Willdan Group, Inc.

Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN) Market Cap

Willdan Group, Inc. has a market capitalization of $1.16B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2026-01-02

Price: $78.30

78.30 (0.67%)

Market Cap: 1.16B

NASDAQ · time unavailable

CEO: Michael A. Bieber

Sector: Industrials

Industry: Engineering & Construction

IPO Date: 2006-11-21

Website: https://www.willdan.com

Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN) - Company Information

Market Cap: 1.16B · Sector: Industrials

Willdan Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional, technical and consulting services primarily in the United States. It operates in two segments, Energy, and Engineering and Consulting. The Energy segment offers comprehensive audit and surveys, program design, master planning, demand reduction, grid optimization, benchmarking analyses, design engineering, construction management, performance contracting, installation, alternative financing, and measurement and verification services, as well as software and data analytics. The Engineering and Consulting segment provides building and safety, city engineering and code enforcement, development plan review and inspection, disaster recovery, geotechnical and earthquake engineering, planning and surveying, contract staff support, program and construction management, structural engineering, transportation and traffic engineering, and water resources services. This segment also offers district administration, financial consulting, and federal compliance services; and communications and technology services. It serves public and governmental agencies, including cities, counties, redevelopment agencies, water districts, school districts, and universities; investor and municipal owned energy utilities; state and federal agencies; and commercial and industrial firms, as well as various other special districts and agencies. The company was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Anaheim, California.

Analyst Sentiment

83%
Strong Buy

Based on 7 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $120.75

Average target (based on 2 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$110

Median

$118

High

$125

Average

$118

Potential Upside: 50.1%

Price & Moving Averages

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📘 Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 WILLDAN GROUP INC (WLDN) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Willdan Group Inc. (WLDN) operates as a professional services company specializing in energy and engineering solutions. Its primary focus is helping public agencies, utilities, and private clients achieve greater efficiency through tailored technical and management consulting services. The company addresses the growing need for energy efficiency, sustainability, infrastructure modernization, and grid resiliency. Willdan’s service offerings encompass end-to-end solutions: consulting, audit, design, program management, financing, implementation, and ongoing maintenance. This enables clients to navigate the complexities of energy use, evolving regulations, system upgrades, and environmental mandates. Willdan’s business model integrates deep technical expertise with flexible service delivery capabilities. The company often collaborates directly with government entities, investor-owned utilities, school districts, and commercial enterprises, providing specialized, turnkey solutions that span the entire energy and engineering project lifecycle. This approach not only assists clients in realizing energy savings but also fosters long-term, recurring engagements.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

Willdan derives its revenues from a diversified portfolio of service lines and contract types. Key revenue streams include: - **Energy Efficiency Services:** The cornerstone of Willdan’s business, these services include program design, development, implementation, and measurement & verification. Contracts are typically secured with utilities and government agencies to deliver specified energy savings and modernization outcomes. - **Engineering and Consulting Services:** Willdan provides infrastructure engineering, planning, and design services, particularly for municipal infrastructure and public works projects. - **Performance-Based Contracts:** A growing portion of revenue is linked to performance contracts, especially in energy services. Willdan may take on initial project costs—such as energy retrofit installations—recouping these investments through the realized utility savings over time. - **Software and Technology Solutions:** Through subsidiaries and acquisitions, Willdan offers proprietary analytical tools and software platforms to enhance grid management, model savings, and optimize utility programs. - **Recurring Operations and Maintenance Fees:** Ongoing operation and maintenance agreements further supplement project-based fees, supporting predictable, recurring revenue streams. Revenue realization typically involves a mix of fixed-price, time-and-materials, and performance-based contracts, providing resiliency to market cycles and pricing flexibility.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

Willdan is positioned as a specialized leader at the intersection of energy efficiency, sustainability, and infrastructure services. Several competitive advantages underpin its market position: - **Deep Technical Expertise:** With multidisciplinary teams spanning engineering, energy analytics, program management, and regulatory strategy, Willdan can offer high-value, integrated solutions not easily replicated by generalist competitors. - **Reputation and Track Record:** The company has cultivated long-standing relationships with major utilities, public agencies, and municipalities across the United States, demonstrating proficiency in delivering large-scale, complex projects with measurable outcomes. - **End-to-End Service Offering:** The breadth of Willdan’s services—from audits to implementation and long-term monitoring—enables a “one-stop” experience for clients, streamlining project management and ensuring accountability. - **Scalable, Repeatable Contracts:** Many engagements, particularly with utilities and local governments, are multi-year and renewable, supporting substantial contract backlogs and recurring revenue. - **Investment in Technology:** Proprietary platforms and software solutions accelerate Willdan’s differentiation, helping to automate performance tracking, optimize savings, and meet increasingly data-driven client demands. In aggregate, these factors position Willdan as a trusted partner in a dynamic market shaped by regulatory mandates, technology advancements, and sustainability pressures.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Structural trends and targeted strategic initiatives support Willdan’s multi-year growth outlook: - **Energy Transition & Climate Mandates:** National, state, and municipal goals for decarbonization, grid modernization, and energy resiliency are expanding the addressable market for energy service companies like Willdan. The company is well aligned with funding flows from legislative acts, infrastructure investment programs, and utility-sponsored initiatives. - **Increasing Utility Outsourcing:** As utilities seek to achieve aggressive energy efficiency goals, there is a growing reliance on third-party program implementers, which drives demand for Willdan’s expertise in large-scale program design and execution. - **Grid Modernization and Electrification:** The proliferation of distributed energy resources, clean electrification, and smart grid investments create new opportunities for engineering services and technology-led solutions. - **Acquisitive Expansion:** Willdan pursues selective acquisitions to bolster capabilities, geographic reach, and client relationships, particularly in growing areas such as distributed energy resources and advanced grid analytics. - **Operational Leverage:** As Willdan scales, increased use of proprietary software and repeatable processes can drive margin expansion over time. The combination of regulatory momentum, advancing client sophistication, and Willdan’s expanding technological edge positions the company for sustained market share gains.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Investors should be attentive to several risk factors that could impact Willdan’s operating performance: - **Regulatory and Funding Uncertainty:** Much of Willdan’s opportunity set is shaped by governmental budgets, utility programs, and energy policy. Delays, rollbacks, or changes to funding and regulations could dampen project demand. - **Execution Risks:** Willdan’s contracts, particularly in energy efficiency, are frequently performance-based, exposing the company to the risk of under-delivering savings or exceeding project costs. - **Client Concentration:** A significant portion of revenue can come from a select number of large utility and municipal clients, introducing some degree of revenue concentration risk. - **Competitive Pressures:** The market is fragmented, with competition ranging from large multinational engineering firms to regional specialists and technology start-ups. Pricing and margin pressures are persistent, especially for commoditized services. - **Integration Risks:** Acquisitions are a key growth lever. The ability to effectively assimilate acquired businesses and realize synergies is essential for long-term value creation. - **Macroeconomic and Supply Chain Factors:** Broader economic slowdowns, labor shortages, or supply chain disruptions could impact project timing and profitability.

📊 Valuation & Market View

Willdan is typically valued within the peer set of engineering, consulting, and energy service firms. The company’s valuation is often driven by its contract backlog, earnings growth potential, and underlying free cash flow generation. Key valuation metrics include Price/Earnings, EV/EBITDA, and Price/Sales ratios, benchmarked against industry averages and broader infrastructure/energy services stocks. Willdan's multiple may reflect both the recurring nature of its contract base and the company’s heightened exposure to secular growth themes such as decarbonization and grid modernization. However, investors also weigh margin volatility related to project mix and execution risks. The market’s perception hinges on Willdan's ability to consistently grow its backlog, scale margins through operational improvements and technology adoption, and manage integration of acquisitions to unlock incremental value.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Willdan Group Inc. offers exposure to robust structural trends at the intersection of energy efficiency, regulatory change, and infrastructure modernization. The company’s unique blend of technical expertise, trusted client relationships, and expanding technology footprint supports durable competitive positioning. Recurring multi-year contracts and a diversified service model add defensiveness and predictability to its revenues. Key investment considerations include Willdan’s ability to navigate policy and funding environments, successfully execute and scale performance-based projects, and sustain operational discipline. While the company faces inherent industry risks—regulatory variability, client concentration, and execution challenges—its alignment with long-horizon energy transition themes and demonstrated track record position Willdan as a potentially attractive choice within the energy and professional services sector.

⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-01-02

"WLDN reported a revenue of $173.7M and a net income of $18.7M as of January 2, 2026. The company's operating cash flow stands at $39.2M, with a free cash flow of $36.7M, reflecting a solid operational efficiency. With total assets of $544.2M, total liabilities at $239.4M, the company has a healthy equity base of $304.9M. The net debt is minimal at $3.36M, indicating low leverage. Over the past year, WLDN saw a robust price appreciation of 92.38%, significantly contributing to shareholder returns, even in the absence of dividends. However, the stock has shown some volatility with a more than 20% decline in the year-to-date performance. Analysts provide a target consensus price of $135, suggesting an upside from the current price of $81.82, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory. Overall, WLDN displays strong profitability indicators with good growth potential but may require vigilance regarding market volatility."

Revenue Growth

Positive

Strong revenue at $173.7M showcases solid growth.

Profitability

Good

Net income of $18.7M with a healthy margin.

Cash Flow Quality

Good

Positive operating cash flow of $39.2M indicates good cash management.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Strong

Minimal debt levels and strong equity position.

Shareholder Returns

Strong

Outstanding 1-year price appreciation of 92.38%.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Positive

Target price suggests a favorable outlook for future growth.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

So what: Management is guiding to strong operating performance (2026 net revenue $390m-$405m; adj. EBITDA $85m-$90m) and reiterating margins staying above the 20% target. However, the EPS bridge looks weaker than last year primarily due to a sharply less favorable 179D assumption: 179D is expected to expire end of June 2026, restricting benefits to projects started in the first six months and facing a project-mix shift to fewer qualifying school buildings. In the Q&A, analysts pressed on the tax-driven EPS gap and on whether there were fundamental profitability improvements. Management’s answer points to two structural profit drivers—pricing/value scale and back-office cost absorption—and expects a modest margin improvement while keeping guidance conservative. On the growth side, data center momentum is credible but timing-sensitive: APG work is expected to more than double in 2026 with backlog building into 2027/2028, and LADWP ramp is delayed to Q2 2026 after amendments. Overall tone is confident on operations but cautious on tax optics and contract timing.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Electric load growth returned to the U.S. after ~15 years of stagnation
  • AI/data center electricity demand accelerating (especially driving engineering and substation/interconnect work)
  • Energy efficiency program sizes growing over time as efficiency becomes a recognized system resource
  • Utility energy-efficiency programs growing from long-term customer relationships (no single big win driving 2025 utility growth; mostly expansion)

Business Development

  • Amazon: consulting work on data center siting and mitigating electric load impacts (referenced as example of consulting noted in Dec press release)
  • Menlo Digital: breaking ground on a $38 million interconnect substation design + construction management project in Phoenix, AZ
  • City of San Diego: signed $112 million energy efficiency program (2-year duration)
  • Alameda County, CA: $97 million win (announced last quarter referenced during call)
  • Mt. San Antonio College: awarded $49 million integrated microgrid resiliency project (2 years; involves legacy civil engineering + multiple acquired energy groups)
  • SOLV Energy: signed $4.5 million integrated distributed energy resource (DER) project in Utah
  • LoadSEER: signed a smaller confidential software license in Q4 (flagship long-term utility forecasting software)
  • LADWP (Los Angeles Department of Water and Power): Q4 ramp-up was small in dollars; contract amendments expected to drive material contribution starting Q2 2026 and through the next 4 years
  • APG acquisition: expected work to more than double in 2026 (substation design and construction management for data centers)

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Q4 2025: contract revenue +21% to $174 million; net revenue +13% to $89.5 million
  • Q4 2025: adjusted EBITDA +13% to $20 million; adjusted EPS more than doubled to $1.57 ($1.23 GAAP), aided by exceptional 179D tax deductions
  • FY 2025: contract revenue +21% to $682 million; net revenue +23% to $365 million (17% organic, 6% acquisitions)
  • FY 2025: gross margin expanded to 37.5% from 35.8% (+170 bps) and adjusted EBITDA +40% to $79.5 million
  • FY 2025: effective tax rate benefit—31.4% benefit vs 15.4% expense in 2024 (179D deductions referenced); income tax benefit $12.6 million
  • FY 2025: net income $52.6 million ($3.49 GAAP diluted) vs $22.6 million ($1.58 GAAP) in 2024; adjusted EPS $4.89 vs $2.43 in 2024
  • 2026 guidance (no future acquisitions assumed): net revenue $390m-$405m; adjusted EBITDA $85m-$90m; adjusted EPS $4.50-$4.70; assumes full-year effective tax benefit ~10% (vs negative 31% last year referenced by analyst)
  • 179D key Q&A datapoint: 179D set to expire end of June 2026; therefore benefit only for projects started within first 6 months of 2026 and reduced building eligibility vs Clark County School District shift into Alameda County/San Diego with fewer qualifying buildings

AI IconCapital Funding

  • FY 2025 free cash flow: $71 million ($4.69 per share)
  • Cash flow from operations: $80 million; CapEx $9 million; acquisitions $36 million
  • Borrowings reduced by $40 million; year-end outstanding debt $49 million
  • Unrestricted cash $66 million; net positive cash position $17 million (first time since 2017); leverage ~0x EBITDA (vs 0.3x end of 2024)
  • Revolving credit facility liquidity: $100 million revolver fully available; total available liquidity $216 million at year-end

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Structural profitability drivers: (1) moved up the value scale to charge more for work, and (2) back-office cost absorption as corporate costs grow slower than top line
  • Margin guidance framing: margins expected to remain above 20%; guidance midpoint 'squarely above 20%' and described as a little improvement vs this year
  • Data center execution model: consulting for hyperscalers + government regulators (siting/mitigation studies), plus substation/interconnect design and construction management, plus energy-efficiency optimization via long-term master service agreements

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • 2026 targets: net revenue $390m-$405m; adjusted EBITDA $85m-$90m; adjusted EPS $4.50-$4.70
  • Data center related revenue: APG work expected to more than double in 2026; backlog being built into 2027 and 2028
  • LADWP: Q2 2026 expected to show material contribution after amendments and contracting community readiness

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • 179D tax incentive rollover risk: 179D expected to expire end of June 2026, limiting benefit to projects started within first 6 months
  • Potentially lower 179D deduction base due to project mix shift: fewer buildings qualifying in Alameda County/San Diego vs Clark County School District (source of many 179D deductions last year)
  • Operational dependence on contract amendment timing (LADWP): Q4 ramp-up small; meaningful improvement expected in Q2 rather than immediately

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the WLDN Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

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SEC Filings (WLDN)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN) Financial Profile