Taylor Morrison Home Corporation

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) Market Cap

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation has a market capitalization of $5.84B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $60.64

3.25 (5.66%)

Market Cap: 5.84B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: Sheryl Denise Palmer

Sector: Consumer Cyclical

Industry: Residential Construction

IPO Date: 2013-04-10

Website: https://www.taylormorrison.com

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) - Company Information

Market Cap: 5.84B · Sector: Consumer Cyclical

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a public homebuilder in the United States. The company designs, builds, and sells single and multi-family detached and attached homes; and develops lifestyle and master-planned communities. It also develops and constructs multi-use properties consisting of commercial space, retail, and multi-family properties under the Urban Form brand name; and offers title insurance and closing settlement services, as well as financial services. In addition, the company operates under the Taylor Morrison, William Lyon Signature, and Darling Homes brand names in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, North and South Carolina, Oregon, Texas, and Washington. Taylor Morrison Home Corporation was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.

Analyst Sentiment

82%
Strong Buy

Based on 10 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $72.14

Average target (based on 3 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$62

Median

$70

High

$80

Average

$71

Potential Upside: 16.5%

Price & Moving Averages

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📘 Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 TAYLOR MORRISON HOME CORP (TMHC) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) is a leading national homebuilder and land developer in the United States. The company operates under several brands and serves a diverse range of customers, from first-time homebuyers to move-up families and active adult communities. TMHC’s integrated business model covers the entire value chain of homebuilding, including land acquisition, entitlement, land development, construction, sales and marketing, and customer service. Taylor Morrison also maintains ancillary businesses, such as mortgage lending and title insurance, to enhance the customer experience and capture further revenue opportunities within the broader home buying process.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

TMHC generates revenue primarily through the sale of completed homes, which constitute the core of its business. Home sales revenue is driven by average selling prices, volumes, and the geographic mix of deliveries. The company also earns revenue from land sales, either to other builders or land investors, typically in connection with portfolio optimization or community development strategies. In addition, Taylor Morrison provides mortgage origination, title, and insurance services, capturing fee-based revenue streams that not only help smooth the buyer process but also increase overall profitability. These ancillary businesses are often cross-sold to home buyers, supporting higher attachment rates and incremental earnings.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Taylor Morrison distinguishes itself with several competitive strengths: - **Geographic Diversification**: TMHC is strategically positioned in multiple high-growth metropolitan areas across the Sun Belt, West, and other attractive U.S. markets. This broad footprint mitigates regional economic cycles and supports sustained demand. - **Brand Portfolio & Customer Reach**: Through brands such as Taylor Morrison, Darling Homes, and Esplanade, the company targets various demographics, including the lucrative active adult and luxury segments. - **Land Acquisition & Development**: The company’s disciplined approach to land sourcing and development supports higher margins and reduces exposure to speculative swings in land values. - **Integrated Services**: Offering in-house mortgage, title, and insurance services allows Taylor Morrison to capture additional margin while enhancing the customer experience, promoting loyalty, and reducing transaction friction. - **Reputation for Quality**: Recognized for customer satisfaction and quality construction, TMHC leverages industry awards and ratings to reinforce brand trust.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Long-term growth prospects for Taylor Morrison are supported by several structural and company-specific trends: - **Favorable Demographics**: The multi-decade tailwind of household formation, fueled by Millennials entering peak buying years and Baby Boomers relocating or downsizing, underpins robust housing demand across TMHC’s target segments. - **Migration to Sun Belt and High-Growth Markets**: Persistent preference for states with attractive climates, job growth, and favorable tax environments aligns with TMHC’s land positions and regional focus. - **Demand for New Homes**: A national housing shortage, exacerbated by years of underbuilding and aging housing stock, provides an elevated runway for new construction. - **Active Adult and Lifestyle Communities**: Taylor Morrison has expanded its footprint in 55+ and lifestyle-oriented communities, capturing demand from affluent retirees seeking modern amenities. - **Digital Engagement and Operational Efficiencies**: Continued investments in digital marketing, virtual selling tools, and operational streamlining drive higher conversion rates and scalable margins. - **Resilient Mortgage Origination**: Offering integrated mortgage services helps navigate affordability challenges, increases buyer conversion, and keeps customers in-house through tailored financial solutions.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Investors should consider the following key risks: - **Housing Market Cyclicality**: TMHC’s business is inherently sensitive to macroeconomic cycles, changes in employment, consumer confidence, and mortgage rates. Sharp interest rate increases or economic downturns could sharply impact demand. - **Land and Construction Costs**: Fluctuations in land prices, labor expenses, and material input costs can pressure margins. Delays or supply chain disruptions may affect construction schedules and profitability. - **Regulatory and Legal Risks**: Zoning, environmental regulations, and permitting processes can delay development, increase costs, or limit geographic expansion. Changes in government policy, such as first-time buyer incentives or tax credits, could alter buying behaviors. - **Mortgage Access and Affordability Barriers**: Higher interest rates or tighter lending standards may limit the pool of qualified buyers, particularly among entry-level segments. - **Competition**: The homebuilding industry is highly competitive, with both national and regional builders vying for land, labor, and buyers. TMHC must continually invest in brand differentiation and operational efficiency to defend market share. - **Execution Risk in New Markets or Segments**: Expansions into new geographies, price points, or service offerings carry risks of misallocation of capital, operational missteps, or mismatched product-market fit.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Taylor Morrison is typically valued on a mix of price-to-earnings, price-to-book, and enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiples, alongside book value per share given the asset-intensive nature of homebuilding. The market often discounts the cyclical risks inherent in the sector, potentially leading to lower multiples during late-cycle periods or credit tightening environments. Conversely, the company tends to command a valuation premium tied to its geographic mix, margin discipline, capital allocation strategy, and ancillary service contributions. Analysts also consider the land position, backlog, gross margins, and order trends as important forward-looking indicators. The company’s active buyback programs and prudent balance sheet management may support capital returns and influence overall valuation dynamics.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation represents a well-established, geographically diversified homebuilder with robust entry points across major U.S. housing markets. The company’s integrated approach—including in-house mortgage and title services—serves to enhance margins while reducing customer friction, positioning TMHC well to capitalize on both cyclical upswings and secular housing demand trends. Its focus on high-growth Sun Belt and 55+ communities, coupled with operational discipline, creates durable competitive advantages. However, investors must remain vigilant to macroeconomic, regulatory, and execution risks typical of the industry. Over the multi-year horizon, TMHC offers a compelling combination of growth potential, margin resilience, and strategic market positioning—balancing cyclical exposure with targeted growth initiatives.

⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"TMHC (latest quarter 2025-12-31) reported Revenue of $2.10B and Net Income of $174.0M, with EPS of $1.79. Revenue was up +2.1% QoQ ($2.096B vs. $2.096B) and up +10.7% YoY (vs. 2025-03-31 revenue of $1.896B). Net Income declined -13.6% QoQ ($174.0M vs. $201.4M) but was -18.5% YoY (vs. $213.5M in 2025-03-31). Over the four-quarter period, revenue rose from ~$1.90B (2025-03-31) to ~$2.10B (2025-12-31), while net income was more volatile—ending lower than earlier quarters. Profitability appears to have weakened in the most recent quarter: net income margin fell to ~8.3% (174.0M / 2.10B) from ~9.6% in 2025-09-30. Cash flow is mixed but shows improvement in 2025-12-31/2025-09-30 (FCF was positive in 2025-09-30: ~$216.8M; negative in 2025-06-30: ~-$133.6M). Balance sheet resilience is stable: total assets increased to ~$9.84B and equity strengthened to ~$6.31B. There is no dividend activity or buyback disclosure, so shareholder returns rely on stock performance. Shares traded around $57.74 with modest 1-year momentum (+3.16%); valuation looks reasonable with P/E ~8.2x. Analyst consensus target ($72.33) implies upside, with a high/low range of $85/$62."

Revenue Growth

Positive

Revenue increased from $1.90B (2025-03-31) to $2.10B (2025-12-31). YoY growth for the latest quarter was +10.7% (vs. 2025-03-31), while QoQ growth was modest at about +0.2% (2025-09-30 to 2025-12-31).

Profitability

Fair

Net income fell -13.6% QoQ (to $174.0M) and -18.5% YoY, with margin declining to ~8.3% from ~9.6% in the prior quarter—suggesting profitability contraction despite revenue growth.

Cash Flow Quality

Fair

FCF is volatile across the period: positive in 2025-09-30 (~$216.8M) and negative in 2025-06-30 (~-$133.6M). Latest quarter cash flow fields show zeros, limiting confidence in near-term FCF trajectory; no dividends are paid.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Positive

Total assets trended up to ~$9.84B and equity increased to ~$6.31B by 2025-12-31. Net debt rose vs. mid-year (~$2.04B in 2025-06-30 to ~$1.51B in 2025-12-31), indicating improving leverage into the latest quarter.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

No dividend history disclosed. Total return is mainly price-driven; 1Y change is +3.16% (not >20%), with 6M at -8.26% and YTD -1.85%, indicating muted momentum.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Positive

P/E is around 8.2x (latest), and the consensus target ($72.33) suggests upside vs. $57.74 current price, with a bullish range skew (targetHigh $85).

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

TMHC delivered Q4 and full-year results that met or exceeded expectations, with industry-leading margins, SG&A leverage, and solid returns in 2025. The company enters 2026 with early sales momentum but a lower-than-normal backlog and elevated spec inventory, guiding to lower closings and near-term gross margin pressure in Q1 before gradual improvement through the year. Strategy is centered on core markets, higher-margin move-up and resort lifestyle communities (notably Esplanade), capital-light expansion of Yardley build-to-rent, and continued operational gains from faster cycle times and proprietary AI tools, positioning for a re-acceleration in 2027 and beyond.

Growth

  • FY25 book value per share grew 14%
  • Esplanade (resort lifestyle) Q4 net orders +7% y/y
  • Modestly increased FY25 closings volume vs prior year despite industry flat-to-down
  • High single-digit outlet growth expected by YE 2026 to 365–370 communities
  • Construction cycle times improved >5 weeks y/y and >9 weeks vs two years ago

Business Development

  • Plan to open 100+ communities in 2026, including 20+ new Esplanade outlets (most opening in H1)
  • Expanding Esplanade brand; delivers higher pricing and margins vs balance of business
  • Built-to-Rent platform (Yardley): ~10,400 homesites across 9 markets; supported by $3B land bank with Kennedy Lewis; <10% of units on balance sheet
  • Deployed proprietary AI-enabled tools (Customer 360 for sales/warranty; purchasing analytics and standardization) to streamline operations
  • Brand recognition: America’s Most Trusted Builder for the 11th consecutive year; named to Fortune’s Most Admired Companies list

Financials

  • Q4 GAAP net income $174M ($1.76/share); adjusted $188M ($1.91/share), excluding pre-acquisition abandonment charges and loss on debt extinguishment
  • FY25 GAAP net income $783M ($7.77/share); adjusted $830M ($8.24/share)
  • Q4 home closings: 3,285 homes; ASP ~$596k; revenue ~$2.0B
  • FY25 home closings: 12,997 homes; ASP ~$597k; revenue ~$7.8B
  • Q4 home closings gross margin 21.8%; FY25 reported 22.5% and adjusted 23.0% (vs FY24 24.4%/24.5%)
  • Q4 net orders 2,499 (-5% y/y); absorption pace 2.4 per community (vs 2.6 y/y); cancellations 12.5% (down from 15.4% in Q3 and 13.1% y/y)
  • Ended Q4 with 5,682 homes under construction, incl. 2,956 specs (1,232 finished); total spec count down 11% q/q
  • Q4 spec share: 72% of sales and 66% of closings (vs 61%/54% a year ago)
  • FY25 ROE 13%; SG&A leverage improved 40 bps y/y on essentially flat closings revenue

Capital & Funding

  • Repurchased $381M of shares in 2025
  • Redeemed 2027 senior notes; recognized loss on extinguishment in Q4
  • Owned/controlled lots at YE: 78,835 (54% controlled off-balance sheet) vs 86,153 (57% controlled) at YE 2024; long-term controlled lot target ≥65%
  • Homebuilding land investment ~$2.2B in 2025 (down from $2.4B in 2024); plan ~$2.0B in 2026
  • Yardley backed by $3B land bank; capital-light with majority of units off balance sheet

Operations & Strategy

  • Emphasis on move-up and resort lifestyle segments; limiting new land in non-core, price-sensitive submarkets
  • Actively managing spec inventory (nearly 3,000 unsold at YE, incl. ~1,200 finished); selective new spec starts
  • Targeting shift back toward to-be-built orders (January to-be-built share +700 bps vs Q4) to support margins
  • Faster cycle times enable starts well into Q3 for year-end closings, enhancing production flexibility
  • Buyer mix in Q4: 31% entry-level, 49% move-up, 20% resort lifestyle
  • Focus on prime locations, community design, amenities, and wellness; 85% of 2025 land approvals in core locations

Market & Outlook

  • Affordability modestly improved (lower rates, wage growth), but consumers remain incentive- and price-sensitive
  • Elevated industry inventory and competitive pricing persist
  • Early 2026 momentum: Q4 absorptions held vs Q3; January strength despite winter storms; spring selling season ramping
  • Geography: strongest in Florida, California, and Phoenix; softness in Texas, especially Austin
  • 2026 guidance: ~11,000 closings (Q1 ~2,200); ASP ~$580k in Q1 and $580–$590k for FY; Q1 gross margin ~20% ex-inventory charges; margins expected to improve gradually thereafter
  • Entered 2026 with lower-than-normal backlog just over 2,800 homes, increasing dependency on in-year sales

Risks Or Headwinds

  • Lower starting backlog increases reliance on spring selling season and in-year demand
  • High spec inventory and sell-through prioritization to pressure near-term gross margins (notably H1)
  • Persistent competitive pricing and elevated new-home supply
  • Regional softness in Texas (Austin) could weigh on orders
  • Controlled-lot ratio declined to 54%, below long-term target
  • Macro and political uncertainty may affect consumer confidence and demand

Sentiment: CAUTIOUS

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the TMHC Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (TMHC)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) Financial Profile