Simmons First National Corporation

Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC) Market Cap

Simmons First National Corporation has a market capitalization of $3.12B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $21.52

1.06 (5.18%)

Market Cap: 3.12B

NASDAQ · time unavailable

CEO: James Brogdon

Sector: Financial Services

Industry: Banks - Regional

IPO Date: 1985-03-14

Website: https://www.simmonsbank.com

Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC) - Company Information

Market Cap: 3.12B · Sector: Financial Services

Simmons First National Corporation operates as the holding company for Simmons Bank that provides banking and other financial products and services to individuals and businesses. It offers checking, savings, and time deposits; consumer, real estate, and commercial loans; agricultural finance, equipment, and small business administration lending; trust and fiduciary services; credit cards; investment management products; insurance products; and securities and investment services. The company also provides ATM services; Internet and mobile banking platforms; overdraft facilities; and safe deposit boxes. As of January 27, 2022, the company operated through 199 financial centers in Arkansas, Missouri, Tennessee, Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas. Simmons First National Corporation was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Pine Bluff, Arkansas.

Analyst Sentiment

67%
Buy

Based on 7 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $22.20

Average target (based on 2 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$22

Median

$23

High

$23

Average

$23

Potential Upside: 5.3%

Price & Moving Averages

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📘 Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 SIMMONS FIRST NATIONAL CORP CLASS (SFNC) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC) operates as a diversified regional financial holding company. The company’s core business centers around community banking, primarily serving individuals, businesses, and government entities through its network of full-service branches. Simmons offers an array of traditional banking services, including personal and commercial lending, deposit-taking, and wealth management. The company’s multi-state footprint, focused primarily in the southern United States, provides exposure to both urban and rural markets with varying customer profiles. In addition to standard banking activities, Simmons pursues strategic growth via both organic expansion and selective acquisitions, further diversifying its geographic reach and customer base.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

SFNC extracts value through a balanced mix of net interest income and non-interest income sources. The backbone of Simmons’ revenue model is its traditional banking spread: generating interest income from loans and investments versus interest paid on deposits and other funding sources. Commercial, consumer, real estate, and agricultural loans comprise the bulk of its loan portfolio, creating diverse credit exposure. Fee-based income augments interest revenue, stemming from services such as deposit account fees, ATM and card processing, mortgage origination, wealth management, investment advisory, and insurance brokerage. Non-interest income adds resilience to earnings, particularly during periods of interest rate compression. Cross-selling of financial services across its network enhances overall customer lifetime value.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Simmons benefits from its scale as one of the larger regional bank holding companies in its core territory. Its multi-state presence delivers both customer diversification and risk mitigation across different economic backdrops. A tested approach to community banking distinguishes Simmons via strong local relationships and tailored service, whereas regional scale enables cost efficiencies and technological investment often out of reach for smaller peers. Strategic acquisitions have expanded its branch footprint, product set, and talent pool without overextending credit risk profiles. Longstanding, conservative credit underwriting standards support asset quality and help foster reputational strength. Technology modernization efforts, such as enhanced digital banking and streamlined operations, are designed to keep pace with evolving customer expectations and industry trends. Simmons’ local market knowledge and dual focus on relationship banking and scalable efficiency position it favorably amid both regional and national competitors.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

A range of structural and company-specific factors underpin Simmons’ long-term growth prospects. Its operating geography, including several fast-growing southern MSAs and business corridors, supports both organic deposit and loan growth as populations and commerce expand. Selective M&A activity, a historical pillar of Simmons’ strategy, stands to drive incremental scale, operational leverage, and revenue enhancement opportunities. Tailwinds from digital transformation—the migration to online and mobile service delivery—can attract younger, digitally savvy clients while streamlining cost structures. Expansion of service offerings, especially in wealth management, insurance, and treasury services, enables deeper wallet share capture from existing clients. Conservative balance sheet and risk management practices provide headroom for nimble responses to shifts in rate and credit cycles, while investments in technology bolster competitive standing as banking digitization accelerates.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Investors should remain aware of several key risks within the Simmons First National model. Credit risk, as with all banks, remains pronounced during cyclical downturns or periods of economic stress, particularly given commercial real estate and business lending exposures. Regional concentration brings vulnerability to local economic or sector-specific disruptions. Interest rate volatility can compress net interest margins or slow borrowing demand, impacting profitability. Technological disruption—from both fintech entrants and evolving customer preferences—necessitates ongoing investment to maintain competitive parity. Regulatory risk is inherent, as changes in banking laws or compliance requirements can impact costs or permissible activities. Finally, integration risk is present with any acquisitive growth model; missteps in cultural or operational assimilation could dilute intended synergies and franchise value.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Simmons First National typically trades on metrics standard for regional banks—price-to-earnings, price-to-tangible book value, and dividend yield. Its valuation is influenced by factors such as asset quality, capital adequacy, earnings stability, and peer comparison. The company’s strong capital position, historical track record of profitability, and prudent risk management underpin market confidence, while its acquisition strategy and efficiency efforts drive periodic re-rating. Dividend policy reflects a commitment to returning capital while providing capacity for reinvestment. Relative to peers, Simmons’ performance in managing credit losses, realizing cost savings post-acquisition, and maintaining competitive digital offerings are key determinants of its market multiple and investor sentiment.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Simmons First National Corp represents a blend of established community banking and forward-leaning regional ambition. Its multi-state franchise, rooted in local relationship banking but scaled for operational efficiency, provides diverse avenues for growth. Structural industry tailwinds—regional population growth, digital adoption, and service cross-selling—offer further upside potential. A proven history of prudent acquisitions, controlled risk-taking, and capital allocation underpins resilience through economic cycles. However, investors should remain mindful of exposure to credit, regulatory, and integration risks inherent to the business model. For those seeking exposure to the community/regional bank sector with a track record of disciplined execution and balance between income and growth orientation, Simmons First National warrants consideration in a diversified portfolio.

⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"As of December 31, 2025, SFNC reported revenue of $358.8M and a net income of $78.1M, yielding an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.54. The firm has total assets of $24.5B against total liabilities of $21.1B, leading to a healthy equity position of $3.4B. Operating cash flow stood at $449.5M, with free cash flow aligned with this figure, suggesting solid operational efficiency. However, the company paid out $115.0M in dividends over this period. SFNC's share price is currently $19.24, reflecting a 1-year decline of 7.9%, raising concerns regarding market performance. The price target consensus suggests a potential upside, but the past performance indicates challenges in stock appreciation. Shareholder returns may remain limited due to negative price movement despite dividend distributions."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

Revenue of $358.8M shows healthy performance, indicating potential for growth.

Profitability

Positive

Net income of $78.1M and a favorable EPS of $0.54 indicate strong profitability.

Cash Flow Quality

Good

Operating cash flow of $449.5M underscores solid cash flow quality.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Positive

Strong equity position with total assets significantly outweighing liabilities.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

Negative 1-year price change at -7.9% detracts from shareholder appeal despite dividends.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Fair

Analysts suggest a price target around $22.67 indicating a cautious outlook based on current price.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Management sounded constructive on fundamentals (NIM stability around 3.81%, 2026 low-to-mid single-digit loan growth, and deposit-beta dynamics that should moderate rather than break). They also emphasized tangible progress in cleaning up legacy credit via deep dives (equipment finance sale) and continuing efficiency work (square footage down 6%, vendor procurement wins, automation). However, the Q&A underscored a sharper operational hurdle: loan pricing competition—especially in CRE—was described as “irrational” and pricing away profitability on a risk-adjusted basis, which is the biggest competitive factor today. That pressure helps explain why growth guidance is cautious despite strong Q4 production (production peaked in a few years and outpaced paydowns). Analyst pressure in Q&A focused on what is repeatable: management conceded timing/seasonality boosted Q4 and guided NIM/ROMO tax run-rate and beta behavior with explicit bps/methodology, rather than broad optimism. Net: confident on stability, cautious on pricing-driven sustainability.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Highest loan production level in at least a couple of years; production more than offset elevated paydowns
  • Rate-ready-to-close pipeline at a multi-quarter high (pull-through into funded commitments)
  • Loan growth guide for 2026 implies low-to-mid single-digit growth (expects some optimism vs last couple of years but remains cautious)

Business Development

  • Equipment finance portfolio sale (equipment finance business sold; legacy NPAs resolved via deep dive)
  • Private banking expanded efforts (rolled out in ~2024, expanded in 2025)
  • Building out business/middle-market C&I capabilities (tools/processes/people; heavy investment planned)

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Net interest margin (NIM) at 3.81% in Q4
  • Linked-quarter NIM growth: +31 bps; composition: ~19-20 bps from partial quarter impact of prior balance sheet restructure, +11 bps core NIM expansion (about 3 bps from loan growth, 8 bps from rate and mix)
  • Expected Q1 NIM: relatively stable to 3.81% (possible +1 to +2 bps benefit)
  • Full-year NIM expectation: stable, possibly +~a couple bps to reach mid-3.80s by Q4
  • Deposit beta (cumulative): 64%; incremental beta for additional rate cuts ~50%; by end of 2026 cumulative beta expected in high-50% range
  • Back-book repricing tailwind: over $2.5B of loans repricing over next 2 years with rates <4%
  • Rate cuts embedded in guide: May and August (rate forecast assumptions)
  • Loan yields down 8 bps in Q4; down ~3 bps since Q2 (back-book repricing offsetting rate cuts)
  • NII outlook: 9% to 11% guide (management confident despite rate cuts)
  • ROTCE: ~16% in the quarter; ROA: ~1.29% (run-rate guidance: mid-1 teens; normalized rate high-1 teens)
  • Tax rate: Q4 tax rate below 2026 run-rate; 2026 tax rate guided/expected ~20%

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Dividend remains Priority 2 (no share buyback embedded in current budgets/forecast); buybacks may be opportunistic later in the year
  • Funding constraint identified: core customer deposits (loan-deposit ratio discussed; deposits are the limiting factor)

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Balance sheet repositioning: moved from liability-sensitive to asset-sensitive, with short-end still liability-sensitive (day 1–3 months); benefit from Q4 rate cuts
  • Better Bank Initiative / efficiency & scale: 'middle innings' of journey; automation and process standardization ongoing
  • Expense guide: up 2% to 3% YoY (reflects self-funding investments vs success in efficiency)
  • Square footage reduced 6% this year; savings split ~60% retail / ~40% corporate; reduces both expense and future maintenance spend
  • Procurement group stood up ~2 years ago; cited 'significant success' and continued opportunity over next 12–24 months

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • 2026 loan growth guidance: low-to-mid single-digit growth
  • Pipeline: 'normal' pipeline range $1.5B to $2B
  • NIM outlook for 2026: relatively stable; possible drift to mid-3.80s by Q4 if tailwinds persist
  • ROTC/ROA normalization: target ROTCE 'mid-teens'; management expects run-rate conditions to support improved achievability into 2026 (and possibly 2027)

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Loan pricing competition: biggest pressure is on the loan side; returns on a risk-adjusted basis are weaker in CRE due to 'irrational pricing' (management explicitly cites pricing away profitability even in relationship situations)
  • Fourth-quarter underwriting/credit disruption addressed via deep dive and resolutions, but management still working toward rigorous resolution processes in a couple remaining instances (some charge-offs taken; continued resolution for a couple credits)
  • Loan yield headwind: loan yields down 8 bps in Q4 (though offset by back-book repricing)
  • Deposit competition: betas high and lags short around recent rate cuts; more irrational competition on deposit side mainly from smaller banks (but management notes dominant market share in key markets to flex around it)
  • Funding mismatch risk: if loan growth outstrips deposit growth, rely on balance sheet cash flows; may use promotional CD rates; wholesale funding is the last stop

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the SFNC Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (SFNC)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC) Financial Profile