fox Corporation is a prominent U.S.-based media company, primarily focused on delivering news, sports, and entertainment content through its portfolio of broadcast and cable assets. Its core operations include national television networks, digital platforms, and owned-and-operated local TV stations. Key properties encompass the FOX broadcast network, FOX News Media (encompassing both cable and digital news offerings), FOX Sports (broadcasting premiere sports content), and a collection of entertainment and digital assets. Fox’s customers span mass-market audiences, advertisers, cable and satellite providers, and digital distribution partners, reflecting a diversified and broad-based reach across both traditional and emerging media channels.

πŸ’° Revenue Model & Ecosystem

Fox Corporation monetizes its content ecosystem through a blend of advertising revenue, affiliate fees, and, to a lesser extent, digital and licensing income streams. Advertising remains a foundational driver, underpinned by live news and sports content that consistently draw large audiences attractive to marketers. Affiliate fees are sourced from multichannel video programming distributors and streaming platforms in exchange for carriage of Fox networks. Fox also licenses content to third-party platforms and explores digital monetization via its owned digital properties. The company balances business-to-business relationships (with distributors and advertisers) and direct-to-consumer engagement through digital and streaming initiatives, creating a robust and multifaceted revenue base.

🧠 Competitive Advantages

  • Brand strength: Fox boasts long-standing, nationally recognized brands in news, sports, and entertainment, anchoring audience loyalty and advertiser demand.
  • Switching costs: For cable/satellite providers and advertisers, losing access to Fox’s marquee live content (like major sports rights and breaking news) poses a significant risk, enhancing distribution leverage.
  • Ecosystem stickiness: Fox’s aggregation of must-have live programmingβ€”especially sports and newsβ€”creates habitual viewership and keeps both audiences and partners tied to its platforms.
  • Scale + supply chain leverage: The company's national reach and control over high-profile media rights enable attractive negotiations with distributors and advertisers, supporting sustained market presence.

πŸš€ Growth Drivers Ahead

Fox sees ongoing growth opportunities through strategic investments in live and exclusive content, particularly major sports rights and national news, that remain resilient to digital disruption. The expansion of direct-to-consumer digital offerings and enhanced monetization of streaming platforms are key focus areas. Fox continues to pursue targeted acquisitions or partnerships to scale its digital and sports portfolios. Additionally, innovation in ad technology and audience targeting augments revenue potential as advertisers prioritize high-engagement, brand-safe environments. The company also explores new revenue verticals around data, analytics, and interactive formats, supporting longer-term diversification.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Fox operates in a highly competitive and rapidly evolving media environment. Heightened rivalry from digital-native platforms, streaming competitors, and other large media conglomerates poses a persistent challenge. Regulatory oversight around media concentration, content standards, and news accuracy may impact business operations or strategy. Secular shifts away from linear television to digital consumption create margin pressures and drive the need for ongoing reinvention. Additionally, reliance on marquee sports and news rights introduces cost inflation risk, while audience shifts or viewership fragmentation could erode competitive positioning.

πŸ“Š Valuation Perspective

The market typically values Fox Corporation in context with other established media companies that emphasize live content and advertising-dependent models. Fox’s valuation may reflect a modest premium versus traditional broadcasters, attributed to its resilient live news and sports franchises and strong brand portfolio. However, compared to high-growth media or technology-centric peers, Fox can trade at a relative discount due to its linear television exposure and slower topline growth profile. Market sentiment reflects both the stability of core properties and the perceived execution on digital transformation strategies.

πŸ” Investment Takeaway

Fox Corporation offers investors exposure to live news and sports broadcasting with strong national brands, habitual audiences, and durable business-to-business relationships supporting its revenue base. The bull case centers on Fox’s ability to leverage live content, scale, and direct-to-consumer pivots to offset linear TV headwinds, while capturing value from poised digital platforms. Conversely, the bear case underscores intensifying competition from pure-play digital rivals, regulatory scrutiny, and structural changes in consumer viewing behavior that could pressure legacy business models. Overall, Fox represents a media investment balancing stability with the need for continuous adaptation in a disruptive landscape.


⚠ AI-generated research summary β€” not financial advice. Validate using official filings & independent analysis.

πŸ“’ Show latest earnings summary

πŸ“’ Earnings Summary β€” FOXA

Fox delivered a solid start to FY26 with 5% revenue growth, 2% EBITDA growth, and strong ad momentum across news, sports, entertainment, and Tubi. Engagement rose across the portfolio, Tubi reached profitability, and FOX One showed early subscriber traction with key distribution partners. Management expects continued distribution revenue growth for the year, supported by stabilizing subscriber trends and a robust ad market. A $1.5B ASR underscores confidence, though subscriber declines, cost inflation, and seasonal cash dynamics remain watch items.

πŸ“ˆ Growth Highlights

  • Total revenue +5% YoY
  • EBITDA +2% YoY to $1.07B
  • Advertising revenue +6% YoY despite no political ads
  • Distribution revenue +3% YoY; sub declines <7% for third straight quarter
  • Content and other revenues +12% YoY
  • Cable segment revenue +4% YoY; EBITDA +7% to $800M
  • Television segment revenue +5% YoY; EBITDA +7% to $399M
  • Tubi revenue +27% YoY; total view time +18%
  • FOX News delivered highest Q1 ad revenue in its history
  • NFL on FOX September avg ~22M viewers (+12% YoY); America’s Game of the Week avg ~30M viewers
  • Big Noon Saturday avg >6M viewers (+22% YoY); OSU vs Texas ~17M viewers (record Week 1)
  • MLB regular season ratings +3%; postseason ad revenues likely to surpass last year

πŸ”¨ Business Development

  • Launched FOX One DTC service; early subs exceeded expectations
  • FOX One distribution partnerships with ESPN and Verizon; continued Amazon Prime Channels partnership
  • FOX is distribution-agnostic, prioritizing inclusion in bundles (pay-TV and DTC)
  • Approx. 350 new national advertisers at FOX News this year
  • Tubi reached quarterly profitability; positioned as top premium AVOD in the U.S.

πŸ’΅ Financial Performance

  • Adjusted net income $686M; adjusted EPS $1.51 (+4% YoY)
  • GAAP net income $599M ($1.32/share) vs $827M ($1.78/share) prior year
  • Company expenses +6% YoY (digital initiatives, higher entertainment programming), partially offset by lower sports costs
  • Cable advertising +7% YoY (pricing strength at FOX News); Cable distribution +3% YoY
  • Television advertising +6% YoY (Tubi, NFL); Television distribution +2% YoY
  • Television content and other +17% YoY (higher entertainment content revenues)
  • Free cash flow -$234M (seasonal working capital)

🏦 Capital & Funding

  • Repurchased $300M of shares fiscal YTD
  • Announced $1.5B accelerated share repurchase ($700M Class A; $800M Class B), commencing immediately, expected to complete in 2H FY26
  • Cash ~$4.4B; debt ~$6.6B at quarter-end

🧠 Operations & Strategy

  • Balanced FOX One engagement: news drives weekdays; sports drives weekends
  • Focus on live news and sports to drive pricing and ratings
  • Investment in digital-led growth initiatives continues, moderated by Tubi’s profitability
  • Tubi targeted long-term EBITDA margins of 20%–25%; expected meaningful medium-term EBITDA contributor
  • FOX One aimed at cord-cutters/cord-nevers; additive but not material near term (aspirations low-to-mid single-digit millions of subs)

🌍 Market Outlook

  • Most robust ad market in some time; strong upfront and scatter; momentum continuing into Q2
  • Expect total company distribution revenue growth in FY26; driven by Cable segment given rate timing
  • Subscriber erosion stabilizing/improving aided by skinny bundles and digital distributors
  • Strong sports schedule through NFL and college football seasons; MLB postseason ad demand strong
  • FOX News maintains dominant audience share; CPMs positioned as efficient vs broadcast

⚠ Risks & Headwinds

  • Ongoing industry subscriber declines (though moderating)
  • Content and sports rights cost inflation
  • Seasonal cash flow pressures from sports rights payments and AR build
  • Comparisons affected by absence of prior-year political advertising
  • Reliance on sports and news ratings to sustain pricing and ad momentum
  • FOX One not a material near-term distribution revenue driver

AI-generated earnings recap sourced from company results & conference call observations. Not investment advice β€” verify with official filings.

πŸ“Š Fox Corporation (FOXA) β€” AI Scoring Summary

πŸ“Š AI Stock Rating β€” Summary

In the most recent quarter, Fox Corporation reported revenue of $3.738 billion and net income of $599 million, translating to an EPS of $1.34. The company reported an operating cash flow loss of $130 million, though it actively returned value to shareholders with $250 million in stock repurchases and $138 million in dividends. The balance sheet is robust with $4.368 billion in cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62, indicating manageable leverage levels. With a P/E ratio of 8.93 and a FCF yield of 5.44%, the stock is valued attractively relative to sector norms. Over the past year, FOXA has experienced considerable price appreciation of 49.23%, driven by growth in its core segments and favorable market sentiment. Analyst targets ranging up to $68 suggest further potential upside. Maintaining diverse revenue streams in news, sports, and entertainment, Fox has demonstrated strong market positioning, reflected in its upward price trend.

AI Score Breakdown

Revenue Growth β€” Score: 7/10

Revenue at $3.738 billion shows stability with contributions from varied segments, yet no significant YoY growth drivers are highlighted.

Profitability β€” Score: 8/10

Net income margin stands at 16%, and EPS of $1.34 shows a solid profitability trend. Operating efficiency is supported by stable margins.

Cash Flow Quality β€” Score: 5/10

Negative operating cash flow presents a concern, but offset by proactive shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks.

Leverage & Balance Sheet β€” Score: 8/10

Leverage is at a manageable 0.62 debt-to-equity ratio, with $4.368 billion in cash suggesting strong financial resilience.

Shareholder Returns β€” Score: 10/10

A 49.23% price increase over the last year reflects strong shareholder value creation, supplemented by dividends and $250 million buybacks.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation β€” Score: 8/10

With a P/E of 8.93 and analyst targets up to $68, the valuation is considered attractive, supporting potential for further appreciation.

⚠ AI-generated β€” informational only, not financial advice.

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