Dominion Energy, Inc.

Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Market Cap

Dominion Energy, Inc. has a market capitalization of $54.83B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $62.38

β–Ό -1.33 (-2.09%)

Market Cap: 54.83B

NYSE Β· time unavailable

CEO: Robert Blue

Sector: Utilities

Industry: Regulated Electric

IPO Date: 1980-03-17

Website: https://www.dominionenergy.com

Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) - Company Information

Market Cap: 54.83B Β· Sector: Utilities

Dominion Energy, Inc. produces and distributes energy in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Dominion Energy Virginia, Gas Distribution, Dominion Energy South Carolina, and Contracted Assets. The Dominion Energy Virginia segment generates, transmits, and distributes regulated electricity to approximately 2.7 million residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental customers in Virginia and North Carolina. The Gas Distribution segment is involved in the regulated natural gas sales, transportation, gathering, storage, and distribution operations in Ohio, West Virginia, North Carolina, Utah, southwestern Wyoming, and southeastern Idaho that serve approximately 3.1 million residential, commercial and industrial customers. It also has nonregulated renewable natural gas facilities in operation. The Dominion Energy South Carolina segment generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 772,000 customers in the central, southern, and southwestern portions of South Carolina; and distributes natural gas to approximately 419,000 residential, commercial, and industrial customers in South Carolina. The Contracted Assets segment is involved in the nonregulated long-term contracted renewable electric generation and solar generation facility development operations; and gas transportation, LNG import, and storage operations, as well as in the liquefaction facility. As of December 31, 2021, the company's portfolio of assets included approximately 30.2 gigawatt of electric generating capacity; 10,700 miles of electric transmission lines; 78,000 miles of electric distribution lines; and 95,700 miles of gas distribution mains and related service facilities. The company was formerly known as Dominion Resources, Inc. Dominion Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

Analyst Sentiment

60%
Buy

Based on 31 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $65.29

Average target (based on 4 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$64

Median

$66

High

$69

Average

$66

Potential Upside: 6.0%

Price & Moving Averages

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πŸ“˜ Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

πŸ“˜ Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) β€” Investment Overview

🧩 Business Model Overview

Dominion Energy, Inc. is a leading regulated utility company providing electricity and natural gas to millions of customers across key regions of the United States. The company’s core operations encompass electric generation, transmission, and distribution, as well as natural gas distribution and storage services. Dominion serves a diverse base of residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental customers, positioning itself as a critical infrastructure provider in the energy supply chain. Its operational footprint spans multiple states, with a focus on stable, regulated utility markets and select competitive generation assets.

πŸ’° Revenue Model & Ecosystem

Dominion Energy’s revenue streams are largely derived from regulated utility services, which provide predictable cash flows due to rate-setting frameworks approved by state public utility commissions. The company earns income through electricity sales, natural gas distribution, transmission fees, and related energy services. Beyond traditional utilities, Dominion operates ancillary businesses, such as renewable power generation, energy infrastructure management, and customer services tailored to energy efficiency and sustainability. The blend of regulated and competitive segments allows the company to balance stability with measured opportunities for capital growth.

🧠 Competitive Advantages

  • Brand strength: Dominion Energy is a recognized, trusted provider of essential services with a longstanding reputation for reliability and operational excellence.
  • Switching costs: Utility customers typically face high switching costs due to limited alternative providers in regulated franchises, creating strong customer retention and predictable demand.
  • Ecosystem stickiness: Integrated service offerings and investments in grid modernization and renewable energy position Dominion as a comprehensive energy partner, increasing customer reliance and engagement.
  • Scale + supply chain leverage: Dominion’s size and asset base enable cost efficiencies, favorable procurement dynamics, and access to large-scale infrastructure investment opportunities that may be less accessible to smaller competitors.

πŸš€ Growth Drivers Ahead

Dominion’s strategic focus on grid modernization, renewable energy expansion, and decarbonization positions the company to benefit from multi-year structural trends. Capital investments in offshore wind, solar, battery storage, and natural gas infrastructure are anticipated to support long-term rate base growth, while public policy incentives and customer demand shifts toward cleaner energy present further upside. Upgrades to electric and gas infrastructure, digitalization of the grid, and selective portfolio optimization through asset sales or acquisitions serve as additional avenues for enhancement. Furthermore, the expanding scope of energy efficiency solutions and electrification in transportation and industry provide Dominion with continued opportunities to broaden its service offerings and customer base.

⚠ Risk Factors to Monitor

The highly regulated nature of Dominion’s business subjects earnings to changes in regulatory policy, rate decisions, and political sentiment, which can impact allowed returns and capital recovery timelines. Market competition from alternative energy providers or distributed generation could erode established market share over time, especially as technologies mature and barriers to entry decline. Cost inflation in construction and maintenance, combined with potential delays in large-scale projects, may pressure operating margins. Broader risks include exposure to commodity price fluctuations, evolving environmental mandates, and the pace of technological disruption within the utility sector.

πŸ“Š Valuation Perspective

The market typically values Dominion Energy relative to its utility peers based on the stability of its regulated cash flows, growth potential from renewable investments, and track record of operational execution. As a large-cap, regulated utility, Dominion commonly trades in line with other diversified peers, though sentiment can shift depending on perceived regulatory risk, clarity of growth initiatives, and the company’s balance between earnings stability and capital investment. When compared to pure-play renewable developers or more lightly regulated power producers, Dominion may be valued at either a premium for reliability or a discount based on growth rate expectations and strategic focus.

πŸ” Investment Takeaway

Dominion Energy offers investors exposure to essential infrastructure, characterized by stable earnings and ongoing modernization. The bullish view highlights the company’s regulated asset base, strategic movement toward renewables, and ability to harness evolving energy demand trends. On the cautious side, regulatory uncertainties, project execution risk, and the challenge of balancing growth with cost pressures present tangible headwinds. Overall, Dominion represents a balanced utility investment profile, attractive for those seeking defensiveness, modest growth, and rising sustainability exposure β€” contingent on effective portfolio management and favorable regulatory outcomes.


⚠ AI-generated research summary β€” not financial advice. Validate using official filings & independent analysis.

Dominion delivered 2025 results above guidance with improved credit metrics and reaffirmed 5%–7% long-term EPS growth. Management raised the five-year capex plan to ~$65B, anchored by Virginia load growth from data centers and supported by rider mechanisms, while outlining a balanced funding mix including modest, ongoing equity issuance. CVOW is over 70% complete with first power targeted by March and a stable $11.5B budget, though early-stage turbine installation experienced weather and a resolved blade incident. 2026 EPS guidance ex-45Z implies ~6% growth despite a double-outage year at Millstone. Outlook is constructive but tempered by financing costs, equity dilution, RNG 45Z uncertainty, and potential tariff/CVOW schedule risks.

Growth

  • 2025 operating EPS: $3.42; x-45Z: $3.33; GAAP EPS: $3.45, above guidance midpoints
  • 2026 operating EPS guidance x-45Z: $3.40–$3.60 (midpoint $3.50), up ~6.1% vs comparable 2025 midpoint ($3.30)
  • Total 2026 operating EPS midpoint including 45Z: $3.57
  • Long-term operating EPS CAGR reaffirmed at 5%–7% off 2025 midpoint; bias to upper half starting in 2028
  • Regulated rate base CAGR updated to ~10%
  • Weather-normal sales at Dominion Energy Virginia up 5.4% in 2025; all top 20 peak demand days occurred in last 14 months

Business Development

  • Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) >70% complete; first power targeted by March 2026
  • CVOW installation: 176 monopiles installed; >70% transition pieces installed; 3rd offshore substation in place; inter-array and export cables progressing
  • CVOW budget: $11.5B including $155M unused contingency
  • Wind turbine installation progressing; first turbine completed in January; early-stage learning and weather driving some delays; one blade damage incident remediated
  • Jones Act WTIV Charybdis in service; future day-rate assumptions reduced in outlook
  • Gas generation program advancing (2 CTs, 3 CCGTs); turbine slots secured; CCGTs slated in-service 2032–2034
  • Data center pipeline >48 GW in various contracting stages as of Dec 2025; +~1.4 GW since September
  • Large-load customer framework: minimum demand charges for β‰₯25 MW start Jan 2027; new ESAs include firm terms, exit fees, and enhanced collateral

Financials

  • 2025 operating EPS: $3.42; x-45Z: $3.33; GAAP EPS: $3.45
  • 2026 operating EPS guidance x-45Z: $3.40–$3.60 (midpoint $3.50); total including 45Z midpoint $3.57
  • Moody’s CFO pre-WC/debt ~100 bps above downgrade threshold; highest since 2012
  • Dividend policy unchanged; will revisit DPS growth when payout aligns with peers; 2026 credit and dividend guidance consistent with prior framework
  • RNG 45Z: awaiting final rules; guidance updated for lower credit scoring and production; disclosed separately and sunsets after 2029

Capital & Funding

  • Five-year capex plan raised from ~$50B to ~$65B (~30% increase); >90% at Dominion Energy Virginia
  • Nearly two-thirds of capex eligible for rider recovery (subject to approval)
  • Remaining CVOW spend <2% of updated capex plan
  • Funding mix (2026–2030): ~60% operating cash flow; ~10% hybrids; ~10% common equity via DRIP/ATM; ~20% long/short-term debt
  • Programmatic equity issuance expected at ~2.5% of market cap per year to support growth and maintain credit metrics
  • Credit rating targets reaffirmed; hybrid issuance remains below rating agency limits

Operations & Strategy

  • Focus priorities unchanged: meet financial commitments, execute CVOW milestones, achieve constructive regulatory outcomes
  • Safety records improved: OSHA recordable rate 0.26 and lowest LDRD on record
  • Customer affordability emphasis: DEV/DESC average rates 4%/12% below U.S. average; expected residential rate CAGR ~2.6% (DEV) and ~2.8% (DESC)
  • Cost discipline: ongoing O&M efficiency initiatives; strong industry efficiency per recent FERC data
  • Balanced portfolio growth across T&D and generation to serve accelerating load (notably data centers)
  • Millstone nuclear double-outage year in 2026; refueling cycles typically reduce EPS by $0.08–$0.10 in such years

Market & Outlook

  • Accelerating demand led by data centers in the world’s largest market (Virginia)
  • Constructive regulatory mechanisms (riders, large-load provisions) expected to support recovery and protect smaller customers
  • Long-term EPS growth targeted at 5%–7% with improving bias from 2028, contingent on execution and stable financing markets
  • Typical residential bills expected to rise modestly and remain competitive vs national averages

Risks Or Headwinds

  • RNG 45Z regulatory uncertainty; lower production and credit outcomes than earlier assumptions
  • Higher financing costs and increased parent-level interest expense
  • Equity dilution (~250 bps EPS headwind) from ~2.5% annual issuance to fund capex
  • CVOW schedule/weather risks; each quarter of turbine-installation delay beyond current contingency could add ~$150–$200M (portion shareable with partner)
  • Tariff exposure (including steel and country-specific); monitoring implications of recent Supreme Court ruling
  • Execution and permitting risk for long-lead gas generation projects; cash flows begin post in-service in early 2030s
  • Regulatory approvals needed for cost recovery and project execution

Sentiment: MIXED

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the D Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

Fundamentals Overview

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πŸ“Š AI Financial Analysis

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Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"Dominion Energy's Q4 2025 results show revenue of $4.09 billion and net income of $586 million, with an EPS of $0.65. The net margin stands at approximately 14.3%. Operating cash flow was $987 million; however, significant capital expenditures resulted in negative free cash flow of $2.4 billion. Year-over-year revenue growth remains modest, reflecting stable energy sector operations. Profitability is well-positioned with a consistent net margin, though high capital investment burdens cash flow. Leverage is considerable, with net debt at $48.69 billion and a debt-to-equity ratio reflecting substantial use of financial leverage. Dividends provide consistent returns, with a strong payout history, although high capital needs have pressed liquidity, prompting new equity issuance. Analysts have set a consensus price target of $66, indicating stable but cautious market expectations. Overall, Dominion's valuation points to a stable utility sector investment with moderate growth potential driven by strategic capital expenditures, albeit the current stress on free cash flow and leverage warrants careful monitoring."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

The revenue growth is stable but modest, characteristic of a mature utility business, driven by consistent operational performance.

Profitability

Positive

Net margin is strong at 14.3%, with steady EPS, indicating effective cost management despite high capital needs.

Cash Flow Quality

Caution

Negative free cash flow due to substantial capex limits cash flexibility, though dividends remain covered. Requires balancing with future cash generation.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Fair

High net debt relative to equity suggests leverage risk. Financial resilience depends on managing the debt load.

Shareholder Returns

Neutral

Dividends are strong and consistent, but stock repurchases are absent due to liquidity needs, impacting total shareholder return.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Neutral

Stable consensus valuation reflects balanced market sentiment. No strong buy or sell pressures, highlighting a stable investment outlook.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

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SEC Filings (D)

Β© 2026 Stock Market Info β€” Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Financial Profile