PagerDuty, Inc.

PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) Market Cap

PagerDuty, Inc. has a market capitalization of $580M.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2026-01-31

Price: $6.32

-0.09 (-1.40%)

Market Cap: 580.03M

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: Jennifer G. Tejada

Sector: Technology

Industry: Software - Application

IPO Date: 2019-04-11

Website: https://www.pagerduty.com

PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) - Company Information

Market Cap: 580.03M · Sector: Technology

PagerDuty, Inc. operates a digital operations management platform in the United States, Japan, and internationally. Its digital operations management platform collects data digital signals from virtually any software-enabled system or device, and leverage powerful machine learning to correlate, process, and predict opportunities and issues. It serves various industries, including software and technology, telecommunications, retail, travel and hospitality, media and entertainment, and financial services. PagerDuty, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Analyst Sentiment

56%
Buy

Based on 9 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $15.29

Average target (based on 4 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$9

Median

$15

High

$19

Average

$15

Potential Upside: 134.2%

Price & Moving Averages

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📘 Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 PAGERDUTY INC (PD) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

PagerDuty, Inc. is a leading provider of digital operations management solutions, focusing on incident response, real-time operations visibility, and automation for business-critical IT systems. The company helps organizations manage their digital infrastructure and proactively address emerging issues. PagerDuty empowers DevOps, IT, security, and business leaders to minimize downtime and mitigate risks by orchestrating people, processes, and data in response to incidents. The company’s platform integrates with hundreds of third-party applications, enabling a cohesive ecosystem for incident detection, collaboration, escalation, and resolution, making it fundamental to digital-first enterprise operations.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

PagerDuty derives its revenues primarily through a subscription-based Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model. Customers pay recurring fees based on seat count, usage tier, and value-added modules. Pricing scales with the complexity of customer needs, from entry-level plans for small teams to full-featured enterprise solutions for large organizations. PagerDuty offers additional modules, such as event intelligence, analytics, automation, and process orchestration, which serve as upsell opportunities beyond the standard incident response platform. The company supplements recurring revenue with professional services, including onboarding, integration, and ongoing technical support, though these services represent a small proportion of overall sales.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

PagerDuty’s competitive moat centers around its deep integration ecosystem, broad coverage of incident response workflows, and the robustness built through high-urgency use cases across digital-native enterprises and Global 2000 clients. The company boasts a mature alerting and on-call management engine, which handles complex escalation policies, alert deduplication, and real-time collaboration across multiple channels (SMS, app push, phone, email, etc.). PagerDuty’s extensive partner network and API integrations enable seamless connections to monitoring, observability, collaboration, and IT service management tools, reinforcing vendor lock-in. Brand equity, driven by early market entry and adoption by technology-forward organizations, further cements PagerDuty’s leadership. Additionally, the platform's ability to scale from small teams to multinational enterprises provides stickiness and expansion potential within existing customers.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

PagerDuty is positioned to benefit from secular trends accelerating digital transformation and the growing imperative for resilient digital operations. Key growth drivers include: - **Digital Transformation & Cloud Adoption:** As more critical business processes shift to cloud and hybrid environments, the frequency, complexity, and cost of incidents increase, expanding demand for robust incident response platforms. - **DevOps and Agile Adoption:** The rapid proliferation of DevOps practices increases the need for coordination, automation, and real-time incident management among software development and IT teams. - **Expansion into Adjacent Use Cases:** PagerDuty’s investments in AIOps (artificial intelligence for IT operations), automation, workflow orchestration, and runbook management broaden its total addressable market and deepen customer engagement. - **International Expansion:** Penetration into non-U.S. markets presents an avenue for incremental growth, supported by global partnerships and localized offerings. - **Land-and-Expand Sales Motion:** The company’s SaaS delivery model allows for easy expansion through cross-sell and upsell of higher-tier plans and advanced modules within existing accounts.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Investors should monitor several key risks: - **Intensifying Competition:** The digital operations market is crowded, with incumbent players (such as ServiceNow, Splunk, Atlassian/Opgenie) and emerging cloud-native entrants offering overlapping capabilities. Pricing pressure and the pace of differentiation are ongoing risks. - **Deceleration in Expansion Revenue:** PagerDuty’s growth relies on expanding within existing customers. Slow adoption of new modules or macro headwinds impacting IT budgets could moderate this engine. - **Integration Reliance:** The value of PagerDuty’s platform is tightly linked to its ecosystem of third-party integrations. Changes to partner strategies or API accessibility could impact product stickiness. - **Security and Reliability:** As PagerDuty underpins mission-critical workflows, security breaches or platform downtime would severely undermine customer trust and reputation. - **Macro-Economic Sensitivity:** Budget constraints or layoffs in technology-oriented sectors could lengthen sales cycles or increase churn, particularly among smaller customers.

📊 Valuation & Market View

PagerDuty is generally valued as a high-growth SaaS business, reflecting recurring revenue visibility, robust gross margins, and expanding enterprise adoption. Relative valuation multiples (such as EV/Sales) are influenced by growth rates, operating leverage, and sector-wide SaaS sentiment. Investors weigh PagerDuty’s path to profitability alongside its customer retention and net expansion rates, benchmarking against peers in the IT operations and DevOps SaaS space. Valuation is sensitive to the company’s ability to maintain above-average revenue growth, demonstrate sustainable free cash flow generation, and continue product-led innovation in a competitive field. The long-term thesis rests on secular growth and sustained market leadership compensating for competitive and margin pressures.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

PagerDuty stands at the crossroads of digital transformation, where uptime, agility, and resilience are mission-critical for enterprises. Its platform, which extends well beyond basic alerting into smart automation and workflow orchestration, is deeply embedded in the technology stacks of forward-looking customers. While competition and market evolution require sustained innovation and deft execution, PagerDuty’s strong brand, stickiness within enterprise IT, and expanding addressable market position it as a core enabler of modern operations. Investors seeking exposure to the infrastructure software layer underpinning digital resilience may find PagerDuty a compelling long-term holding, provided they vigilantly monitor innovation, competitive landscape, and execution against evolving enterprise needs.

⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-01-31

"For the most recent quarter ending January 31, 2026, PD reported a revenue of $124.8M and a net income of $11.0M, resulting in an EPS of $0.13. The company has shown a significant decline in market performance, with a 1-year change of -66.44%. The operating cash flow stands at $25.4M, contributing to a free cash flow of $24.5M after capital expenditures. PD maintains a total asset base of $990.5M against total liabilities of $719.9M, yielding a total equity of $270.7M. The company exhibits a net debt of $175.9M. Given these financials, the company appears to be in a precarious position with declining stock performance. Despite being profitable, the overall market sentiment remains negative, influencing valuation and investor confidence. There are no dividends paid, which may affect shareholder returns as well. Overall, the metrics raise concerns about sustainable growth and profitability in the near future."

Revenue Growth

Fair

Revenue of $124.8M reflects stable growth year-over-year, albeit with concerns due to market performance.

Profitability

Neutral

Positive net income of $11.0M suggests profitability, but declining sales might pressure future earnings.

Cash Flow Quality

Positive

Strong free cash flow of $24.5M supports operational health despite overall market challenges.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Neutral

Moderate net debt at $175.9M, with total equity at $270.7M indicates reasonable leverage but should be monitored.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

Significant share price decline of over 66% raises concerns about total returns for shareholders.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Fair

Neutral sentiment with a mixed valuation outlook; target price range reflects uncertainty.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

PagerDuty exited FY 2026 with stabilized ARR in Q4 and clear operating leverage: Q4 non-GAAP operating margin reached 24% (vs 18% a year ago) and non-GAAP gross margin hit 87%, above its 84%–86% target range. Despite acknowledged seat-compression pressure, the company is leaning into a consumption/value pricing shift, securing large multi-year deals (including a $4.5M TCV renewal and a $2.7M telecom expansion) and growing its highest-value cohorts: $1M+ ARR customers rose 10% YoY to 79, while this cohort represented 72% of total ARR. Retention remains the key swing factor—Q4 DBNR was 98% impacted by lower gross retention—but management expects gross retention improvement in Q1 and DBNR stabilization. FY 2027 guidance calls for essentially flat revenue growth at the midpoint with improving margins and ~8% EPS growth ($1.23–$1.28), supported by AI-first product adoption and expanding ecosystem partnerships (e.g., Anthropic/Claude, Cursor, LangChain).

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Stabilized ARR in Q4 and accelerated new + expansion bookings; Q4 new and expansion strongest for fiscal year (+6% YoY; +37% sequential)
  • New pricing model (flex/consumption-led) driving multi-year agreements and reducing seat-count friction
  • AI-first/AI-native momentum: over 600 new customers in Q4 (+17% YoY) driven by improved free-to-paid/top-of-funnel conversion
  • Large enterprise focus evidenced by higher $1M+ cohort growth (+10% YoY to 79 customers; cohort ARR growing to 72% of total ARR)
  • AI platform/operations differentiation: autonomous cloud-native engine unifying incident/event/service management; autonomous operations for mission-critical work
  • Platform adoption/consumption setup: SRE agent and model-context/agent-to-agent capabilities enabling shift from credits to ongoing consumption growth

Business Development

  • AI ecosystem expansion: announced over 30 new AI partners
  • Named AI partners: Anthropic (Claude), Cursor, LangChain (explicitly called out as marquee ecosystem partnerships; Claude and Cursor named as well)
  • Flex pricing multi-year renewal: $4.5 million TCV multiyear renewal with a major toy maker (after a $10M revenue and cost impact from a manufacturing outage)
  • Telecommunications provider: $2.7 million multiyear expansion in North America, more than doubling ARR
  • Large enterprise relationship expansion: world’s largest digital infrastructure company signed another 7-figure multiyear expansion deploying process automation as central orchestration for new global automation architecture
  • EMEA expansions cited: Banco Santander, Bupa, Vodafone
  • APAC/Japan deal cited: expansion with JR East Railway Information Systems and an expansion with one of Australia’s largest banks

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Q4 revenue: $125M (+3% YoY), above guidance ranges
  • Q4 non-GAAP operating margin: 24% (non-GAAP operating income $30M), above guidance and compared to 18% (same quarter prior year)
  • Q4 non-GAAP gross margin: 87%, above the high end of the company’s 84%–86% target range
  • Q4 GAAP net income: $11M; third consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability
  • ARR: annual recurring revenue exiting Q4 grew 1% YoY to ~$499M
  • Customer metrics: total platform customers >35,000 (+14% YoY); paid customers 15,351 (+2% YoY)
  • Retention: DBNR 98% in Q4 (impacted by lower gross retention as anticipated); company expects gross retention improvement starting Q1 and DBNR stabilization in Q1
  • FY 2026 revenue: ~$493M (+5% YoY); FY 2026 GAAP net income: $174M (includes one-time income tax benefit of $169M from valuation allowance release)
  • FY 2026 operating income: $121M (25% of revenue) vs $83M (18%) a year ago; non-GAAP operating margin expansion nearly 700 bps during FY 2026
  • Non-GAAP operating margin trajectory: management reiterated long-term target of 30% non-GAAP operating margin
  • FY 2026 cash flow: cash from operations $25M in Q4 (20% of revenue); free cash flow $23M (18% of revenue)

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Share repurchases: FY 2026 repurchased ~10M shares under $200M plan; at quarter end ~$63M remained authorized
  • Q4 repurchases: repurchased 8M shares for $99M
  • Balance sheet (end of Q4): $470M cash, cash equivalents, and investments
  • CFO commentary: cash position used to reduce share count; authorization and plan context provided

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Transitioning business model from seat-based compression pressure toward flexible usage-based pricing / consumption-led pricing
  • Operational efficiency + structural discipline + AI adoption drove nearly +700 bps non-GAAP operating margin expansion during FY 2026
  • Programmatic renewal management and strengthened customer management implemented to reverse renewal/retention trend
  • AI-first operating model: “AI-first operations for mission-critical work”; integrate agents/data/governance/teams/workflows in real-time autonomous operations
  • Declared planned operational shift: transition customers to flexible usage-based pricing; expects improved retention as customers adopt and scale
  • Platform emphasis: autonomous cloud-native engine for incident/event/service management; reduction of noisy duplicative alerting (observability cost reduction)

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • FY 2027 outlook: revenue guide $488.5M–$496.5M (midpoint essentially flat YoY); non-GAAP operating margin implied 24%–25%
  • FY 2027 EPS (non-GAAP) guide: $1.23–$1.28
  • Q1 FY 2027 outlook: revenue $118M–$120M (midpoint essentially flat YoY); net income per diluted share $0.23–$0.25; implied non-GAAP operating margin 19%–20%
  • Management expectation for seat compression headwind: partially offset via operations cloud usage-based pricing and new AI products; gradual ARR improvement through the year
  • Capital/cash flow modeling: free cash flow margin expected 2–4 percentage points lower than FY 2026 due to lower interest income, higher facilities CapEx, and timing of payments
  • Tax modeling: FY 2027 EPS guidance incorporates non-GAAP tax rate of 20% for each quarter

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Seat-based compression impacting some installed base (explicit macro headwind noted for Q4 and anticipated to impact some customers near term)
  • Lower gross retention in Q4 led to DBNR 98%; management expects reversal via programmatic renewal initiatives (near-term retention risk remains)
  • Guidance characterized as prudent in light of macro environment/seat compression; requires customer readiness to transition to flex/consumption pricing

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the PD Q4 2026 (Fiscal 2026 Q4; results call dated 2026-03-12) earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (PD)

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