Hologic, Inc.

Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) Market Cap

Hologic, Inc. has a market capitalization of $16.97B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-27

Price: $76.01

0.00 (0.00%)

Market Cap: 16.97B

NASDAQ · time unavailable

CEO: Paul Malenchini

Sector: Healthcare

Industry: Medical - Instruments & Supplies

IPO Date: 1990-03-01

Website: https://www.hologic.com

Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) - Company Information

Market Cap: 16.97B · Sector: Healthcare

Hologic, Inc. develops, manufactures, and supplies diagnostics products, medical imaging systems, and surgical products for women's health through early detection and treatment in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Diagnostics, Breast Health, GYN Surgical, and Skeletal Health. The company provides Aptima molecular diagnostic assays to detect the infectious microorganisms; Aptima viral load tests for HIV, Hepatitis C, and Hepatitis B; Aptima SARS-CoV-2 and Panther Fusion SARS-CoV-2 assays for the detection of SARS-CoV-2; ThinPrep System for use in cytology applications; Rapid Fetal Fibronectin Test that assists physicians in assessing the risk of pre-term birth; and various diagnostic tests for the detection of Group B Streptococcus. It also offers breast imaging and analytics, such as 2D and 3D digital mammography systems and reading workstations, minimally invasive breast biopsy guidance systems and devices, breast biopsy site markers and localization, specimen radiology, and ultrasound and connectivity solutions; and breast conserving surgery products. In addition, the company provides NovaSure Endometrial Ablation System for the treatment of abnormal uterine bleeding; MyoSure Hysteroscopic Tissue Removal System for the removal of fibroids, polyps, and other pathology within the uterus; and Fluent Fluid Management System that provides liquid distention during diagnostic and operative hysteroscopic procedures. Further, it offers Horizon DXA, a dual energy X-ray system; and the Fluoroscan Insight FD mini C-arm to perform minimally invasive orthopedic surgical procedures. The company sells its products through direct sales and service forces, and independent distributors and sales representatives. Hologic, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Marlborough, Massachusetts.

Analyst Sentiment

50%
Hold

Based on 15 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $75.57

Average target (based on 5 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$76

Median

$78

High

$79

Average

$78

Potential Upside: 2.3%

Price & Moving Averages

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📘 Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Hologic, Inc. is a global medical technology company specializing in products that advance women’s health and diagnostics. The company operates across key areas, most notably in breast and skeletal health, diagnostics, and gynecological surgical solutions. Core offerings include advanced imaging systems for breast cancer screening, molecular diagnostic platforms, and minimally invasive surgical devices. Hologic’s primary customer base comprises hospitals, diagnostic laboratories, imaging centers, and physician practices, with a significant focus on women’s health and early disease detection. The company’s international footprint enhances both its reach and relevance, driving clinical adoption across a broad healthcare audience.

💰 Revenue Model & Ecosystem

Hologic generates revenue through a diversified mix of product sales, recurring service agreements, consumables, and software solutions. The company’s ecosystem is shaped by its diagnostic instruments and imaging hardware, which in turn drive ongoing demand for associated disposables and reagents. Service and maintenance contracts add a stable, recurring revenue component, while software and informatics solutions provide ongoing value and integration. Hologic primarily serves enterprise healthcare customers—ranging from large hospital networks to specialized diagnostic clinics—positioning its business to capture both initial capital expenditures and long-term service revenues.

🧠 Competitive Advantages

  • Brand strength: Hologic has established a reputation for clinical excellence in women’s health, particularly in mammography and diagnostics, supporting robust physician and institutional loyalty.
  • Switching costs: Healthcare providers often integrate Hologic’s systems deeply into clinical workflows, creating high switching costs due to interoperability, staff retraining, and data continuity requirements.
  • Ecosystem stickiness: Proprietary consumables and compatible software platforms foster repeat purchases and encourage customers to remain within the Hologic suite of solutions.
  • Scale + supply chain leverage: The company’s global scale enables it to optimize R&D, distribution, and manufacturing efficiencies, resulting in competitive pricing and reliable supply for healthcare partners.

🚀 Growth Drivers Ahead

Key structural growth drivers for Hologic include ongoing advances in early disease detection, global expansion of women’s health access, and increased demand for molecular diagnostics. Product innovation—such as AI-enabled imaging, next-generation biomarker assays, and minimally invasive surgical tools—serves as a catalyst for deeper penetration in both developed and emerging markets. Strategic acquisitions and investments in digital health solutions further expand Hologic’s addressable market and reinforce its leadership in high-margin segments. As healthcare systems globally place greater emphasis on preventive care and personalized medicine, Hologic’s specialized focus positions it to capture sustained long-term growth.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Hologic faces persistent competition from both global medtech conglomerates and focused niche players—impacting pricing and innovation cycles. Changes in regulatory standards, reimbursement policies, or clinical guidelines can alter demand or necessitate costly compliance updates. Margin pressure may arise from shifts in product mix, aggressive pricing environments, or rising input costs. Moreover, rapid technological advances or disruptive entrants could challenge Hologic’s established incumbency, particularly in the diagnostics and imaging space.

📊 Valuation Perspective

The market typically assesses Hologic relative to peers in the medical technology and diagnostics categories, often according premium valuations to companies demonstrating innovation leadership, stable recurring revenues, and strong operational execution. Hologic’s specialized focus in women’s health and diagnostics can drive differentiated value perceptions, but valuation levels may fluctuate based on growth visibility, product pipeline progress, and the broader sentiment toward the healthcare technology sector.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Hologic stands out as a leader in women’s health solutions, benefiting from a defensible market position, established customer relationships, and a strong track record of product innovation. The bull case centers on the company’s ability to leverage recurring revenues, sustain pipeline-driven growth, and address expanding global healthcare needs. Conversely, the bear case focuses on competitive pressure, potential disruptive shifts in technology or regulation, and the risk of margin compression. Overall, Hologic offers exposure to powerful secular healthcare trends, balanced by typical industry risks requiring ongoing investor diligence.


⚠ AI-generated research summary — not financial advice. Validate using official filings & independent analysis.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-27

"Hologic, Inc. reported revenue of $1.05 billion for the quarter ending December 27, 2025. The company achieved a net income of $179.1 million with an EPS of $0.80, translating to a net margin of approximately 17.1%. Free cash flow stood at $215.2 million, indicating efficient cash conversion. On a year-over-year basis, revenue growth and profitability ratios provide a strong financial snapshot. Hologic's capital structure appears conservative, with net debt of -$2.15 billion, highlighting robust liquidity. Hologic's operations generate consistent cash flows, with operating cash flow at $229.9 million, adequately covering its low capital expenditures. The absence of dividends and buybacks suggests a focus on reinvestment or debt management. Analysis of Hologic's balance sheet reveals a strong debt profile with a total liabilities-to-assets ratio of about 42.9%, indicating financial resilience. Analyst sentiment is moderately favorable, with a consensus price target of $77.8. The company's current valuation metrics are absent; however, based on the price context dated February 4, 2026, the market shows steady expectations for Hologic. Although Hologic is not issuing dividends, shareholders may expect value through share price appreciation driven by its operational strength."

Revenue Growth

Good

Revenue showed stability with solid growth, driven primarily by consistent product demand and efficiency.

Profitability

Strong

Strong net margin and EPS indicate efficient operations and effective cost management.

Cash Flow Quality

Good

Steady free cash flow with substantial operating cash flow suggests high liquidity and strong cash conversion.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Strong

Net debt is negative, indicating significant liquidity and a conservative financial position.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

Currently, no dividends or buybacks, but value potential exists through operational performance and stock appreciation.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Good

Analyst sentiment is moderately positive with conservative price targets, suggesting confidence in continued performance.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Hologic delivered a modest top- and bottom-line beat in Q3, with revenue up slightly and EPS growing 1.9%, supported by cost discipline and improving execution. Diagnostics remained the growth engine, fueled by vaginitis assays, high Panther utilization, and increasing Fusion adoption, while Surgical and Skeletal contributed and Breast Health improved sequentially despite a year-over-year decline. Management highlighted tariff mitigation that halves the expected impact and ongoing portfolio/AI innovation, including the launch of Genius AI Detection PRO and a steady rollout of digital cytology. Guidance calls for mid-single-digit revenue growth and high single-digit EPS growth in Q4, and management targets mid-single-digit organic growth in FY26. Persistent headwinds in China and African funding, as well as tariffs and product mix, temper the outlook, but momentum in interventional, Diagnostics, and commercial upgrades supports cautious optimism.

Growth

  • Total revenue $1.024B, +0.4% y/y (CC), ~$14M above high end of guidance
  • Non-GAAP EPS $1.08, +1.9% y/y, $0.01 above high end of guidance
  • Diagnostics revenue $448.9M, +0.9% reported; +2.9% organic ex-COVID
  • Molecular Diagnostics +2.4% reported; +5.2% ex-COVID globally; +7.3% ex-COVID in the U.S.
  • Breast Health revenue $365.2M, -5.8% reported; -10.8% organic ex-Endomag and SSI, with sequential improvement (more 3D gantries shipped q/q)
  • Interventional Breast Health +31.8% reported; +6% organic excluding Endomag
  • Surgical revenue $178.4M, +6.3% reported; +1.2% organic excluding Gynesonics; International Surgical +24.8%
  • Skeletal Health revenue $31.3M, +62.1% as DEXA shipments resumed

Business Development

  • Endomagnetics (acquired summer 2024) contributed nearly $20M revenue at strong gross margins; becoming organic in August and outperforming deal model
  • Gynesonics included in results; currently dilutive at the bottom line while integration progresses
  • Launched Genius AI Detection PRO (cloud-based breast imaging AI) with Therapixel; upgrade for current 3D systems and planned for Envision platform next year
  • Clinical evidence: 10-year, 180k-mammogram real-world study (Sanford Health) showed higher cancer detection with Clarity HD high-resolution 3D vs standard 3D
  • Strategy to upgrade older end-of-life mammography gantries; competitive wins maintained leading market share

Financials

  • Non-GAAP gross margin 60.3% (-80 bps y/y) driven by mix and Skeletal reserve tied to discontinuing Fluoroscan InSight
  • Non-GAAP operating margin 30.1% (-110 bps y/y), remaining above 30%
  • Net margin 23.8% (-100 bps y/y; +60 bps seq)
  • Operating expenses $309.6M (+2.2% y/y); excluding Endomag, Gynesonics, and deferred comp, opex declined 4.3%
  • Tariff expense in COGS ~$1.4M in Q3 (less than anticipated)
  • Other income (net) loss < $6M, improved by deferred comp investment gains
  • Tax rate 19.25%
  • Operating cash flow $343M; cash & short-term investments $1.88B; net leverage 0.6x

Capital & Funding

  • Refinanced credit agreement in July, maintaining financial flexibility
  • Strong liquidity with $1.88B in cash and short-term investments and net leverage of 0.6x

Operations & Strategy

  • Tariff mitigation actions (supply chain/operating model changes, procurement) expected to cut quarterly tariff impact roughly in half to $10–$12M
  • Enhanced Breast Health commercial execution with bifurcated sales structure and focus on gantry upgrades
  • Physician sales force expanding education to grow vaginitis testing (BV, CV/TV) beyond current tested population
  • Panther Fusion ‘sidecar’ gaining traction (Open Access kits); plan to broaden IVD menu into GI and hospital-acquired infections over coming years
  • Genius digital cytology multi-year rollout to address workflow, accuracy, and labor constraints
  • Discontinuing sales of Fluoroscan InSight at fiscal year-end due to low margin/fit; FY25 revenue ~$18M before exit
  • Annual strategic plan targets return to solid mid-single-digit organic revenue growth in FY26 and over the plan horizon

Market & Outlook

  • Q4 FY25 guidance: revenue $1.03–$1.04B; non-GAAP EPS $1.09–$1.12
  • At midpoints, implies mid-single-digit revenue growth and high single-digit EPS growth; required sequential step-up smaller after Q3 beat
  • Breast Health expected to return to growth in Q4; Endomag becomes organic in August and adds to growth
  • Sustained growth drivers: expanding vaginitis testing adoption, Panther utilization at all-time highs, Fusion menu expansion, and digital cytology rollout
  • Next-gen Envision breast imaging instrument planned for launch next year with AI integration

Risks Or Headwinds

  • Reduced U.S. aid funding in Africa impacting Diagnostics
  • Challenging operating environment in China, pressuring Cytology/Perinatal
  • Tariff exposure (imports from Costa Rica ~two-thirds of prior estimate; China trade ~15%); subject to change despite mitigation
  • Longer mammography gantry replacement cycles
  • Gross margin pressure from mix and product discontinuation reserve; near-term dilution from Endomag and Gynesonics integration

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the HOLX Q3 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (HOLX)

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