The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) Market Cap

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company has a market capitalization of $3.83B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-27

Price: $66.04

3.60 (5.77%)

Market Cap: 3.83B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: James S. Hagedorn

Sector: Basic Materials

Industry: Agricultural Inputs

IPO Date: 1992-01-31

Website: https://scottsmiraclegro.com

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) - Company Information

Market Cap: 3.83B · Sector: Basic Materials

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company engages in the manufacture, marketing, and sale of products for lawn, garden care, and indoor and hydroponic gardening in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Consumer, Hawthorne, and Other. It provides lawn care products comprising lawn fertilizers, grass seed products, spreaders, other durable products, and outdoor cleaners, as well as lawn-related weed, pest, and disease control products; gardening and landscape products include water-soluble and continuous-release plant foods, potting mixes and garden soils, mulch and decorative groundcover products, plant-related pest and disease control products, organic garden products, and lives goods and seeding solutions. The company also offers hydroponic products that help users to grow plants, flowers, and vegetables using little or no soil; lighting systems and components for use in hydroponic and indoor gardening applications; insect, rodent, and weed control products for home areas; and non-selective weed killer products. It sells its products under the Scotts, Turf Builder, EZ Seed, PatchMaster, Thick'R Lawn, GrubEx, EdgeGuard, Handy Green II, Miracle-Gro, LiquaFeed, Osmocote, Shake 'N Feed, Hyponex, Earthgro, SuperSoil, Fafard, Nature Scapes, Ortho, Miracle-Gro Performance Organics, Miracle-Gro Organic Choice, Whitney Farms, EcoScraps, Mother Earth, Botanicare, Hydroponics, Vermicrop, Gavita, Agrolux, Can-Filters, Sun System, Gro Pro, Hurricane, AeroGarden, Titan, Tomcat, Ortho Weed B Gon, Roundup, Groundclear, and Alchemist brands. The company serves home centers, mass merchandisers, warehouse clubs, large hardware chains, independent hardware stores, nurseries, garden centers, e-commerce platforms, and food and drug stores, as well as indoor gardening and hydroponic distributors, retailers, and growers. The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company was founded in 1868 and is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.

Analyst Sentiment

70%
Strong Buy

Based on 9 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $69.50

Average target (based on 4 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$67

Median

$70

High

$72

Average

$70

Potential Upside: 5.5%

Price & Moving Averages

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📘 Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 SCOTTS MIRACLE GRO (SMG) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Scotts Miracle-Gro (NYSE: SMG) is a leading provider of branded consumer lawn and garden products in North America, complemented by a significant presence in hydroponics and indoor gardening solutions. SMG’s legacy traces back over a century, with substantial brand equity built through its trusted consumer portfolio. The business operates through two primary segments: the U.S. Consumer segment, focused on outdoor gardening and lawn care, and the Hawthorne segment, catering to hydroponic, cannabis, and specialty indoor horticulture markets. SMG maintains an extensive distribution network, leveraging relationships with major retailers, independent garden centers, mass merchandisers, and e-commerce platforms. Its business model prioritizes brand-driven demand generation, product innovation, and omni-channel distribution.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Scotts Miracle-Gro’s revenue streams are rooted in the sale of consumer products for lawn, garden, and indoor cultivation needs. The U.S. Consumer segment contributes the largest share, monetizing well-known brands such as Scotts, Miracle-Gro, Ortho, Roundup (under a marketing license), and Tomcat. Product categories include grass seed, fertilizers, pesticide and herbicide treatments, soils, and garden tools. Revenue is primarily generated via retail sales at home improvement chains, big box stores, and independent dealers. The Hawthorne segment offers hydroponic growing media, lighting, nutrients, and related equipment, primarily serving commercial growers and specialty retailers. Monetization is predominantly transactional, though SMG invests in brand building and retail partnerships that foster recurring sales, especially with loyalty programs and seasonal demand cycles.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Scotts Miracle-Gro commands a formidable market position, underpinned by several durable competitive advantages: - **Brand Recognition:** Decades of targeted marketing and consistent product quality have cemented Scotts and Miracle-Gro as household names, building high consumer trust and loyalty. - **Retail Footprint:** Strategic alliances with top retailers provide prime shelf space and nationwide exposure, creating high barriers to entry for smaller competitors. - **Economies of Scale:** Massive production, logistics, and procurement scale enable cost efficiencies and attractive pricing power. - **Regulatory Expertise:** SMG’s seasoned compliance infrastructure and stewardship reinforce reliability with both regulators and consumers—a key differentiator in a product space subject to environmental and safety regulation. - **Innovation & R&D:** Continuous investment in product development and expansion into adjacent categories (e.g., hydroponics, organic products) supports market share defense and growth. - **Hawthorne First-Mover Status:** Early investment in hydroponics and indoor cultivation channels positions SMG as a supplier of choice, particularly as legal cannabis and specialty crop markets expand.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Several secular and company-specific growth drivers reinforce the outlook for Scotts Miracle-Gro: - **Home & Garden Participation:** Rising trends in DIY home improvement, outdoor living spaces, and gardening foster sustained demand for SMG’s core products across demographic groups. - **Sustainable & Organic Offerings:** Growing consumer emphasis on environmentally friendly products encourages expansion of organic soils, fertilizers, and pesticide alternatives. - **Cannabis & Controlled Environment Agriculture:** Legalization and normalization of medical/recreational cannabis in multiple jurisdictions drive investment in hydroponics, nutrients, and indoor growing technology, underpinned by the Hawthorne segment. - **Channel Expansion:** E-commerce and direct-to-consumer initiatives broaden reach and reinforce repeat purchase potential. - **Product Innovation:** Ongoing introduction of value-added, higher-margin products—including smart irrigation, water-saving solutions, and enhanced gardening kits—capture incremental wallet share. - **International Diversification:** Though primarily U.S.-focused, gradual international expansion represents incremental potential for long-term growth.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Investors should carefully assess a range of risks that could impact SMG’s business results and valuation: - **Seasonality & Weather Dependency:** A significant share of sales occurs in specific seasons; adverse weather reduces gardening and lawn care expenditures. - **Retail Concentration:** Reliance on a limited group of large retailers may expose SMG to negotiating leverage from counterparties and potential volume volatility. - **Regulatory & Environmental Scrutiny:** Changing pesticide, fertilizer, and cannabis-related regulations can restrict product offerings or require costly reformulation and compliance. - **Economic Sensitivity:** Discretionary nature of consumer lawn and garden purchases makes revenue susceptible to downturns in consumer confidence. - **Commoditization Pressures:** Private-label proliferation and competition from lower-cost entrants, especially online, may pressure pricing or margins. - **Hydroponics Volatility:** Cannabis market dynamics and industry consolidation can cause short-term swings in Hawthorne segment results.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Scotts Miracle-Gro is typically valued as a branded consumer staples company with an added growth premium given its exposure to hydroponics and cannabis-related trends. Key valuation metrics include price-to-earnings, enterprise value-to-EBITDA, and free cash flow yield. Investors weigh the stability and predictability of the U.S. Consumer segment’s cash flows against the higher-risk, higher-reward profile of the Hawthorne business. Relative to traditional consumer packaged goods peers, SMG may command a premium for its innovation and leading category position, but downside risks in hydroponics and regulatory exposures can introduce valuation volatility. Dividend payments and active capital return policies add appeal for income-focused investors.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Scotts Miracle-Gro combines the steady cash generation and brand resilience of a leading consumer lawn-and-garden franchise with long-term growth opportunities in hydroponics and specialty growing applications. Its dominant retailer partnerships, recognized products, and diversified sales channels provide defensible scale advantages. The company is particularly well positioned to capture value from ongoing trends in home improvement, sustainable gardening, and the shift toward controlled environment agriculture. However, investors should balance these positives against cyclical and regulatory risk factors, as well as execution risks in rapidly evolving segments like hydroponics. For those seeking a blend of defensive attributes and growth optionality in a consumer-focused company, SMG represents a differentiated investment idea within the broader consumer and specialty agriculture landscape.

⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-27

"SMG reported quarterly revenue of $354.4 million with a net loss of $125 million and negative EPS of $2.16. The company generated $131.2 million in free cash flow. Year-over-year growth challenges persist with net income in negative territory, reflecting ongoing profitability issues. Despite positive operating cash flow, the company’s equity position is negative at -$500.6 million, due to higher liabilities relative to assets. With net debt at $2.52 billion, financial resilience is under pressure. The firm paid out dividends of $0.66, trending similarly throughout the year. Analysts’ price targets are between $66 and $71, suggesting some potential upside. Overall, while cash generation is moderate and provides some operational cushion, significant debt levels and negative equity continue to weigh on SMG's financial standing. Continued focus on improving profitability metrics and reducing leverage will be critical moving forward."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

SMG's revenue growth has been sluggish, with revenue at $354.4 million. The main drivers continue to be a challenge in demand across key segments. Growth rates remain underwhelming amid a competitive market.

Profitability

Neutral

SMG reported a net loss of $125 million, with negative EPS of $-2.16. Operating margins are under pressure and improved cost management is necessary to return to profitability.

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

The company generated positive free cash flow of $131.2 million and maintained liquidity through operating cash flows, despite negative earnings. Dividends paid were $0.66 each quarter, indicating stable cash distributions.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Neutral

Net debt stands at $2.52 billion with negative equity of -$500.6 million, indicating financial strain. Management’s focus on debt reduction and strengthening the balance sheet will be critical.

Shareholder Returns

Fair

Dividends of $0.66 yield some return to shareholders in the absence of stock repurchases. Recent price targets suggest potential for slight capital appreciation due to projected competitiveness.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Fair

Analyst price targets range from $66 to $71, implying moderate upside. The valuation remains persistent against broader market trends, hinting at a fair outlook subject to improved financial performance.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Management’s tone is strongly positive and conviction-driven: they reiterated fiscal 2026 guidance and repeatedly framed margin and free cash flow execution as well within control, citing explicit headroom mechanisms. The clearest “hard” levers are (1) Hawthorne now treated as a discontinued operation, which Mark linked to a 40 bps full-year gross margin benefit and (2) continued supply-chain/pricing-driven margin improvement with non-GAAP adjusted gross margin at 25.4% (+90 bps YoY) versus a 32%+ full-year target. In the Q&A, however, analysts pressured on delivery cadence and confidence to outperform. The only tangible concession was phasing uncertainty: the previously discussed ~2% shift in sales from 2H to 1H units may be closer to ~1% due to limited Q1 data and evolving weather/seasonal patterns. Overall, management beats the “macro uncertainty” narrative with retailer optimism, but acknowledges timing risk consistent with weather and normalized post-COVID seasonality.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Incremental listings/new product introductions across categories (e.g., granular turf builder lawn food emphasizing safety for kids/pets launching this quarter; ten-minute long care ready-to-spray liquid fertilizers with new applicator)
  • Expansion of Miracle-Gro Organics line
  • Indoor gardening expansion: Green Thumb indoor marketing campaign + new indoor light trap for flying insects and new ant trap products (Ortho); frequency lift via education on multiple feedings
  • E-commerce momentum: branded product e-commerce POS dollars +12% and units +17% in Q1; loyalty program capability on scottsmiraclegrow.com
  • Branded growth focus with retailer partnership/activation dollars shifting mix toward higher-margin branded products vs commodities
  • Pricing actions planned to support gross margin improvement

Business Development

  • Black Cow exclusivity: beginning fiscal 2027, SMG to be exclusive national distributor/manufacturer/marketer of Black Cow products (black cow manure and organic soils); retailer line reviews start next month
  • Murphy’s Naturals: agreement to become primary representative for Murphy’s Naturals (natural insect repellents); partnership supports R&D/brand/product in naturals/organic space
  • Vireo Growth transaction: pending divestiture of Hawthorne to Vireo Growth via exchange of shares; SMG enters customer agreements to continue R&D/transitional/services; Chris Hagedorn to join Vireo board and committees
  • Columbus Crew Soccer Stadium naming rights (brand recognition tied to MLS season and upcoming World Cup events)

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Hawthorne classified as discontinued operation starting the quarter; GAAP pretax impairment charge of $105 million recorded within loss from discontinued operations net of tax
  • Gross margin: GAAP gross margin rate 25% (+90 bps YoY); non-GAAP adjusted gross margin 25.4% vs 24.5% YoY (+90 bps). Management attributes improvement to supply chain cost efficiencies and planned pricing actions
  • Gross margin benefit explicitly linked to Hawthorne classification/divestiture: 40 bps improvement cited (full-year benefit). Mark also reiterated confidence in beating the 32%+ adjusted gross margin outlook with the 40 bps Hawthorne benefit
  • POS (branded only, excluding mulch/private label/commodity): Q1 slightly down ~1% in dollars and units vs 2025; management notes Q1 comping against one of the strongest first quarters on record and fall 2025 season pulled forward by favorable weather
  • Fiscal 2025 POS dollars up 2% (mirrors +1% US consumer sales)
  • E-commerce: branded e-commerce POS dollars +12% and units +17% in Q1
  • Indoor gardening POS: +7.7% dollars and +9% units in Q1
  • Roundup: +24% dollars and +27% units in Q1
  • GAAP EPS (loss) from continuing operations: -$0.83/share (vs -$1.15/share prior year). Non-GAAP adjusted loss: -$0.77/share (vs -$0.88/share prior year)
  • Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA: $3 million ahead of expectations (management cited seasonal load-in timing)
  • Interest expense: $27.2M, down 20% YoY (also referenced as contributing to leverage reduction)
  • Leverage: ended quarter at 4.03x net debt/adj. EBITDA vs 4.52x in 2025 (nearly a half-turn improvement)
  • Free cash flow: favorable by $78 million in the quarter; guidance calls for $275M full-year free cash flow to drive leverage into the high 3’s
  • Guidance reiterated (fiscal 2026): US consumer net sales growth low single digits; non-GAAP adjusted gross margin rate at least 32%; non-GAAP adjusted EPS from continuing operations $4.15–$4.35; non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA growth mid-single digits; free cash flow $275M; leverage ratio down to high 3’s

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Board approved new multi-year $500 million share repurchase program (begins later in 2026; phased/measured)
  • Ultimate share count target: ~40 million shares (requires more than the $500M; future authorizations needed)
  • Repurchase execution conditionality: pace modulated using free cash flow and to stay within leverage targets; if the company falls short vs plan, repurchase pace slows
  • Leverage goal referenced for flexibility: start repurchases in 2026 when leverage ratio comfortably below 4; stated financial goal below 3.5x

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Supply chain optimization and automation: increased automation across supply chain; Marysville plant upgrades to support fertilizer innovation; expanding capacity of growing media network; transformational AI/technology company-wide
  • Operating cost management: budgeted incremental $30M in 2026 for total $130M (automation/operating cost improvement initiatives)
  • Digital platform: consolidated brands under scottsmiraclegrow.com with AI-driven consumer guidance, educational content, e-commerce capabilities, and ability to offer loyalty programs in the future
  • Customer/POS reporting change: expanded POS reporting from 3 largest customers to 15 of largest customers including e-commerce; POS now branded products only (excluding mulch/private label/commodity); added category breakdowns (lawns/gardens/controls) aligned to shipments and representing over 80% of US consumer sales activity
  • Hawthorne separation: moved out of operating financials immediately via discontinued operation classification; expected recast of quarterly periods in fiscal 2024 and 2025 within weeks

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Management reaffirmed fiscal 2026 guidance and expressed confidence to potentially outperform
  • Q&A cadence/phasing update: starting point at year-end was a ~2% shift in sales from second half to first half unit; Mark indicated it could be closer to ~1% (i.e., potentially less back-half weighted than previously expected or a smaller first-half shift than planned). Company still expects some shift and retailer support
  • Next guidance update planned after Q2 (customary update referenced)

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Weather-driven variability: management explicitly referenced potential Northeast snowfall/parking-lot delays impacting delivery cadence; emphasized not to overreact quarter-to-quarter deviations
  • Sales phasing risk: Mark acknowledged possible adjustment to the previously assumed ~2% sales phasing shift (could be ~1% instead)
  • Weather and post-COVID pattern normalization: management discussed navigating sales patterns “a few years being out from COVID” and the potential for different cadence outcomes vs earlier assumptions
  • Hawthorne transaction/accounting: discontinued operation classification adds a one-time pretax impairment charge of $105M and requires model recasting for 2024–2025; also the minority equity position in Vireo introduces continued exposure through equity reporting (stated as minority investment moving forward)

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the SMG Q1 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (SMG)

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