Light & Wonder, Inc.

Light & Wonder, Inc. (LNW) Market Cap

Light & Wonder, Inc. has a market capitalization of $8.43B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $99.75

โ–ฒ 0.25 (0.25%)

Market Cap: 8.43B

NASDAQ ยท time unavailable

CEO: Matthew R. Wilson

Sector: Consumer Cyclical

Industry: Gambling, Resorts & Casinos

IPO Date: 1984-08-23

Website: https://www.scientificgames.com

Light & Wonder, Inc. (LNW) - Company Information

Market Cap: 8.43B ยท Sector: Consumer Cyclical

Light & Wonder, Inc. develops technology-based products and services, and related content for the gaming, lottery, social and digital gaming industries in the United States and internationally. The company's Gaming segment sells new and used gaming machines, electronic table systems, video lottery terminals, conversion game kits, and spare parts; table products, including shufflers; and perpetual licenses to proprietary table games. It also supplies game content, gaming machines; provides table game products and services to licensed gaming entities; and installs and supports casino management systems, such as ongoing hardware and software maintenance and upgrade services of customer casino management systems. The company's SciPlay segment develops and publishes digital games on mobile and web platforms. It sells virtual coins, chips, or bingo cards, which players can use to play slot games, table games, or bingo games. Its iGaming segment provides a suite of digital gaming content, including digital real-money gaming, distribution platforms, content, products, and services. This segment also offers the Open Platform System, which offers a range of reporting and administrative functions and tools providing operators control over various areas of digital gaming operations. The company also offers software design, development, licensing, maintenance, support services, and technology solutions. Light & Wonder, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Analyst Sentiment

73%
Strong Buy

Based on 17 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $175.33

Average target (based on 3 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$190

Median

$205

High

$220

Average

$205

Potential Upside: 105.5%

Price & Moving Averages

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๐Ÿ“˜ Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

๐Ÿ“˜ LIGHT & WONDER INC (LNW) โ€” Investment Overview

๐Ÿงฉ Business Model Overview

Light & Wonder Inc (LNW) is a global leader in the gaming technology and content industry, engaging in the development, manufacture, and provisioning of products and services for the casino, lottery, and digital gaming markets. The company maintains a diversified portfolio, encompassing land-based gaming solutions, digital content, and platform technologies that serve both business-to-business (B2B) and business-to-consumer (B2C) clients. LNWโ€™s operations span across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and other key jurisdictions, leveraging both core proprietary and acquired technology assets to serve regulated gaming operators. LNWโ€™s business model is centered on creating compelling gaming experiences through physical gaming machines, digital gaming content, and integrated systems that optimize casino operations. The companyโ€™s breadth of products extends from traditional slot machines to advanced digital slots, table game solutions, and behind-the-scenes gaming platforms. Through its omni-channel approach, LNW aims to create synergies across land-based and online environments, positioning itself as a solutions provider for the evolving gaming landscape.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

The companyโ€™s revenue is generated across multiple channels, including: - **Gaming Operations:** LNW earns recurring revenue by leasing gaming machines and related systems to casinos and gaming operators. This segment typically provides predictable, high-margin income as operators opt for shared revenue or fixed-fee arrangements. - **Product Sales:** Upfront sales of physical gaming machines, lottery terminals, and associated equipment to casinos and lottery operators drive significant capital inflows. - **Digital Gaming:** Revenues derive from the licensing of online slot and table games to digital casino operators, as well as the operation of proprietary online gaming platforms. Monetization mechanisms include royalties, transaction fees, and share-of-wallet agreements with online operators. - **Lottery Services:** LNW provides comprehensive lottery systems and instant ticket solutions to government and private lottery organizations, earning revenue through long-term contracts, service fees, and technology licensing. - **Systems & Platform Services:** Ancillary revenue is generated from the sale and maintenance of casino management systems, platform integration, and data analytics solutions that support gaming efficiency and regulatory compliance. This diversified revenue base enables LNW to capture multiple streams across the gaming value chain, balancing cyclical and secular trends in various sub-sectors.

๐Ÿง  Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Light & Wonderโ€™s competitive positioning is underpinned by several sustainable advantages: - **Content and IP Portfolio:** The company owns a robust library of proprietary game content and intellectual property, featuring some of the industryโ€™s most recognized and enduring titles. - **Scale and Geographic Reach:** With a physical and digital presence in major regulated gaming markets worldwide, LNW benefits from a broad and defensible global footprint against regional competitors. - **Integrated Technology Solutions:** LNW differentiates through its ability to provide end-to-end solutions that span hardware, software, and content, allowing operators to seamlessly integrate with both physical and digital channels. - **Long-Standing Customer Relationships:** The companyโ€™s established partnerships with leading casino operators, lotteries, and digital gaming providers create high switching costs and recurring business. - **Regulatory Expertise:** Extensive experience navigating complex licensing and compliance requirements in highly regulated markets strengthens LNWโ€™s barriers to entry. Competitive dynamics in the gaming sector reward innovation and scale, both areas in which LNW demonstrates continued investment and leadership.

๐Ÿš€ Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Several structural tailwinds support Light & Wonderโ€™s multi-year growth: - **Digital Migration:** The convergence of land-based and online gaming, accelerated by regulatory liberalization, drives demand for LNWโ€™s digital content and platform solutions in both established and emerging markets. - **Global Expansion of Regulated Gaming:** Jurisdictions worldwide continue to embrace regulated gaming, providing new market opportunities for LNWโ€™s product and service offerings. - **Product Innovation:** Continuous refreshment of game libraries, hardware upgrades (e.g., advanced slot cabinets), and new technologies such as cashless gaming and real-time analytics underpin organic growth. - **Recurring Revenue from Installed Base:** Expanding the base of leased units and increases in daily active users on digital platforms enhance recurring revenue visibility and profitability. - **Operating Leverage:** Margin expansion opportunities arise from operational scale in digital and systems businesses, and through ongoing cost efficiency initiatives. These drivers collectively position LNW to participate in the secular growth of gaming while maintaining resilience across economic cycles.

โš  Risk Factors to Monitor

Key risks relevant to LNWโ€™s investment profile include: - **Regulatory and Political Uncertainty:** The gaming industry is subject to extensive regulation; shifts in legal frameworks or adverse regulatory changes can impede growth or require costly compliance. - **Competition and Product Cyclicality:** The fast pace of innovation and intense competition from both established players and new digital entrants may impact market share and pricing power. - **Economic Sensitivity:** Changes in consumer discretionary spending, casino capital expenditures, or tourism flows can influence demand for gaming equipment and services. - **Execution Risk in Digital Transformation:** Scalability and successful integration of digital platforms are critical; execution challenges may hinder growth or profitability in digital segments. - **Intellectual Property and Cybersecurity:** Protecting IP and maintaining robust cyber defenses are essential, as breaches or infringement could result in legal and operational costs. - **Currency and Geo-Political Risks:** As an international business, LNW is exposed to currency volatility and geopolitical factors in key markets. A diversified approach and proactive risk management remain fundamental to LNWโ€™s long-term strategy.

๐Ÿ“Š Valuation & Market View

Light & Wonder is typically valued both on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) basis and using multiples such as EV/EBITDA and price-to-earnings, reflecting its diversified and recurring cash flow profile. The companyโ€™s valuation is supported by strong free cash flow generation, high-margin digital segments, and a sizable installed base of recurring revenue assets. Investors often assess LNW in comparison to peers in gaming technology, digital gaming, and lottery sectors. The companyโ€™s debt profile, capital allocation discipline, and reinvestment strategy into high-return digital businesses can serve as valuation catalysts. Investors may also recognize optionality from expansion into new regulated jurisdictions or potential strategic transactions.

๐Ÿ” Investment Takeaway

Light & Wonder Inc presents an attractive opportunity for exposure to global gaming sector growth, supported by a diversified operating base, robust IP/technology portfolio, and a balanced mix of recurring and product-driven revenues. The company leverages multi-channel distribution and integrated systems to drive growth across both mature and emerging markets. While regulatory exposure and digital transformation execution remain salient risks, LNWโ€™s scale, customer relationships, and content leadership provide durable competitive advantages. For investors seeking long-term participation in the evolution of the gaming technology landscape, LNW represents a compelling, albeit not risk-free, strategic holding.

โš  AI-generated โ€” informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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๐Ÿ“Š AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"LNW reported substantial revenue of $890 million and a net income of $163 million for the quarter ending December 31, 2025, resulting in an EPS of $2. The company's net margin stands at 18.3%. The free cash flow (FCF) for the previous quarter was $105 million, demonstrating a robust capability to generate cash, despite the absence of dividends, with a considerable share buyback of $110 million signaling confidence in valuation. Year-over-year evolution in revenue or net income is not available, but the financial position is characterized by positive net cash due to cash exceeding total debt, indicated by net debt at -$85 million. With total assets of $6.462 billion against liabilities of $6.217 billion, the equity ratio suggests a thin buffer but not indicative of liquidity stress. The valuation consensus implies a price appreciation opportunity, targeting $205, given the current market sentiment. While debt levels are substantial, the ability to produce adequate free cash flow suggests steady operational performance, enabling further deleveraging or shareholder returns, modestly augmenting financial resilience."

Revenue Growth

Positive

Stable revenue at $890 million; further insights on YoY growth unavailable.

Profitability

Good

Strong net margin of 18.3% and EPS growth, indicating operational efficiency.

Cash Flow Quality

Good

Solid free cash flow of $105 million with effective capital allocation through buybacks.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Positive

Enhanced resilience with net debt at -$85 million; equity coverage low but manageable.

Shareholder Returns

Good

No dividends but significant buybacks reflect strong shareholder value focus.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Good

Positive sentiment with a consensus price target of $205, suggesting potential upside.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Light & Wonder delivered a strong Q4 and FY with record margins and robust growth in Gaming and iGaming, underpinned by recurring revenue and the Grover acquisition. Adjusted metrics rose double digits and share repurchases accelerated, though GAAP results were weighed by a legal settlement and listing-related costs. Management is leaning into an AI program, a deep 2026 product pipeline, and expansion in charitable gaming and new iGaming jurisdictions. While systems/tables are expected to rebound and SciPlay metrics are stabilizing, the U.K. online tax hike is a notable headwind starting in Q2. Overall tone is confident toward 2028 targets, with prudent acknowledgement of near-term risks.

Growth

  • Q4 revenue up 12% YoY to $891M; FY revenue up 4% to $3.3B
  • Q4 consolidated AEBITDA up 29% YoY to $405M; FY AEBITDA $1.44B (within guidance)
  • AEBITDA margins up ~500 bps for Q4 and FY 2025
  • EPSa up 27% YoY to $6.69; Adjusted NPATA up 18% YoY to $567M (Q4 up 27% to $161M)
  • Gaming Q4 revenue up 17% to $602M; gaming operations up 35% to $237M (incl. $41M from Grover)
  • Record gaming machine sales $234M (+20% YoY); NA shipments 7,000 units (record); global units >12,300 (+29% YoY)
  • NA installed base up 42% YoY to >48,300; premium now >53% of NA base; ADRPU $47 (+4% YoY), +9% ex-Grover
  • iGaming revenue record $94M (+21% YoY); AEBITDA $36M (+44% YoY); wagers processed +22% to $29.2B
  • SciPlay revenue $195M; AEBITDA up 8% to $80M; ARPDAU $1.10 (+4%); MRPPU >$133 (+14%); DTC 25% of revenue ($48M), up from 13% in 2024

Business Development

  • Closed acquisition of Grover Charitable Gaming (May); FY revenue contribution $102M; installed base >11,600 units
  • Launched Grover operations in Indiana (Dec) with disciplined rollout; targeting Maryland and potential future openings such as New York
  • Transitioned to sole ASX listing; early market feedback encouraging
  • Resolved peer dispute; $128M settlement recorded
  • Launched Lightwave cabinet; continued momentum with Cosmic series and Landmark 7000 stepper
  • Expanded hardware presence in Canadian VLTs, Nebraska skill-based market, and Eastern Europe dynamic multi-game
  • Regionalized product roadmaps for Australia and Asia
  • iGaming approvals: live in the Philippines; approved for UAE (launch expected later this year); Maine legalized iGaming
  • Elk Studio live in MI and NJ; PA expected to follow on OGS

Financials

  • Q4 net loss of $15M driven by $177M in restructuring/other charges (incl. $128M settlement, $25M Grover contingent FV adj., $18M ASX transition and other)
  • FY net income down 18% YoY due to $219M restructuring/other charges; diluted EPS $3.26 (-11% YoY)
  • Recurring revenue base of ~$2.2B, improving earnings quality
  • Gaming AEBITDA $323M in Q4 (+26% YoY); segment margin 54%
  • iGaming AEBITDA margin up ~600 bps YoY on discontinuation of live casino and revenue mix
  • Outstanding shares ~77.1M as of Feb 18, 2026; management notes EPSa would be higher using period-end share count

Capital & Funding

  • Repurchased $877M of shares in 2025; 78% of second buyback program completed
  • Total capital returned since 2022: $1.9B
  • Reaffirmed 2028 targets: $2B consolidated AEBITDA and EPSa > $10.55
  • Ongoing investment in R&D, AI program, and targeted growth in systems/tables

Operations & Strategy

  • Margin enhancement and cost optimization initiatives viewed as largely sustainable
  • AI transformation program underway leveraging proprietary data to improve game development, distribution, and efficiencies
  • 22 consecutive quarters of NA premium installed base increases; focus on premium and WAP performance
  • SciPlay engagement/retention stabilizing since Dec 2025; re-accelerating UA; scaling DTC channel
  • Integrating Grover with L&W cabinets/mechanics; investing in service capability; disciplined new-market deployments
  • Robust 2026 product/content pipeline (e.g., Cosmic Dual, Lightwave Solar; titles such as Jin Chan, Fiesta Caliente; land-based favorites to iGaming like Big Hot Flaming Pots Tasty Treasures, Piggy Bankinโ€™ Superlock)

Market & Outlook

  • Expect systems and tables to return to growth with targeted investments and commercial strategy
  • Sustained iGaming momentum in North America; first-party titles 8 of top 10 on OGS in Q4
  • International expansion drivers: Philippines live; UAE launch planned; Maine legalization expands U.S. TAM
  • Management confident in achieving fair share in Indiana charitable gaming and continued installed base growth
  • Margin uplift and recurring revenue expected to support long-term growth toward 2028 targets

Risks Or Headwinds

  • U.K. online gaming tax increase to 40% expected to adversely impact results beginning Q2 2026; mitigation under evaluation
  • SciPlay experienced payer declines at Jackpot Party; recovery in progress and may take time
  • Timing-related declines in systems and tables; recovery expected but not yet realized
  • Grover mix dilutes reported ADRPU metrics
  • Execution and regulatory risks in new markets (IN, MD, NY, Philippines, UAE)
  • One-time charges (settlement, listing costs, acquisition-related adjustments) impacted GAAP profitability

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the LNW Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (LNW)

ยฉ 2026 Stock Market Info โ€” Light & Wonder, Inc. (LNW) Financial Profile