Old Second Bancorp, Inc.

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. (OSBC) Market Cap

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. has a market capitalization of $1.16B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $21.93

0.36 (1.67%)

Market Cap: 1.16B

NASDAQ · time unavailable

CEO: James L. Eccher

Sector: Financial Services

Industry: Banks - Regional

IPO Date: 1993-11-16

Website: https://www.oldsecond.com

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. (OSBC) - Company Information

Market Cap: 1.16B · Sector: Financial Services

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Old Second National Bank that provides community banking services. It provides demand, NOW, money market, savings, time deposit, individual retirement, and checking accounts, as well as certificate of deposit accounts. The company also offers commercial loans; lease financing receivables; commercial real estate loans; construction loans; residential real estate loans, such as residential first mortgage and second mortgage loans; home equity line of credit; consumer loans, including motor vehicle, home improvement, and signature loans; installment and agricultural loans; residential mortgages; and overdraft checking. Further, it provides safe deposit services; trust and wealth management services; and money orders, cashier's checks, foreign currency, direct deposits, discount brokerage, debit and credit cards, and other services, as well as acquires the U.S. treasury notes and bonds. In addition, the company offers online and mobile banking; corporate cash management products, including remote and mobile deposits capture, investment sweep accounts, zero balance accounts, automated tax payments, automatic teller machines access, telephone banking, lockbox accounts, automated clearing house transactions, account reconciliation, controlled disbursement, detail and general information reporting, foreign and domestic wire transfers, and vault services for currency and coin; and investment, agency, and custodial services for individual, corporate, and not-for-profit clients. It operates through 63 banking centers in Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Kane, Kendall, LaSalle, and Will counties in Illinois. Old Second Bancorp, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Aurora, Illinois.

Analyst Sentiment

83%
Strong Buy

Based on 6 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $22.00

Average target (based on 3 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$23

Median

$23

High

$23

Average

$23

Potential Upside: 4.9%

Price & Moving Averages

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📘 Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 OLD SECOND BANCORP INC (OSBC) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Old Second Bancorp Inc (OSBC) operates as a traditional community-focused bank holding company, with operations primarily through its subsidiary, Old Second National Bank. Serving Chicago and select surrounding markets, OSBC delivers a full suite of banking services to individuals, small businesses, middle market companies, and governmental entities. The bank’s core activities include retail and commercial banking, lending, deposit taking, trust and asset management, and mortgage origination. Emphasizing strong client relationships and local market knowledge, OSBC combines high-touch service with conservative risk management, enabling it to meet customer needs while maintaining operational stability. The company’s strategy has centered on a disciplined approach to credit, prudent growth—both organically and through select acquisitions—and maintaining a competitive service proposition relative to larger regional and national banks. An ongoing focus on technological improvement and digital banking channels supports OSBC’s efforts to stay relevant amid evolving customer preferences and competitive pressures.

💰 Revenue Streams & Monetisation Model

OSBC generates the bulk of its revenues from traditional banking operations, with interest income earned on loans and investments representing the primary driver. The bank’s loan book spans commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate loans, residential mortgages, and consumer lending, with a notable bias toward commercial lending within its regional markets. Interest income is complemented by a stable stream of noninterest income sources. These include service charges on deposit accounts, treasury management fees, card interchange fees, mortgage banking revenue, trust and wealth management income, and other ancillary banking services. The trust and asset management division, while a smaller contributor relative to lending and deposit operations, offers higher margin services and greater revenue diversification. Net interest margin is a key profitability lever for OSBC, influenced by the mix and tenure of liabilities and assets, as well as broader interest rate trends. Prudent balance sheet management and an emphasis on low-cost core deposits support attractive margins and recurring fee streams.

🧠 Competitive Advantages & Market Positioning

OSBC’s primary competitive advantage lies in its deep roots and longstanding relationships within the communities it serves. As a smaller, community-oriented bank, OSBC leverages its localized knowledge, reputation, and personalized service to compete effectively against larger, less nimble competitors. The bank’s ability to make quicker credit decisions, maintain longstanding customer relationships, and provide responsive, tailored financial solutions distinguishes it within the highly fragmented Chicago-area banking landscape. Additionally, OSBC’s prudent underwriting culture and conservative balance sheet represent key franchises strengths, supporting asset quality through credit cycles. The company’s agile operating model facilitates rapid adaptation to local economic shifts and regulatory developments. Careful capital management and a history of selective acquisitions have enabled OSBC to expand its footprint methodically without overextending resources.

🚀 Multi-Year Growth Drivers

Several secular and company-specific factors support OSBC’s long-term growth prospects: - **Regional Economic Vitality**: The Chicago metropolitan area remains a diversified economic zone with significant opportunities for middle market and small business banking, supporting loan demand and fee-generating activities. - **Commercial Lending Expansion**: Ongoing focus on serving the credit needs of small and mid-sized businesses, particularly in commercial and industrial and commercial real estate lending, provides scalable, high-margin growth levers. - **Acquisitive Growth**: OSBC maintains a disciplined appetite for well-priced, accretive acquisitions of smaller banks and banking franchises. This inorganic growth supports expansion into new markets, deepening of customer relationships, and operational synergies. - **Fee-Based Business Diversification**: The trust, wealth management, and treasury services segments offer avenues for higher-margin, noninterest revenue growth, reducing reliance on spread-based income. - **Digital Transformation**: Investments in digital banking platforms and technology infrastructure enhance customer experience, attract younger demographics, and deliver operating efficiencies.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Investors should be mindful of several intrinsic and external risks associated with OSBC: - **Credit Risk Exposure**: A concentrated commercial lending portfolio can lead to elevated credit risk, particularly in periods of regional economic downturn or sectoral stress within commercial real estate. - **Interest Rate Environment**: The bank’s net interest margin is sensitive to changes in interest rates, yield curve shifts, and competitive pressures on lending and deposit pricing. - **Competitive Pressures**: Larger regional and national banks, as well as emerging fintechs, present stiff competition, particularly as digital delivery and customer expectations evolve. - **Regulatory Compliance**: As a regulated financial institution, OSBC must navigate an ever-evolving regulatory landscape, with associated compliance costs and operational complexity. - **Operational & Integration Risks**: Execution of acquisitions and integration of new franchises pose risks to operational continuity, cost synergies, and customer retention.

📊 Valuation & Market View

OSBC is typically valued on a blend of price-to-tangible book value, price-to-earnings, and relative return on equity or assets tripwires, compared with other Midwest community banks. Its valuation reflects investor expectations regarding net interest margin resiliency, sustainable loan growth, asset quality, and the firm’s ability to generate noninterest income. Dividend sustainability, management credibility, and capital management discipline further influence investor sentiment. In general, OSBC has traded at modest premiums to less profitable or regionally constrained peers, reflecting its history of prudent risk management, stable profitability, and capacity for accretive growth. Investors often weigh the sustainability of credit quality, the resilience of the bank’s core deposit base, and prospects for fee income diversification when benchmarking OSBC against regional and community bank peers.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Old Second Bancorp Inc represents a well-managed, community-focused banking franchise with enduring competitive advantages rooted in local knowledge, client relationships, and conservative operating discipline. The bank’s multi-pronged strategy—balancing stable organic growth, selective acquisitions, and noninterest income expansion—has proven resilient through multiple credit cycles. While subject to the typical risks facing smaller banking institutions—including credit and interest rate sensitivity, competition, and regulatory changes—OSBC’s prudent risk culture, reputation for personalized service, and measured balance sheet expansion underpin its long-term investment case. For investors seeking exposure to a midwestern community bank with a track record of navigating economic cycles and capacity for steady, diversified growth, OSBC presents an attractive candidate for further analysis and portfolio consideration.

⚠ AI-generated — informational only. Validate using filings before investing.

Fundamentals Overview

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So What?: OSBC is delivering exceptional profitability and strong NIM with tax-equivalent margin at 5.09% (+4 bps QoQ, +41 bps YoY) and solid capital metrics (tangible equity +61 bps; CET1 12.99%). Management also guided expenses to remain controlled (~3% 2026 growth) after integration-driven cost saves and reiterated loan growth in the mid-single digits. However, the Q&A pressure points reveal meaningful operational hurdles: Powersports credit dynamics are worse than expected on losses given default (75% of $6M Q4 charge-offs; elevated charge-offs likely in coming quarters) and the 3089 pipeline includes specific problematic credits needing another couple of quarters. Separately, balance sheet growth is constrained by West Suburban CRE participation runoff (-$53M in Q4; remaining ~$285M with continued runoff). Management’s tone is bullish on 2026, but analysts pressed on timing and magnitude of charge-offs, margin settle (Q1 modest tick-down), and the remaining funding runoff—leaving overall sentiment mixed despite strong headline margins.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Powersports contribution margin at a multiyear high; management expects bullish 2026 performance (margin-driven despite higher charge-offs)
  • Organic loan origination described as 'exceptionally strong' with the highest pipeline in ~6-7 quarters as of year-end

Business Development

  • Evergreen Bank integration completed (integration at end of last year; still benefiting via cost saves and deposit runoff management)
  • Acquired West Suburban CRE participation portfolio (runoff headwind, but management monitors remaining commitments/balance)

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • GAAP net income: $28.8M ($0.54 diluted EPS); ROA 1.64%; Q4 return on average tangible common equity 16.15%; tax-equivalent efficiency ratio 53.98%
  • Operating/adjusted net income excluding $428k pretax MSR loss and $2.5M pretax acquisition-related expenses: $30.8M ($0.58 diluted EPS)
  • Tangible book value per share: +61 bps to $14.12; tangible equity ratio +61 bps QoQ to 11.02%; common equity Tier 1 12.99% (up from 12.44% prior quarter; +17 bps YoY)
  • Net interest margin (tax-equivalent): 5.09% (up +4 bps QoQ; +41 bps YoY)
  • Deposit cost: 115 bps Q4 vs 133 bps prior quarter; 89 bps in Q4 2024
  • Loan yield: declined -11 bps QoQ (Fed cuts working through portfolio); +48 bps YoY for the quarter tax-equivalent
  • Loan-to-deposit ratio: 93.9% at year-end vs 91.4% last quarter and 83.5% at 12/31/2024
  • Pre-provision net revenues down QoQ due to deposit/security balance declines and rate declines
  • Provision (excluding day-2 purchase accounting impacts): decreased $3M QoQ, largely Powersports-driven
  • Noninterest income: slight QoQ decrease; wealth mgmt fees +$238k (+7.2% YoY) and deposit service charges +$198k (+7.5% YoY; mortgage banking down vs prior year due to MSR mark-to-market volatility
  • Noninterest expense: down $10.2M QoQ; acquisition-related costs down $9.3M

AI IconCapital Funding

  • Buyback: 'on the table' and management expects share repurchase to begin in relatively short order; 'I'm not price sensitive at this point' (no dollar amount provided)
  • Wholesale funding reduction underway: allowing Evergreen broker CDs to run off and reprice higher-cost deposits in falling-rate environment; management notes would like to replace $300M-$400M of effective wholesale funding on the liability side

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • Cost savings capture: expense growth for 2026 expected to be muted; management frames as ~3% expense growth level as final cost saves run through
  • Automation/systems conversion impact: $1.5M computer & data processing related to core systems conversion and systems for acquired operations included as pretax acquisition-related expenses in Q4
  • Balance sheet headwind in Q4: West Suburban CRE loan participations acquired runoff -$53M in Q4 (largest quarter runoff to date); remaining commitments and runoff monitored

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • Margin outlook: may tick down modestly in Q1 but management expects NIM still above 5%
  • Full-year 2027 NIM expectation: 'I'd be very surprised if we're not around the 5% level' (no specific 2026 NIM number provided, but Q1 described as modest tick down)
  • Loan growth target: mid-single-digit loan growth for next year (2026)
  • Deposit/pace note: busy season for Powersports origination March 1 through second/third quarters; Q4 loss seasonality described as elevating near year-end

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Powersports credit risk: net charge-offs expected to run at a little higher rate vs historical due to business nature; management expects elevated charge-offs in the next couple of quarters in higher-rate environment
  • Known charge-off concentration: Q4 net charge-offs $6.0M total; $4.5M (75%) Powersport-related; management cited losses given default 'running a bit higher than we expected' while contribution margin exceeds expectations
  • Nonperforming loans: +$4.8M and classified assets: +$10M (asset quality relatively unchanged per management)
  • 3089 bucket: addressed as related to a couple of larger loans past maturity and migration into nonaccrual; includes low LTV loan and Chicago mixed-use property slow to lease (expected to take another couple of quarters)
  • CRE participation runoff headwind: -$53M in West Suburban participations in Q4; related loan commitments reduced from $772M at end of 2021 to ~$285M balance at end of 2025; management anticipates 1/3 continues to run off
  • Margin headwind risk explicitly tied to potential reinvestment decisions: management called out biggest headwind as deciding to buy treasuries if 'people keep making noise about invading countries that are largely ICE' (i.e., uncertainty could constrain spread opportunities)

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the OSBC Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"For the year ending December 31, 2025, OSBC reported a revenue of $114.46M and a net income of $28.79M, leading to an EPS of $0.55. The operating cash flow stood at $35.94M, indicating decent cash generation capabilities. However, with a total asset base of $6.90B and liabilities at $6.01B, the company's $896.77M in equity demonstrates limited leverage. A notable net debt of $214.90M points to manageable debt levels. OSBC has been returning value to shareholders through dividends, totaling approximately $0.26 per share over the year. The company's stock has appreciated by 15.71% over the past year, which, while a solid performance, reflects a moderate competitive standing. The price target remains strong at $23. Understanding OSBC’s current valuation in relation to its earnings and balance sheet will be crucial for investors. Overall, while the company showcases stable growth and profitability metrics, there is room for improvement in shareholder returns due to its limited stock price appreciation compared to potential growth in dividends and earnings."

Revenue Growth

Positive

Strong revenue at $114.46M reflects growth potential.

Profitability

Positive

Net income of $28.79M indicates healthy profitability.

Cash Flow Quality

Positive

Operating cash flow of $35.94M supports sound cash generation.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Neutral

Manageable debt levels with equity of $896.77M.

Shareholder Returns

Fair

15.71% price appreciation, dividends present but moderate.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Positive

Valuation remains favorable with a strong price target of $23.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

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SEC Filings (OSBC)

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