Exelon Corporation

Exelon Corporation (EXC) Market Cap

Exelon Corporation has a market capitalization of $48.10B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $47.02

-0.57 (-1.20%)

Market Cap: 48.10B

NASDAQ · time unavailable

CEO: Calvin G. Butler Jr.

Sector: Utilities

Industry: Regulated Electric

IPO Date: 1973-05-02

Website: https://www.exeloncorp.com

Exelon Corporation (EXC) - Company Information

Market Cap: 48.10B · Sector: Utilities

Exelon Corporation, a utility services holding company, engages in the energy generation, delivery, and marketing businesses in the United States and Canada. It owns nuclear, fossil, wind, hydroelectric, biomass, and solar generating facilities. The company also sells electricity to wholesale and retail customers; and sells natural gas, renewable energy, and other energy-related products and services. Additionally, it is involved in the purchase and regulated retail sale of electricity and natural gas; and transmission and distribution of electricity, and distribution of natural gas to retail customers. Further, the company offers support services, including legal, human resources, information technology, financial, supply management, accounting, engineering, customer operations, distribution and transmission planning, asset management, system operations, and power procurement services. It serves distribution utilities, municipalities, cooperatives, and financial institutions, as well as commercial, industrial, governmental, and residential customers. Exelon Corporation was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Analyst Sentiment

60%
Buy

Based on 21 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $50.29

Average target (based on 3 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$39

Median

$50

High

$51

Average

$49

Potential Upside: 3.3%

Price & Moving Averages

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

📘 Exelon Corporation (EXC) — Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Exelon Corporation is a leading energy delivery company focused primarily on regulated utility operations in the United States. Its core business centers on the transmission and distribution of electricity and natural gas to a diverse customer base encompassing residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal sectors. The company’s operations are organized around a collection of utility subsidiaries, each serving designated metropolitan and urban regions, including significant presences in major U.S. cities. Exelon’s day-to-day activities involve ensuring the reliability, safety, and resiliency of the electric grid and gas networks across all service territories, with a strong emphasis on customer service and infrastructure modernization. The company maintains a stable, regulated revenue base, providing essential utility services considered critical to local economies and communities.

💰 Revenue Model & Ecosystem

Exelon's revenue model is fundamentally built on regulated utility earnings, leveraging its approved service territories and rate structures. The primary source of income is the delivery of electricity and natural gas, with revenues stemming from usage-based billing to end customers under state-approved tariffs. The regulated nature of utilities ensures a degree of predictability and stability in revenue streams, as Exelon recovers costs and earns a regulated rate of return on infrastructure investments. Ancillary services include grid modernization, energy efficiency programs, advanced metering infrastructure, and storm response services. While the company does not rely on non-regulated generation or competitive supply, it benefits from allowed investments in infrastructure upgrades, new customer connections, and technology enhancements, fostering continuous engagement with both enterprise and consumer segments.

🧠 Competitive Advantages

  • Brand strength: Exelon’s longstanding reputation as a reliable, service-oriented utility enhances customer trust and stakeholder relationships across its regions.
  • Switching costs: The essential nature of utility services and the regulated local monopoly model create inherently high switching costs for customers, with limited alternatives for core delivery services.
  • Ecosystem stickiness: Integration of advanced grid technologies and customer-facing solutions (such as smart meters and energy management tools) deepens Exelon’s role in daily consumer and business needs.
  • Scale + supply chain leverage: Operating one of the largest utility portfolios in the U.S. enables cost efficiencies, operational resilience, and strategic infrastructure investment at a scale often unattainable for smaller peers.

🚀 Growth Drivers Ahead

Exelon is positioned to benefit from secular shifts in energy demand and policy-driven investment themes. The transition toward smarter, greener grids—including electrification initiatives, renewable energy integration, and distributed generation—creates multiple avenues for ongoing infrastructure investment and associated regulated returns. Regulatory support for grid hardening, reliability improvements, and resilience against extreme weather events drives capital deployment. Additionally, increasing customer expectations for digital engagement, reliability, and energy efficiency present further expansion opportunities through advanced metering, demand response, and customer-focused solutions. Finally, demographic and economic growth within Exelon’s service areas may underpin long-term incremental load growth and new customer connections.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

Key risk areas include evolving regulatory frameworks and the pace of policy changes affecting allowed returns and cost recovery. Political and regulatory uncertainty—such as rate case outcomes or shifting priorities regarding renewables—can impact capital planning and earnings visibility. Ongoing competitive pressures from distributed energy resources, private microgrids, and advances in energy storage or generation technologies pose potential long-term disruption risk. Margin pressures may arise from balancing large-scale infrastructure investment requirements with customer affordability considerations. Additionally, exposure to extreme weather events or cyber threats highlights the need for sustained investment in physical and digital resilience.

📊 Valuation Perspective

The market often values Exelon alongside other large, primarily regulated utilities, reflecting its earnings visibility and defensiveness. Relative to pure-play transmission and distribution peers, valuation may reflect sentiment around Exelon’s geographic exposure, regulatory environments, and perceived execution on investment-driven growth. The company is typically evaluated for stability and predictability, with valuation premiums or discounts driven by regulatory risk, growth outlook, and capital efficiency compared to similar-scale operators in the sector.

🔍 Investment Takeaway

Exelon offers investors a relatively stable and predictable exposure to the regulated utility sector, underpinned by essential infrastructure and a resilient, geographically diverse customer base. The bull case centers on its capability to capitalize on long-term grid modernization, policy-driven investment opportunities, and ongoing customer engagement enhancement. However, potential headwinds include regulatory uncertainties, potential disruption from emerging energy technologies, and the balance between infrastructure investment needs and affordability pressures. Overall, Exelon remains a core defensive utility holding with the potential for disciplined growth, yet warrants ongoing monitoring of sector-wide and company-specific risk factors.


⚠ AI-generated research summary — not financial advice. Validate using official filings & independent analysis.

Exelon delivered another strong year, beating FY2025 EPS expectations and showcasing top‑quartile reliability through extreme weather. Management raised medium‑term visibility with an expanded, transmission‑heavy $41.3B CapEx plan, robust load growth, and 2026 EPS guidance implying >6% growth versus last year’s midpoint. Regulatory progress was solid across several jurisdictions, though some recoveries were partial and key cases remain pending. Overall tone was confident, emphasizing disciplined execution, affordability, and a sizable pipeline of transmission opportunities supporting growth near the high end of the 5%–7% range through 2029.

Growth

  • Adjusted operating EPS of $2.77 for FY2025, above expectations
  • Since 2021, 7.4% annual EPS growth; 2025 rate base growth 8%
  • Projected EPS CAGR 5%–7% through 2029, aiming near top end
  • Transmission rate base CAGR >15% from 2025 through guidance period
  • Anticipated load growth >3% through 2029

Business Development

  • PJM reliability window recommended ~$1.2B of incremental EXC transmission investment, including a joint solution with NextEra
  • Additional transmission awards include Brandon Shores, Tri County, and MISO Tranche 2.1
  • Signed transmission security agreements (TSAs) supporting high‑density load projects (~$1B identified)
  • ComEd filed second multiyear grid plan (2028–2031); final order expected Dec 2026; next rate filing in 2027
  • Regulatory settlements: ACE NJ recovery of $54M at 9.6% ROE; DPL Gas DE $21.5M at 9.6% ROE; BGE and ComEd reconciliation orders finalized

Financials

  • FY2025 GAAP EPS $2.73; non‑GAAP EPS $2.77
  • Q4 2025 GAAP EPS $0.58; non‑GAAP EPS $0.59
  • 2026 operating EPS guidance: $2.81–$2.91 (midpoint growth >6% vs. 2025 midpoint)
  • Q1 2026 expected to be ~31% of full‑year guidance midpoint
  • FY2025 upside drivers: favorable weather/storm conditions and regulatory resolutions; ongoing cost discipline
  • Projected rate base addition of nearly $23B from 2025–2029; 4‑year annualized rate base growth ~7.9%

Capital & Funding

  • Planned CapEx of $41.3B over 2026–2029 (up $3.3B, +9% vs prior plan); nearly $10B in 2026
  • About 70% of the CapEx increase (~$2.3B) tied to transmission for reliability, capacity expansion, and aging network replacement
  • Plan diversified across seven jurisdictions (incl. FERC); no jurisdiction >30% and no single project >3% of plan
  • ROEs generally in the 9%–10% range; maintain strong balance sheet and disciplined funding
  • Executing major transmission projects: Brandon Shores and Tri County (in service 2028–2030), early spend on MISO Tranche 2.1 (ISD 2034)

Operations & Strategy

  • Industry‑leading reliability; utilities ranked 1, 2, 4, and 7 among peers (2024 benchmarks)
  • Winter Storm FERN: <1% customers experienced outages despite extreme conditions
  • Focus on affordability: cost growth below inflation, $60M customer relief fund, expanded energy efficiency and DER connections
  • TSAs structured to prioritize large loads while protecting existing customers
  • Active, multi‑jurisdictional strategy leveraging scale and 765kV expertise to capture transmission opportunities

Market & Outlook

  • Robust demand and large‑load pipeline; anticipated load growth >3% through 2029
  • Expect to remain active in future PJM and other ISO transmission windows
  • Policy momentum at federal and state levels to incent new generation and improve affordability
  • CRA study cited: utility‑generated power could save PJM customers $9.6–$20B in 2028–2029 and reduce outage risk by ~85%
  • 2029 outlook: ~8% rate base growth supports 5%–7% annualized EPS growth near high end of range

Risks Or Headwinds

  • Elevated wholesale supply prices and emerging reliability risks in PJM
  • Regulatory uncertainty: Pepco MD base rate case (final order expected Aug 2026), DPL DE electric case (interim rates expected July 9), ComEd multiyear grid plan (final order Dec 2026)
  • Partial BGE reconciliation recovery (~50%) required capital realignment
  • Weather variability and storm impacts
  • Execution and permitting risks on large transmission projects; FERC cost allocation outcomes (e.g., MISO Tranche 2.1) pending

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the EXC Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

Fundamentals Overview

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📊 AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"For the quarter ended December 31, 2025, EXC reported revenue of $5.41 billion, net income of $594 million, and EPS of $0.58. With a net profit margin of approximately 11%, the company exhibits moderate profitability. Free cash flow was recorded at $163 million, indicating capacity for operational investment and dividend payments. Year-over-year growth shows stability, but not aggressive expansion. The company's operating cash flow remains robust at nearly $2.3 billion, though significant capital expenditures of $2.1 billion weigh on free cash flow generation. Leveraging substantial net debt of nearly $49.69 billion and total liabilities of $87.77 billion against total equity of $28.80 billion suggests a leveraged position; however, equity strength does provide a cushion. Operationally, EXC’s ability to generate sufficient cash flow to manage dividends, $1.62 annually, indicates a commitment to returning shareholder value. Analyst sentiment reflects a positive consensus with a median price target of $51. The valuation reflects careful optimism given current financial leverage and return efficiencies."

Revenue Growth

Fair

Revenue growth is stable, not indicating rapid expansion. Key drivers remain solid for maintaining fiscal performance.

Profitability

Neutral

Profit margins around 11% denote steady profitability, supported by consistent EPS outcomes. Efficiency remains in line with historical trends.

Cash Flow Quality

Neutral

Cash flow from operations is strong, though high capex impacts free cash flow. Regular dividends indicate reliable cash generation.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Fair

High net debt illustrates notable leverage, but equity levels provide some balance. Financial resilience warrants careful monitoring.

Shareholder Returns

Positive

Consistent dividends and lack of major buybacks. Total shareholder return is focused on sustainable dividend yields.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Positive

Analyst sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a median price target of $51, suggesting reasonable market valuation within current financial metrics.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

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SEC Filings (EXC)

© 2026 Stock Market Info — Exelon Corporation (EXC) Financial Profile