Conagra Brands, Inc.

Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) Market Cap

Conagra Brands, Inc. has a market capitalization of $7.11B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2026-02-22

Price: $14.86

0.16 (1.09%)

Market Cap: 7.11B

NYSE · time unavailable

CEO: Sean Connolly

Sector: Consumer Defensive

Industry: Packaged Foods

IPO Date: 1980-03-17

Website: https://www.conagrabrands.com

Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) - Company Information

Market Cap: 7.11B · Sector: Consumer Defensive

Conagra Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer packaged goods food company in North America. The company operates in four segments: Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice. The Grocery & Snacks segment primarily offers shelf stable food products through various retail channels in the United States. The Refrigerated & Frozen segment provides temperature-controlled food products through various retail channels in the United States. The International segment offers food products in various temperature states through retail and foodservice channels outside of the United States. The Foodservice segment offers branded and customized food products, including meals, entrees, sauces, and various custom-manufactured culinary products packaged for restaurants and other foodservice establishments in the United States. The company sells its products under the Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Healthy Choice, Marie Callender's, Reddi-wip, Slim Jim, Angie's BOOMCHICKAPOP, Duke's, Earth Balance, Gardein, and Frontera brands. The company was formerly known as ConAgra Foods, Inc. and changed its name to Conagra Brands, Inc. in November 2016. Conagra Brands, Inc. was founded in 1861 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Analyst Sentiment

54%
Hold

Based on 19 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $19.29

Average target (based on 6 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$15

Median

$18

High

$22

Average

$18

Potential Upside: 22.3%

Price & Moving Averages

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Conagra Brands, Inc. is a leading North American food company specializing in the manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of packaged and frozen foods. The company’s product portfolio includes well-recognized brands spanning diverse categories such as frozen meals and vegetables, snacks, shelf-stable meals, condiments, and meal solutions. Conagra serves a broad set of customers, principally large retail grocery chains, club stores, mass merchandisers, and foodservice providers, thereby maintaining significant penetration across both at-home and away-from-home eating occasions. Its reach extends throughout the United States and Canada, with some exposure to international markets.

💰 Revenue Model & Ecosystem

Conagra generates revenue primarily through the sale of branded food products to retailers and foodservice operators. The company's business ecosystem is built on long-term relationships with retail buyers, resulting in stable contractual arrangements and shelf space allocations. Revenue streams are diversified by product category, brand, and consumer segment, with snack foods and ready-meal solutions playing increasingly prominent roles alongside traditional staples. Conagra's innovation pipeline and use of licensing agreements with other brand owners further broaden its reach. The company also leverages private label and co-packing arrangements for select customers, allowing for incremental revenue beyond its core branded portfolio.

🧠 Competitive Advantages

  • Brand strength: Conagra boasts a portfolio of legacy brands that command high consumer recognition and loyalty—many of which have multigenerational appeal and strong positions in their respective categories.
  • Switching costs: Shelf placement, habitual purchasing patterns, and the costs faced by retailers and consumers in substituting to alternative products create inertia that supports market share stability.
  • Ecosystem stickiness: Deep integration into retailer supply chains and long-standing foodservice relationships make Conagra a durable partner for customers, often resulting in preferential access to shelf or menu space.
  • Scale + supply chain leverage: Operating at significant scale, Conagra can extract procurement advantages, negotiate with suppliers, and optimize manufacturing and logistics efficiencies relative to smaller competitors.

🚀 Growth Drivers Ahead

Conagra is positioned to benefit from several notable long-term growth drivers. Innovations within snacking and convenient meal solutions align with shifting consumer preferences for easy-to-prepare foods and better-for-you options. Investment in brand renovation and marketing aims to enhance product relevance and drive higher engagement with younger demographics. The company also pursues selective geographic expansion and channel diversification—including greater emphasis on e-commerce and foodservice. Operational improvement initiatives targeting supply chain efficiency and portfolio simplification may further enhance margins and capital returns. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships remain a lever to broaden category reach and accelerate innovation pipelines.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Conagra competes in a fragmented and intensely competitive industry, facing pressure from both large multinational peers and nimble emerging brands. The food sector is susceptible to input cost inflation, supply chain disruptions, and shifts in consumer tastes, which can compress margins or require investment in innovation and marketing. Regulatory developments in food safety, labeling, and health claims may trigger additional compliance costs or reshape product strategies. Macroeconomic factors—including changes in consumer disposable income or trade policy—can impact demand across channels. Finally, industry disruption from private labels, direct-to-consumer models, or new entrants leveraging digital platforms may erode traditional competitive moats.

📊 Valuation Perspective

Conagra Brands has typically been valued by the market relative to its established packaged food peers, reflecting its brand quality, scale, and cash generation. The company’s valuation is often shaped by investor expectations for volume growth, margin expansion, and cash flow consistency. Historical positioning has sometimes resulted in modest discounts or premiums to other branded food manufacturers, influenced by relative perceived growth prospects, portfolio composition, and success in navigating sector challenges.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Conagra Brands represents a play on enduring consumer demand for convenient, branded food solutions. The company benefits from a robust brand portfolio, entrenched retail relationships, and ongoing investment in innovation and efficiency. For bullish investors, Conagra offers cash-generative stability with potential upside from snacking and meal solution trends, operational improvements, and opportunistic M&A. However, the company is not immune to sector headwinds such as margin compression and competitive intensity, and its ability to stay ahead of consumer and market shifts is vital. Overall, Conagra appeals to investors seeking defensiveness and dividend reliability, balanced by the need for disciplined execution in a rapidly evolving food landscape.


⚠ AI-generated research summary — not financial advice. Validate using official filings & independent analysis.

So what: CAG’s Q3 messaging is that they’ve restored frozen/snacks momentum through a volume-first strategy, and they now expect an earnings and margin inflection in Q4 as A&P as a % of sales normalizes and seasonal timing plus productivity offset inflation/tariff noise. Management frames costs as manageable with hedges/coverage (60% materials coverage for Q1 fiscal ’27; ~40% for the full year), but flags the key vulnerability: proteins are only ~15% covered next year and spot freight has spiked above contracted rates. On the inflation/tariff side, they anchored fiscal ’26 inflation around ~7% (core ~4%, tariffs ~3%) after mitigation (~1%), and they expect a smaller-than-feared tariff headwind next year (mitigation wrap headwind potentially ~half of the prior ~$80m implication). Operationally, Project Catalyst and working-capital/inventory reduction (inventory ~ $2B, aiming continued drawdown with AI tooling) underpin a sustained push toward >90% free cash flow conversion—already lifted to 105%—while chicken plant projects remain on track for margin tailwinds.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Frozen and Snacks volume momentum continuing (portfolio volume trajectory improved every quarter since fiscal '24 pivot, excluding temporary prior-year supply constraints)
  • Innovation slate delivering consumer takeaway (noted as hero via velocity; strong in frozen and snacks)
  • Surgical inflation-justified pricing in Staples (canned foods and cocoa-oriented products) with encouraging elasticities
  • Project Catalyst (AI/technology reengineering of core work processes) targeting both P&L and working-capital improvement (inventory reduction acceleration)

Business Development

    AI IconFinancial Highlights

    • Q4: expected positive organic net sales growth; innovation begins shipping in Q4
    • Q4 operating margin inflection vs Q3: driver cited as lower A&P as % of sales vs Q3 (reverting toward ~2.5% average); 53rd week provides operating margin leverage; seasonality/timing of trade, productivity, and inflation provide additional tailwinds
    • Op margin expectation: company indicates guidance to the higher end of the previously guided 11% to 11.5% operating margin range; Q4 exit rate implied by question as >12% (not explicitly confirmed)
    • Inflation framework (fiscal '26): overall inflation ~7% with core ~4% and gross tariffs ~3% (before mitigation); estimated mitigation ~1% (productivity); total remained ~7% given tariff volatility and less favorable core
    • Next year tariff/migation: original expectation implied $80m headwind from wrapping mitigation (1%); management expects headwind smaller ("more like half")
    • Freight/inputs: Q1 fiscal '27 material spend coverage ~60%; full fiscal year coverage ~40%; proteins only ~15% covered next year (spot market risk on animal proteins)
    • Freight rates: spot freight spiked above contracted rates; company expects contracted line haul to cover a high percentage of next year freight

    AI IconCapital Funding

    • Free cash flow conversion improved to 105% (up from 100%); cited additional conversion uplift at CAGNY
    • No specific buyback/debt figures provided in transcript
    • Ardent Mills: equity profit down ~$0.10 (management noted), but cash distributions maintained to plan; dividend at plan despite weaker equity earnings

    AI IconStrategy & Ops

    • “Horses for courses” approach: Frozen and Snacks optimized for volume growth; Staples (e.g., canned) optimized for cash maximization with inflation-justified pricing
    • Shipments vs consumption: over fiscal '25 and fiscal '26 combined, shipments nearly match consumption; quarter-to-quarter lumpiness attributed to Q2 holiday shipments moving into Q3 (and prior-year supply interruptions)
    • Supply chain resiliency investments: chicken plants/chicken production capacity projects tracking; baked side project completed and volume being brought back this year; fried investment continues longer
    • Working capital/inventory actions: balance sheet inventory noted at ~$2B; ramping down safety stocks (post-COVID); AI/tooling via Project Catalyst targeted to reduce inventory further
    • Hedging/coverage posture: line haul contracted freight is a key coverage component; proteins remain least covered next year (~15% material spend coverage)

    AI IconMarket Outlook

    • Fiscal '27: company will guide in ~3.5 months; no fiscal '27 operating margin/FCF conversion guidance provided beyond commentary
    • Guidance anchor: expects to guide to the higher end of the 11% to 11.5% operating margin range (for Q4 as embedded in current guide/building blocks discussion)
    • Q4: positive organic net sales growth expected; consumption/shipment alignment expected to be more normal in Q4

    AI IconRisks & Headwinds

    • Potential renewed broad-based inflation: management emphasizes agility; pricing is a lever but consumer value consciousness raises volume sensitivity
    • War-related uncertainty: management described as a “war curveball” impacting costs/inflation and possibly margins
    • Animal protein cost pressure (lowest input coverage next year ~15%): margin compression in frozen previously attributed largely to higher animal protein costs
    • Spot vs contract mismatch risk: spot freight currently above contracted rates (though next year remains largely covered via contracted line haul)
    • Ardent Mills variability: commodity trading upside/downside driven by wheat prices and volatility; through first 3 quarters wheat was low/less volatile (less opportunity), with increased volatility after war; no line of sight for next year commodity trading impact
    • Fertilizer cost concern: management stated it would be more of an F'28 event than F'27; conversations with growing partners described as dynamic and ongoing

    Sentiment: POSITIVE

    Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the CAG Q3 2026 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

    Fundamentals Overview

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    📊 AI Financial Analysis

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    Earnings Data: Q Ending 2026-02-22

    "CAG (most recent quarter ended 2026-02-22): Revenue was $2.79B and net income was $199.8M (EPS $0.42). QoQ, revenue declined from $2.98B to $2.79B (-6.4%), while net income swung from a loss of -$663.6M to a profit (+NM improvement of ~$863M). Net margins improved sharply: from ~-22.3% QoQ to ~7.2% in the latest quarter. Over the 4-quarter window, profitability has been volatile (net margin ~9.2% in 2025-05-25, ~6.2% in 2025-08-24, -22.3% in 2025-11-23, then ~7.2% latest), suggesting episodic margin pressure and subsequent normalization rather than a smooth trend. Cash flow quality appears solid: free cash flow (FCF) was positive in 3 of 4 quarters, including $468.8M in the latest period (vs. $138.8M QoQ). Dividends are consistent at $0.35/share per quarter and were paid at a high payout ratio in the latest quarter (~84%), but still supported by positive FCF. Balance sheet resilience looks adequate: total equity is broadly stable around $8.1–$8.9B, though net debt remains elevated (~$6.5B latest vs. ~$8.0B in 2025-05-25). Total shareholder returns are weak: the stock is down ~-46.2% over 1Y, materially offsetting dividend yield (~1.9%). Revenue and Earnings-based YoY comparisons were not directly applicable here because the dataset does not include the same-quarter prior year for 2026-02-22."

    Revenue Growth

    Caution

    QoQ revenue fell from $2.98B (2025-11-23) to $2.79B (2026-02-22) (-6.4%). YoY growth was not directly computable because the same-quarter prior-year figure for 2026-02-22 is not provided.

    Profitability

    Neutral

    Net income improved dramatically QoQ from -$663.6M to +$199.8M; net margin improved from ~-22.3% to ~7.2%. Across the 4 quarters, margins were volatile (about 9.2% → 6.2% → -22.3% → 7.2%).

    Cash Flow Quality

    Positive

    FCF was positive in 3 of 4 quarters; latest FCF was $468.8M (vs. $138.8M QoQ). Dividends are steady ($0.35/share quarterly) and supported by positive FCF; latest payout ratio ~84% indicates less cushion but not an immediate coverage problem.

    Leverage & Balance Sheet

    Fair

    Total equity is fairly stable (~$8.1B latest). Net debt remains elevated but has improved versus earlier quarters (net debt ~$7.6–$8.0B in mid-2025 to ~$6.5B latest). Total assets declined QoQ.

    Shareholder Returns

    Neutral

    Price performance is weak: 1Y change -46.2% (well below the >20% momentum threshold). Dividend yield is modest (~1.9%), and buybacks were not provided, so total shareholder return is materially negative.

    Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

    Caution

    Price is $14.09 vs consensus target ~$18.18 (implying upside). However, trailing performance has been poor, and valuation optimism may depend on sustained margin normalization.

    Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

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    SEC Filings (CAG)

    © 2026 Stock Market Info — Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) Financial Profile