NuScale Power Corporation

NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) Market Cap

NuScale Power Corporation has a market capitalization of $3.49B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $11.72

1.47 (14.34%)

Market Cap: 3.49B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: John Lawrence Hopkins

Sector: Utilities

Industry: Renewable Utilities

IPO Date: 2022-03-01

Website: https://www.nuscalepower.com

NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) - Company Information

Market Cap: 3.49B · Sector: Utilities

NuScale Power Corporation develops and sells modular light water reactor nuclear power plants to supply energy for electrical generation, district heating, desalination, hydrogen production, and other process heat applications. It offers NuScale Power Module, a water reactor that can generate 77 megawatts of electricity (MWe); The VOYGR-12 power plant that can generate 924 MWe; and four-module VOYGR-4 and six-module VOYGR-6 plants, as well as other configurations based on customer needs. NuScale Power Corporation was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Portland, Oregon. NuScale Power Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Fluor Enterprises, Inc.

Analyst Sentiment

60%
Buy

Based on 16 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $29.79

Average target (based on 3 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$15

Median

$20

High

$25

Average

$20

Potential Upside: 72.1%

Price & Moving Averages

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 NUSCALE POWER CORP CLASS A (SMR) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

NuScale Power Corp Class A (SMR) is a pure-play provider of small modular reactor (SMR) technology for the global nuclear power industry. The company has pioneered a first-of-its-kind modular light-water reactor design, aiming to offer scalable, safe, and cost-effective nuclear power solutions to utilities, government agencies, and industrial energy users. Rather than constructing large-scale, bespoke nuclear facilities, NuScale develops standardized reactor modules that can be manufactured centrally, transported to sites, and scaled in quantity to match energy demand. This approach seeks to fundamentally disrupt the economics, speed of deployment, and safety profile of nuclear energy, making the technology accessible for markets and applications that have historically been under-served due to the immense capital and regulatory complexity associated with conventional reactors. As a technology licensor and project integrator, NuScale’s business model spans reactor design, regulatory support, supply chain development, and project delivery oversight. The company collaborates with engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) partners, equipment suppliers, and utility customers to bring SMR-powered energy projects from conceptualization to operation. NuScale’s revenue model leverages licensing fees, engineering and design services, project management roles, and, over time, potential long-term service and maintenance agreements.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

NuScale’s monetization strategy incorporates several revenue streams: - **Technology Licensing Fees:** Utilities and independent power producers pay for the rights to use NuScale’s certified SMR designs in new nuclear generating units. These fees are associated with different phases of project development, often encompassing initial site studies through to plant commissioning. - **Engineering and Project Services:** NuScale offers specialized engineering, regulatory, commissioning, and technical services to support customers throughout the project lifecycle. Fees for these services contribute both recurring and project-based revenue. - **Supply Chain Coordination and EPC Support:** As an integrator, NuScale provides oversight and technical assistance as new modules are manufactured and installed, receiving revenues associated with project management, quality assurance, and compliance roles. - **Long-Term Services and Maintenance:** After a plant is commissioned, NuScale anticipates steady income from long-term service agreements, spare parts supply, upgrades, and operational support. - **Potential Power Sales Participation:** In select scenarios, NuScale may take equity or revenue-sharing stakes in SMR-based power projects, aligning its financial interests with plant performance and output. Because SMR deployments carry multi-year project timelines and regulatory lead times, NuScale’s revenue realization is expected to be backloaded, with larger project and service fees accruing at construction and operational stages.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

NuScale enjoys several structural and technological advantages as a first-mover in the commercial SMR sector: - **First U.S.-Certified SMR:** NuScale’s technology has been subjected to rigorous regulatory review and received design approval from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, a key credential when competing globally. - **Modularization and Scalability:** The NuScale Power Module is designed for standardized manufacturing, reducing site-specific engineering costs and offering scalability from as few as four modules up to twelve per power plant. This enables utilities to match capacity to demand and phase future expansions with lower upfront risk. - **Enhanced Safety Profile:** NuScale SMRs utilize passive safety systems that eliminate the need for external power or operator intervention in case of emergencies, a strong differentiator in public and regulatory acceptance. - **Cost & Timeline Predictability:** Modular construction and well-defined supply chains aim to deliver greater cost certainty and reduce lead times compared to traditional “stick-built” large-scale nuclear reactors, which are often hampered by delays and cost overruns. - **Experience and Partnerships:** The company has established relationships with major EPC firms, power utilities, and government agencies worldwide, positioning itself to participate in flagship pilot and first-of-a-kind deployment projects. - **Growing Pipeline:** NuScale is among a small cohort of SMR developers with a visible pipeline of advanced domestic and international projects.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Several secular trends and company-specific catalysts underpin NuScale’s longer-term growth outlook: - **Global Clean Energy Mandates:** Accelerating decarbonization goals, net-zero commitments, and sovereign climate targets are driving interest in reliable, carbon-free base-load power sources—conditions that strongly favor nuclear and SMR adoption. - **Limitations of Renewables:** Intermittency challenges associated with solar and wind, along with mounting grid reliability needs, create demand for complementing energy sources like SMRs that offer always-on generation with a smaller land and water footprint. - **Nuclear Renaissance Policy Tailwinds:** National and regional governments are pursuing policies that favor new nuclear investment, streamline regulatory bottlenecks, and provide financial incentives for advanced nuclear deployment. - **Retiring Coal & Aging Infrastructure:** North America and European countries are decommissioning coal-fired plants, many of which are situated on grid nodes that can be repowered with NuScale’s modular reactors, leveraging existing transmission infrastructure. - **Global Export Opportunities:** Many countries, particularly in Asia, Eastern Europe, and the Middle East, are looking to diversify energy mixes, localize power production, and increase energy independence—markets where NuScale’s standardized, scalable offering could play a critical role. - **Industrial and Non-Electric Applications:** SMRs are suited not only for grid electricity, but also for process heat, hydrogen production, desalination, and microgrid applications in remote locations, expanding the total addressable market beyond traditional electricity production.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Despite compelling strategic positioning, NuScale faces several significant risks: - **Project Execution & Delays:** Multi-year nuclear projects are inherently complex, with substantial execution risk in cost management, supply chain readiness, construction, and regulatory review. - **Regulatory and Licensing Uncertainty:** While U.S. design certification is a milestone, each project and jurisdiction entails additional licensing, permitting, and environmental reviews that can introduce delays or additional costs. - **Customer & Financing Risk:** SMR customers must secure significant capital and regulatory approval, posing risks of project deferral or cancellation. NuScale’s own cash flow depends on progressing multiple projects through late-stage development. - **Competitive Landscape:** Utilities are canvassing a range of SMR and advanced nuclear technologies; international competitors and alternative clean energy vendors (such as renewables with storage) may erode NuScale's early-mover advantage. - **Technology Adoption Risk:** Broader adoption of SMRs hinges on successful demonstration of construction at scale, cost performance, and ongoing operational reliability. Any misstep could hamper market confidence. - **Political and Public Sentiment:** Nuclear remains highly sensitive to public and policymaker attitudes regarding safety, waste, and proliferation risks. Shifts in sentiment can impact project pipelines and regulatory frameworks.

📊 Valuation & Market View

NuScale’s valuation framework is atypical compared to mature energy companies, as it reflects limited short-term revenues and negative free cash flows offset by significant long-term addressable market potential. Valuation methodologies often rely on projections of contracted project milestones, future service income, and royalties over the multi-decade lifecycle of SMR deployments, discounted to present value. Investor expectations price in commercialization risks and timing uncertainty, but are underpinned by the view that even a small share of new nuclear buildout could yield substantial recurring revenues over time. Market sentiment toward NuScale is influenced by milestone-based de-risking: progress with pilot deployments, customer wins, regulatory approvals, and manufacturing scale-ups are key catalysts. Conversely, project delays, cost overruns, or adverse policy developments could pose downside to consensus assumptions.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

NuScale Power represents a leveraged play on the next phase of the global clean energy transformation, offering exposure to the commercialization of small modular nuclear reactors—a technology with the potential to address grid decarbonization, reliability, and energy security at scale. The company’s first-mover status, regulatory credentials, and established partnerships provide a meaningful foundation, although execution challenges and capital intensity remain pronounced. NuScale offers long-horizon investors the opportunity to participate in a potentially transformative segment of the energy market, albeit with above-average regulatory, technology, and execution risks. The path to profitability is highly contingent on successful demonstration projects and progression toward serial SMR deployment, making ongoing project, policy, and market monitoring essential for investment thesis validation.

⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Management’s tone is confident: they highlight NRC 77-MWe design certification completion, 12 modules already under production, and rapid commercialization momentum via ENTRA1/TVA (6 GW program) plus RoPower FEED Phase 2 completion. They also emphasize balance sheet defensiveness with $1.3B liquidity and assert burn/runway is “not an issue.” However, the Q&A shows analyst pressure around concrete commercialization mechanics—especially binding PPA “gating factors” and timing versus the end-of-2025 target. Management repeatedly deflects with NDA/confidentiality (PPA triggers, term sheet/multibillion-dollar institution identity, and revenue timing detail are not provided). Romania is also framed as dependent on Fluor and RoPower negotiations before NuScale can fully convert pre-EPC work into revenue. Net: upbeat operational progress (modules/manufacturing and FEED milestones) contrasts with limited, non-quantified visibility on the near-term revenue cadence tied to binding PPAs and EPC-side deal finalization.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • NRC approval of 77-MWe standard design ahead of schedule (completed regulatory hurdle; enables broader off-taker set)
  • ENTRA1 + TVA progress toward a 6 GW PPA (72 NPMs / 6 ENTRA1 plants) and associated COLA/FEED activities
  • Completion of Fluor RoPower FEED Phase 2; Romanian shareholder vote to advance licensing/geotechnical toward pre-EPC
  • Doosan modules in production (12 modules under production; capacity expansion to 20 modules/year and eventual doubling)

Business Development

  • ENTRA1 Energy (exclusive global commercialization partner) partnering with TVA for 6 GW power supply
  • Fluor Corporation (EPC front-end) for RoPower Doicesti in Romania (NuScale subcontractor; generates services under Fluor contract)
  • ENेत्रА1 (project developer) to draft definitive PPA with TVA
  • Oak Ridge National Laboratory collaboration (technoeconomic assessment for process steam/power for chemical facilities)
  • Idaho National Laboratory (study validating NuScale high-temperature process steam comparable to high temperature gas reactors)
  • Ebara Elliott Energy (collaborative program to fabricate/field test high-temperature steam compression system at Pennsylvania plant; seeking petrochemical player)
  • Japan U.S.-Japan investment initiative: ENTRA1 named on Japan’s $550B U.S. investment initiative fact sheet

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Liquidity increased to $1.3B at Dec 31, 2025 vs $754M at Sep 30, 2025 and $442M at end of 2024
  • FY2025 revenue: $31.5M vs $37.0M prior year (decrease driven by reduced RoPower technology licensing revenue; partially offset by higher Fluor Phase 2 engineering/services revenue)
  • RoPower FEED Phase 2 revenue recognized: $63.1M over 18 months ending Dec 2025 (licensing fees + engineering work)
  • Material weakness remediation (ICFR/ITGC): disclosed in 2024 annual report; remediation completed with “clean bill of health” from EY by call time
  • Operating cash burn/runway commentary: OpEx (ex one-time items) guided as ~$170M–$200M; Ramsey cited ~$193M adjusted basis for 2024

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Cash/liquidity: ~$1.3B at Dec 31, 2025; arithmetically ~$1.0B cash on balance sheet referenced during Q&A
  • Post-close disclosure: payment of about $250M out (Note 9 referenced) reducing cash mathematically to ~$1.0B
  • No specific buyback amount disclosed in transcript

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Asset-light model reiterated: NuScale as technology provider; Doosan as primary manufacturing arm; ENTRA1 as infrastructure developer
  • Doosan production status: 12 modules under production; long-lead materials ordered; capacity increase to 20 modules/year then doubling
  • RoPower path: FEED Phase 2 complete; authorization to advance licensing/geotechnical toward pre-EPC; anticipated pre-EPC activities beginning Q2 2026 with up to 15 months duration including Class 2 cost estimate (from prepared remarks)

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Binding PPA timing: prior guidance referenced by analyst question (end of 2025), but company would not provide gating-factor detail beyond NDA/limited disclosures
  • ENTRA1 TVA next steps after binding PPA: begin COLA + FEED activities to generate revenue (Clayton Scott expectation; “more than RoPower” due to larger plant size)

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • PPA gating factors / delay: analysts asked what caused delay versus prior end-of-2025 binding PPA expectation; management would not disclose specifics (NDA/general counsel said “we can’t say anything more”)
  • Developer-led model limits transparency: term sheet details and financing institution identity not shareable under NDA
  • RoPower revenue timing dependency: NuScale is subcontractor to Fluor; revenue generation depends on Fluor/RoPower deal steps (waiting on counterpart negotiations)
  • Pricing expectation for SMR modules: analyst referenced INL/Oak Ridge-style $5,500/kW; CEO said not familiar with that number—pricing applicability to TVA/Romania not confirmed

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the SMR Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"SMR reported revenue of $1.8M, while facing a substantial net loss of $50.8M. The company has a negative EPS of $0.16 and has not generated positive cash flow, with operating cash flow at -$203.7M. Total assets stand at $1.41B against $298.96M in liabilities, showing a strong equity position of $1.11B and a net debt of -$836.42M, indicating significant cash reserves relative to debt. However, the stock has underperformed significantly, with a one-year price change of -39.46% and no dividends paid, leading to a poor total return for shareholders. With a current price of $11.43, the market performance reflects ongoing challenges in revenue generation and losses, which contribute to the overall negative sentiment towards the stock. The price target consensus is at $20.17, suggesting potential upside, but the current fundamentals raise concerns regarding the ability to achieve this estimate sustainably."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

Minimal revenue with no growth.

Profitability

Neutral

Significant losses reported.

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

Negative cash flow across metrics.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Positive

Strong equity position and net cash.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

Negative price performance and no dividends.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Price target suggests potential, but risks persist.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

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SEC Filings (SMR)

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