Waste Management, Inc.

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Market Cap

Waste Management, Inc. has a market capitalization of $90.33B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $223.95

β–Ό -0.13 (-0.06%)

Market Cap: 90.33B

NYSE Β· time unavailable

CEO: James C. Fish Jr.

Sector: Industrials

Industry: Waste Management

IPO Date: 1988-06-22

Website: https://www.wm.com

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) - Company Information

Market Cap: 90.33B Β· Sector: Industrials

Waste Management, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides waste management environmental services to residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers in North America. It offers collection services, including picking up and transporting waste and recyclable materials from where it was generated to a transfer station, material recovery facility (MRF), or disposal site; and owns, develops, and operates landfill gas-to-energy facilities in the United States, as well as owns and operates transfer stations. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned or operated 255 solid waste landfills; 5 secure hazardous waste landfills; 96 MRFs; and 340 transfer stations. It also provides materials processing and commodities recycling services; recycling brokerage services, such as managing the marketing of recyclable materials for third parties; and other strategic business solutions. In addition, the company offers construction and remediation services; services related with the disposal of fly ash, and residue generated from the combustion of coal and other fuel stocks; in-plant services comprising full-service waste management solutions and consulting services; and specialized disposal services for oil and gas exploration and production operations. The company was formerly known as USA Waste Services, Inc. and changed its name to Waste Management, Inc. in 1998. Waste Management, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Analyst Sentiment

73%
Strong Buy

Based on 28 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $255.45

Average target (based on 4 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$238

Median

$258

High

$264

Average

$254

Potential Upside: 13.3%

Price & Moving Averages

Loading chart...

πŸ“˜ Full Research Report

ℹ️

AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

πŸ“˜ Waste Management, Inc. (WM) β€” Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) is the leading provider of comprehensive waste management and environmental services in North America. The company’s core offerings include collection, transfer, recycling, and disposal of waste for a diverse array of customers, spanning residential neighborhoods, commercial enterprises, industrial facilities, and municipal governments. WM operates an extensive portfolio of landfills, recycling plants, transfer stations, and hauling operations, giving it a deeply integrated presence at every link in the waste handling value chain. In addition to traditional solid waste services, WM is increasingly focused on sustainability-oriented solutions, including resource recovery, organic waste processing, and renewable energy generation. The company’s scale and infrastructure enable efficient service delivery across urban, suburban, and rural geographies.

πŸ’° Revenue Model & Ecosystem

WM generates revenue through a multifaceted model built on recurring service relationships and integrated solutions. Subscription-style contracts underlie a significant portion of cash flows, stemming from regular waste and recycling pickup arrangements with households, businesses, and governmental bodies. The company also earns revenue from disposal fees based on waste volume at its landfill and transfer facilities, as well as from selling recovered materials and renewable energy derived from landfill gas. Ancillary services, such as consulting, industrial waste solutions, and specialty environmental projects, contribute to WM’s ecosystem, which targets both enterprise-level customers (corporate, municipal) and individual consumers. This diversified approach helps the company sustain operating momentum across various economic cycles.

🧠 Competitive Advantages

  • Brand strength: WM is North America’s most recognized waste services brand, conveying a reputation for reliability, environmental compliance, and innovation.
  • Switching costs: Customers face notable friction in changing providers due to contract structures, routing integration, and the complexity of compliance in waste management.
  • Ecosystem stickiness: A full suite of vertically integrated services encourages customers to consolidate their waste and recycling needs with WM, deepening relationship tenure.
  • Scale + supply chain leverage: WM’s nationwide footprint, ownership of critical assets (landfills, recycling plants), and purchasing power provide operating efficiency and competitive pricing advantages over smaller and regional rivals.

πŸš€ Growth Drivers Ahead

Several secular trends position WM for long-term expansion. Rising environmental awareness and regulatory mandates are expanding demand for advanced recycling, organics processing, and sustainability advisory services. Urbanization and population growth continue to elevate volumes across core waste streams. The company’s investment in technologies such as automated collection, digital route optimization, and facility robotics boost operational productivity and increase customer retention. WM is also advancing revenue streams in renewable natural gas and energy capture, capitalizing on the nation’s transition to cleaner energy. Strategic acquisitions and cross-selling opportunities in specialized niches (e.g., hazardous waste, e-waste, industrial services) fortify WM’s growth pipeline and market leadership.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

WM operates in a highly regulated environmental sector, exposing it to the risk of evolving legislative requirements around emissions, landfill operations, and recycling standards. Competitive pressures exist from both national peers and disruptive entrants utilizing digital or specialized business models. Margin compression can result from increased compliance costs, labor market volatility, or changes in recovered commodity values. Technological shifts, such as advancements in on-site waste processing or alternative disposal techniques, may challenge legacy asset utilization. Continued focus on environmental, social, and governance practices is essential to retaining contracts with governments and large enterprises.

πŸ“Š Valuation Perspective

The market generally values WM at a premium compared to most traditional industrial and utility peers, owing to its dominant position, recurring revenue foundation, and defensibility throughout economic cycles. Investors often regard WM as a β€œcore infrastructure” holding, with the company’s scale, integrated model, and steady cash flows supporting a higher valuation relative to regional firms or pure-play recycling operators. Additional premiums may be attached for WM’s ongoing investments in sustainability, digitalization, and renewable energy, reflecting perceived advantages in industry transition themes.

πŸ” Investment Takeaway

Waste Management, Inc. represents a resilient business model built on essential services, defensive cash flows, and leadership in environmental stewardshipβ€”a combination favored by long-term, risk-conscious investors. The bullish case cites WM’s ability to grow through sustainability trends, service diversification, and continuous efficiency gains, underpinned by high customer retention and strategic asset ownership. The bearish perspective notes sensitivity to regulatory changes, commodity pricing for recyclables, and the potential impact of disruptive technologies or aggressive competitors on margins and asset utilization. Overall, WM remains a widely regarded franchise in waste services, offering both stability and exposure to evolving sustainability and infrastructure themes.


⚠ AI-generated research summary β€” not financial advice. Validate using official filings & independent analysis.

WM delivered record cost performance, margin expansion, and strong cash generation in 2025, supported by disciplined pricing, operational efficiencies, and growth in sustainability businesses. Integration of Healthcare Solutions is progressing with improved service and lower SG&A. Management issued a confident 2026 outlook with mid-single-digit EBITDA growth, nearly 30% FCF growth, and substantial shareholder returns via a higher dividend and new buyback. Commodity and tax credit headwinds remain, but overall tone and guidance are positive.

Growth

  • Total 2025 operating EBITDA margin expanded 40 bps to 30.1%, despite 140 bps headwind from Healthcare Solutions acquisition and expiration of alternative fuel tax credits
  • Legacy Business full-year operating EBITDA margin up 150 bps; normalized margin expansion of 180 bps
  • Q4 collection & disposal operating EBITDA grew >8% with margin +160 bps
  • Core price 6.2% in Q4; balanced growth from price and volume
  • Recycling operating EBITDA up >22% in 2025 despite ~20% lower commodity prices
  • Free cash flow up ~27% to $2.94B; cash from operations up >12% to $6.04B

Business Development

  • Commissioned 7 renewable natural gas (RNG) facilities, expanding renewable energy network
  • Completed automation upgrades at 5 recycling facilities and added facilities in 4 new markets
  • Integrated Healthcare Solutions into field operations; improved service metrics and customer satisfaction; standardized customer-facing processes and invoicing
  • Executed >$400M in tuck-in acquisitions to expand solid waste and recycling footprint
  • Reclassifying accretion expense out of operating EBITDA beginning in 2026 to align with peers

Financials

  • 2025 operating EBITDA margin: 30.1% (+40 bps YoY)
  • Legacy Business margin expansion: +150 bps (180 bps normalized for headwinds)
  • Operating expenses: 59.5% of revenue for 2025 (first year below 60%); Q4 at 58.5% (-180 bps YoY)
  • Legacy SG&A: 9.2% of revenue for 2025; total company SG&A 10.4%
  • Healthcare Solutions SG&A: 20.8% of revenue in Q4 (-350 bps YoY)
  • 2025 capex just under $2.6B; sustainability growth investments $633M
  • Dividends paid: $1.3B; debt reduced by $1B; leverage 3.1x at year-end
  • 2026 guidance: operating EBITDA $8.15–$8.25B (excludes ~$150M accretion); effective tax rate ~24%; YE share count ~402M
  • 2026 FCF guidance: ~$3.8B midpoint (~+30% YoY); EBITDA-to-FCF conversion >46%
  • 2026 capex: $2.65–$2.75B, including ~$200M for high-return sustainability projects; ~$85M on 2 RNG sites and 1 recycling project (EBITDA contribution by 2028)

Capital & Funding

  • Board approved 14.5% increase to 2026 quarterly dividend; 23rd consecutive year of dividend growth
  • Authorized new $3B share repurchase program
  • Plan to return ~$3.5B to shareholders in 2026 (>90% of expected FCF) via dividends and buybacks
  • Target leverage range 2.5x–3.0x in 2026
  • 2026 investment tax credits benefit expected at ~$110M (~$75M lower than 2025)

Operations & Strategy

  • Structural cost improvements from fleet modernization, route automation, and maintenance model optimization reduced repairs, rentals, and third-party maintenance
  • Connected truck platform improved sequencing, downtime visibility, and service reliability; enabled labor efficiency and revenue opportunities
  • Frontline labor improvements with Q4 driver turnover at 15.7% (lowest of the year); reduced overtime and training needs
  • Intentional shedding of low-margin residential business; stronger landfill volumes and special waste mix
  • Healthcare Solutions operational integration driving on-time service, asset rationalization, network optimization, and lower SG&A

Market & Outlook

  • Management describes 2026 macro view as optimistic
  • Expect steady residential volume improvement through 2026
  • Growth areas include special waste, renewable energy (RNG), and recycling
  • 2026 operating EBITDA growth of ~6.2% at midpoint; ~7.4% normalized for 2025 wildfire cleanup volumes
  • Typical quarterly cadence expected for 2026 results

Risks Or Headwinds

  • Expiration of alternative fuel tax credits reduced 2025 margins and creates year-over-year comparability headwinds
  • Commodity price volatility in recycling (2025 commodities down ~20%)
  • 2025 wildfire cleanup volumes create tougher comps for 2026 growth rates
  • Healthcare Solutions SG&A still elevated versus legacy; further integration and cost reductions required
  • General macro uncertainty could affect industrial/C&D demand and volumes

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the WM Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

Fundamentals Overview

Loading fundamentals overview...

πŸ“Š AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"Waste Management Inc. reported a revenue of $6.31 billion for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, with a net income of $742 million, giving an EPS of $1.84. The company demonstrated a net margin of approximately 11.8%, alongside a free cash flow (FCF) of $816 million for the preceding quarter. Year-over-year growth highlights a solid performance, with key financial metrics indicating stability. Revenue growth remains consistent, driven by effective operational management and waste solution innovations. Profitability margins are healthy, maintaining robust returns as reflected in both net income and positive cash flows. Waste Management has maintained a cautious capital expenditure approach, resulting in strong FCF indicative of effective cash management strategies. The balance sheet shows the company with a leverage position of net debt at $22.71 billion against total equity of $9.99 billion, indicating a significant but manageable debt load. Shareholder returns are well supported by stable dividend payments of $0.825 per share quarterly, emphasizing WM's commitment to returning value to investors. Analyst sentiment remains favorable with a consensus price target at $253.75, suggesting market confidence in matured operational performance and stable future growth prospects."

Revenue Growth

Good

The company's revenue growth is steady, supported by continuous demand for waste management services and advancements in sustainable waste solutions.

Profitability

Good

The company exhibits strong profitability with consistent net margins and a reliable EPS trend, highlighting operational efficiency.

Cash Flow Quality

Good

Free cash flow remains robust, backed by significant operating cash flow and manageable capital expenditures, alongside consistent dividend payouts.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Neutral

The company has a high debt level, reflected in a significant debt-to-equity ratio, though it appears manageable with stable cash flows.

Shareholder Returns

Good

Dividend payments are consistent and sizeable, reflecting the company's focus on providing steady returns to shareholders.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Positive

Analyst price targets indicate positive sentiment and a valuation in line with ongoing market conditions and growth expectations.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

Loading financial data and tables...
πŸ“

SEC Filings (WM)

Β© 2026 Stock Market Info β€” Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Financial Profile