NCR Voyix Corporation

NCR Voyix Corporation (VYX) Market Cap

NCR Voyix Corporation has a market capitalization of $977.2M.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $7.03

-0.01 (-0.14%)

Market Cap: 977.25M

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: James G. Kelly

Sector: Technology

Industry: Information Technology Services

IPO Date: 1996-12-11

Website: https://ncrvoyix.com

NCR Voyix Corporation (VYX) - Company Information

Market Cap: 977.25M · Sector: Technology

NCR Corporation provides various software and services in the United States, Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through Retail, Hospitality, Digital Banking, Payments & Network, and Self-Service Banking segments. It offers managed services, including ATM-as-a-Service solutions that allow banks to run their end-to-end ATM channels; software, services, and hardware; and digital banking solutions for financial institution's consumer and business customers. The company also provides solutions for banking channel services, transaction processing, imaging, and branch services. In addition, it offers solutions for retail industry comprising comprehensive API-point of sale (POS) retail software platforms and applications, hardware terminals and peripherals, payment processing solutions, and consumer engagement solutions, as well as self-service kiosks, which consists of self-checkout (SCO). Further, the company provides technology solutions to customers in the hospitality industry comprising table-service, quick-service, and fast casual restaurants. It also offers cloud-based and cloud-enabled software applications for point-of-sale, back office, payment processing, kitchen production, restaurant management, eCommerce, and consumer marketing and loyalty; and hospitality-oriented hardware products, such as POS terminals, kitchen display systems, handheld devices, printers, and peripherals. Additionally, the company provides managed network and infrastructure services to enterprise clients, as well as professional, field, and remote services for network technologies. It also offers solutions for customer account opening and onboarding across digital, branch, and call center channels. NCR Corporation was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Analyst Sentiment

77%
Strong Buy

Based on 15 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $14.33

Average target (based on 2 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$12

Median

$13

High

$13

Average

$13

Potential Upside: 77.8%

Price & Moving Averages

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📘 Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 NCR VOYIX CORP (VYX) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

NCR VOYIX CORP (VYX) operates as a key technology and services partner across the retail, hospitality, and banking sectors, delivering integrated solutions that enable businesses to modernize transactions and customer experiences. The company has evolved from its legacy as a cash register manufacturer into a global provider of digital-first, cloud-enabled platforms that power next-generation commerce. NCR VOYIX’s end-to-end portfolio spans software, hardware, and comprehensive managed services designed to streamline operations, improve security, and drive customer engagement for enterprises of all sizes. The company typically embeds itself within customer workflows, providing critical infrastructure around point-of-sale (POS) systems, self-service kiosks, ATMs, and payment ecosystems.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

NCR VOYIX derives revenue from several synergistic streams: - **Software Solutions**: Recurring revenues via licensing, cloud-based subscription models, and SaaS platforms for transaction processing, customer engagement, and analytics. - **Hardware Sales**: Margin-generating sales of point-of-sale terminals, ATMs, kiosks, and other self-service hardware components. - **Services & Maintenance**: Ongoing support contracts, managed services, hardware maintenance, and professional implementation driving predictable cash flow. - **Payments & Network Services**: Transaction-based fees and revenue shares from processing payments, operating retail banking networks, and enabling cardless/customer-initiated transactions. This multi-pronged monetization approach builds a resilient foundation of recurring revenue, underpinned by high customer switching costs and embedded long-term contracts.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

NCR VOYIX holds a defensible market position as a mission-critical provider to some of the world’s largest financial institutions, retailers, and hospitality chains. Several competitive advantages anchor its leadership: - **End-to-End Platform Integration**: Ability to deliver seamlessly integrated software, hardware, and services reduces complexity for customers and enhances switching costs. - **Scale and Installed Base**: A vast global installation footprint in ATMs, POS terminals, and kiosks ensures ongoing service and upgrade revenues, underpinning strong customer relationships. - **Domain Expertise**: Decades of industry experience enable deep vertical specialization, translating into tailored solutions that address complex regulatory, security, and operational requirements. - **Innovation Engines**: Active investment in cloud-native architectures, digital payments, IoT-enabled devices, and edge computing keeps the offering competitive and responsive to evolving industry needs. - **Long-Term Client Relationships**: High-touch partnership models and multi-year service agreements create embedded revenue visibility. These factors consolidate NCR VOYIX’s role as an indispensable digital infrastructure provider in mission-critical commerce environments.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Multiple secular growth drivers offer a robust medium- and long-term runway for NCR VOYIX: - **Digital Transformation in Commerce**: Ongoing modernization of retail, hospitality, and banking through cloud migration, omnichannel solutions, and contactless payments. - **Demand for Integrated Payment Platforms**: Expansion in digital payments and alternative transaction methods fuels growth in NCR VOYIX’s network and payment services portfolio. - **ATM & Self-Service Kiosk Evolution**: Banks and retailers investing in self-service technologies to improve efficiency and customer experience. - **International Expansion**: Growing adoption of advanced POS, payments, and banking infrastructure in emerging markets. - **Recurring Software & Services Revenue**: Shift from hardware- to software-service-centric contracts increases margin profile and earnings predictability. - **Upselling & Cross-Selling Opportunities**: Ability to monetize installed base through layered services, analytics, and security offerings. - **Regulatory Compliance Needs**: Rising complexity in data protection and payment compliance drives demand for secure, compliant systems provided by trusted vendors. Collectively, these catalysts underlie the company’s positioning to benefit from digital transformation across key verticals.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Despite attractive fundamentals, NCR VOYIX faces several risk considerations: - **Competitive Intensity**: Fragmentation and rapid innovation in fintech, payments, and POS sectors from both legacy and disruptive entrants. - **Technology Obsolescence**: The need for continuous investment to maintain competitiveness and defend against newer, cloud-native or mobile-first competitors. - **Customer Concentration**: Large contracts with major banks or retailers drive revenue concentration risk. - **Macroeconomic Sensitivity**: Exposure to cycles in capital spending from key end-markets (e.g., retail, hospitality, banking), particularly in downturns. - **Execution Complexity**: Integration risks from acquisitions, large-scale platform migrations, or complex enterprise deployments. - **Cybersecurity & Compliance**: As a steward of sensitive financial and retail data, operational or reputational risks associated with potential breaches or regulatory lapses. - **Supply Chain Disruption**: Hardware dependencies could be impacted by semiconductor shortages or geopolitical instability. Ongoing management of these risks is critical for sustained value creation.

📊 Valuation & Market View

NCR VOYIX’s valuation framework typically reflects its blended hardware-software-service model, with market participants estimating value based on a combination of revenue multiples (weighted towards recurring revenues), adjusted EBITDA multiples, and discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis to capture long-term service contract contributions. Its installed base, high recurring revenue composition, and secular growth drivers position the company favorably compared to legacy hardware vendors, though at a valuation discount to pure SaaS or high-growth fintech peers. Market perceptions hinge on NCR VOYIX’s ability to accelerate its transformation from a capital-intensive hardware model toward a margin-accretive, recurring digital platform business. Progress in this regard tends to support multiple expansion. Dividend policies, capital allocation discipline, and bolt-on strategic acquisitions are closely scrutinized by the investment community.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

NCR VOYIX stands at a strategic inflection point, leveraging a rich heritage and comprehensive technology suite to enable the digital transformation of commerce. Its diversified revenue streams, mission-critical platforms, and entrenched customer relationships provide a sturdy foundation for long-term growth and cash flow generation. While secular trends in digital payments, self-service enablement, and omnichannel integration provide compelling tailwinds, NCR VOYIX must navigate an evolving competitive and technological landscape, alongside execution and regulatory risks inherent to its sectors. Investors seeking exposure to digital infrastructure at the nexus of retail, hospitality, and banking may view NCR VOYIX as a leveraged play on the digital modernization of legacy industries. Prudent portfolio construction would balance growth potential against the risk profile and cyclical sensitivity, with close attention to execution on the company’s ongoing transition to higher-quality, recurring revenue models.

⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"VYX reported substantial revenue of $720M and a net income of $98M, translating to an EPS of $0.64. The company's balance sheet shows total assets of $3.921B against total liabilities of $2.766B, leading to a solid equity position of $1.155B. However, VYX is currently managing substantial net debt of $1.365B. Operating cash flow stands at $60M, but the company reported negative free cash flow of $105M after accounting for significant capital expenditures of $165M. Although dividends were paid amounting to $8M, this is not sufficient to offset the declining share price, which has dropped by approximately 37.82% over the past year. The market price of $6.28 is well below any price targets, which range from $12 to $18. The company must enhance its cash flow generation while addressing its debt to improve overall financial stability, investor confidence, and shareholder returns."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

Solid revenue of $720M indicates stability, but growth rate needs further analysis.

Profitability

Fair

Positive net income of $98M provides some profitability, but margin details could provide better insights.

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

Negative free cash flow raises concerns about operational efficiency and capital management.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Caution

High net debt compared to total equity may indicate potential financial risk.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

Significant loss in share price over the year and minimal dividend payout result in a low score.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Fair

Price targets suggest potential upside, but current performance undermines positive sentiment.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Management is clearly in “scaling after transformation” mode: they cite >20 signed platform contracts, platform/backlog deployment of 9–18 months, and multiple named enterprise wins (Chipotle, Red Robin, Colruyt, 7‑Eleven Philippines) with AI and store-in-a-box momentum. However, analyst pressure in the Q&A highlights operational and financial friction points. The biggest on-the-ground hurdle is enterprise rollout complexity: complex POS changes must navigate November freeze/blackout periods, training, and “heart surgery” constraints that require zero disruption. On the financial side, the guidance implies a structural revenue headwind from the ODM model (reported revenue down 13–18% in 2026 effective April 1), and Q&A clarifies that EBITDA growth is also tempered by lapping 2025 TSA fee tailwinds. SMB is the specific candid drag: price-sensitive churn in a crowded segment, compounded by legacy product limitations—expected to improve only as Aloha Next/store-in-a-box launches in 2H. Net: strong platform traction, but 2026 numbers carry real execution and mix headwinds.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • More than 20 platform contracts signed; expectation to deploy backlog over next 9 to 18 months
  • Chipotle signed as first enterprise restaurant platform customer under a previously announced exclusive six-year global agreement; Aloha Next in lab with readiness milestones on track
  • Voyix POS platform momentum: 2 new enterprise retail logos in Q4 (Colruyt Group in Belgium/Luxembourg/France across 850+ stores; 7-Eleven Philippines c-store across 4,500+ stores beginning later this year)
  • Restaurant platform rollout: Menu rolling out to multiple enterprise customers next month; SmartManager already in pilot with multiple customers
  • AI innovation in 2026: AI to examine business logic of live production stores; automated rollouts for add-ons (e.g., AI Pick List Assist)
  • Store-in-a-box offering for major fuel positioned as self-deployable in under 15 minutes; restaurants and grocery store-in-a-box launches in second half of 2026

Business Development

  • Colruyt Group (Belgium-based grocery chain): long-term agreement to implement Voyix POS for grocery across 850+ stores in Belgium, Luxembourg, and France
  • 7-Eleven Philippines (multi-year): Voyix POS for c-store across 4,500+ stores beginning later in 2026
  • Chipotle: exclusive six-year global agreement for Aloha Next; rollout on schedule with both teams aligned on readiness milestones
  • Red Robin: renewed and expanded long-standing relationship; new five-year agreement includes managing service desk operations and delivering tools/tech/support; Red Robin will be first enterprise table service brand to adopt Aloha OrderPay
  • Payments integrations: Voyix Connect certification with Corpay in January; WEX certification expected in Q2; integrating remaining customers migrated from JetPay front-end platform
  • Mexico referral agreement (Latin America payment acceptance support)
  • Worldpay agreement: signed earlier in the year; focus on JetPay; migration complete (per James Kelly)

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Q4 revenue: up 6% to $720M; driven by higher hardware sales partially offset by lower fees from transitional service agreements with NCR Atleos and Conduent
  • Q4 reported recurring revenue: up 1% to $422M (3% excluding a divestiture); Software ARR and total ARR: both up 3%
  • Q4 platform sites up 8% to 80,000; payment sites up 4% to 8,600
  • Adjusted EBITDA: up 17% to $130M; margin expanded 170 bps to 18.1% driven primarily by cost containment actions
  • Non-GAAP EPS up 48% to $0.31; GAAP EPS $0.49 included a $65M tax benefit (legal entity restructuring) with cash from benefit likely received in 2027
  • Retail segment: revenue up 9% to $508M; recurring revenue up 3% to $279M; adjusted EBITDA up 12% to $114M; margin up 70 bps YoY to 22.8%
  • Restaurants segment: total revenue flat (hardware growth offset decline in one-time software/services); enterprise+mid-market recurring up 6%; SMB headwinds; adjusted EBITDA down 3% to $66M; margin down 110 bps YoY to 31.1%
  • Full-year adjusted free cash flow (excluding restructuring): $136M, ~$40M below expectations due to timing; includes $13M delayed tax refund and higher working capital from increased hardware sales/inventory
  • Net leverage: 2.1x net leverage at Dec 31
  • Capital return: repurchased ~69,000 shares (25%) of Series A convertible preferred for $74M plus $4M of common shares

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Share repurchase: ~$74M for 69,000 shares (~25%) of Series A convertible preferred; plus ~$4M common share repurchases
  • Net leverage: 2.1x at December 31
  • Cash flow use: adjusted free cash flow (ex restructuring) $136M; ~$40M below expectations; driven by timing (notably $13M delayed tax refund) and working capital tied to higher hardware sales/inventory
  • Capital expenditures: $46M in Q4; $165M for full-year (including accelerated product investments)

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Five-year transformation completed: >50 legacy on-premise applications modernized into a single scalable cloud-to-edge platform
  • Cost actions related to termination of hardware ODM agreement: streamlined/sourced key functions and began consolidating redundant systems
  • Hardware transition: phased transition to EnerCom commenced early January; expected complete by end of Q1; guidance says complete by March 31, thereafter earn a commission rather than carry hardware in inventory
  • Platform deployments/go-live mechanics: product can deploy into store environment in under an hour but requires training; enterprise rollouts subject to seasonal freeze/blackout periods around November
  • 2026 product/AI focus: AI Pick List Assist (automated add-on rollout); AI-based analysis of business logic in live stores
  • Payments gateway architectural change: all third-party integrations route through Voyix Connect as the single integration layer for platform+payments authorization processes

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • 2026 reported revenue guidance: $2.210B to $2.325B (down 13% to 18%) due to ODM implementation effective April 1
  • 2026 pro forma revenue (adjusting hardware revenue recognition): down 2% to up 3%
  • 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance: $440M to $445M (4% to 7% growth)
  • 2026 non-GAAP adjusted EPS guidance: $0.93 to $0.96 (3% to 6% growth)
  • Seasonality: Q1 expected to be lowest quarter
  • Margin timing: margins for both segments expected to step up in Q2 upon implementing hardware ODM model
  • Adjusted free cash flow guidance: $190M to $220M; reflects partial-year working capital benefit from ODM transition offset by ~ $120M anticipated cash outlays (severance, stranded costs completion/spin-offs, internal infra investments, ODM transition costs, and an accrued litigation matter)
  • Backlog deployment cadence: enterprise implementations expected to take 9 to 18 months (sometimes longer); platform products shown at NRF in Jan now in active demand; 25 demos since NRF

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • SMB restaurant performance impacted by headwinds tied to market dynamics and legacy nature of SMB offering; competition is crowded and price-sensitive with churn (SMB market highly competitive, fast to churn; many ISVs/new entrants)
  • Enterprise deployment operational hurdle: mission-critical 'heart surgery' requiring no disruption to store operations; rollouts bridge years due to seasonal freeze periods around November for complex POS changes
  • AI-driven chip demand/pricing headwind could impact the market (mentioned as potential impact in response to organic growth question)
  • Q&A EBITDA put/take: lapping tailwinds from 2025—TSA fees that helped 2025 and roll off in 2026 (limits YoY growth)
  • Cash flow headwind: $13M delayed tax refund and higher working capital from increased hardware sales/inventory contributing to ~$40M miss vs expectations for full-year adjusted free cash flow (ex restructuring)
  • ODM transition impact: revenue down materially in 2026 due to hardware revenue recognition changes effective April 1

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the VYX Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (VYX)

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