Sempra

Sempra (SRE) Market Cap

Sempra has a market capitalization of $61.42B.

Financials based on reported quarter end 2025-12-31

Price: $94.02

โ–ผ -1.77 (-1.85%)

Market Cap: 61.42B

NYSE ยท time unavailable

CEO: Jeffrey Walker Martin

Sector: Utilities

Industry: Diversified Utilities

IPO Date: 1998-06-29

Website: https://www.sempra.com

Sempra (SRE) - Company Information

Market Cap: 61.42B ยท Sector: Utilities

Sempra operates as an energy-services holding company in the United States and internationally. The company's San Diego Gas & Electric Company segment provides electric services; and supplies natural gas. It offers electric services to approximately 3.6 million population and natural gas services to approximately 3.3 million population that covers 4,100 square miles. Its Southern California Gas Company segment owns and operates a natural gas distribution, transmission, and storage system that supplies natural gas to a population of approximately 22 million covering an area of 24,000 square miles. The company's Sempra Texas Utilities segment engages in the regulated transmission and distribution of electricity serving 3.8 million homes and businesses, and operation of 140,000 miles of transmission and distribution lines. Its transmission system includes 18,249 circuit miles of transmission lines, a total of 1,174 transmission and distribution substations, and interconnection to 130 third-party generation facilities totaling 45,403 megawatts. The company was formerly known as Sempra Energy and changed its name to Sempra in July 2021. Sempra was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

Analyst Sentiment

73%
Strong Buy

Based on 19 ratings

Analyst 1Y Forecast: $96.52

Average target (based on 4 sources)

Consensus Price Target

Low

$89

Median

$101

High

$112

Average

$102

Potential Upside: 8.2%

Price & Moving Averages

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๐Ÿ“˜ Full Research Report

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AI-Generated Research: This report is for informational purposes only.

๐Ÿ“˜ Sempra (SRE) โ€” Investment Overview

๐Ÿงฉ Business Model Overview

Sempra is a North American energy infrastructure company, focused on the development, operation, and ownership of electric and natural gas utilities, as well as midstream energy infrastructure. Its primary subsidiaries serve millions of electric and gas customers in California, Texas, and Mexico, positioning Sempra as a utility holding company with regulated and contracted revenue streams. The companyโ€™s businesses span regulated utilities, energy transmission and distribution, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure, catering to both residential and commercial markets. Sempra maintains a presence in some of the most populous and economically vital regions, providing essential services that underpin everyday life and commerce.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Revenue Model & Ecosystem

Sempra derives revenue primarily through regulated utility operations, where earnings are anchored by authorized rates set by regulatory bodies in exchange for delivering electric and natural gas services. This model generates relatively stable, predictable cash flows, insulated from economic cycles. Complementing its utility base, the company owns and operates contracted energy infrastructure such as LNG export facilities and natural gas pipelines, earning long-term, fee-based income from enterprise clients, including energy companies and industrial users. This combination of regulated and contracted revenue streams creates a balanced ecosystem, spanning residential, commercial, and large-scale energy buyers, with a focus on both domestic and international markets.

๐Ÿง  Competitive Advantages

  • Brand strength: Sempra benefits from a longstanding reputation as a reliable energy partner, with deep-rooted relationships in regulated markets.
  • Switching costs: The capital-intensive nature of utility infrastructure and strict regulatory oversight create high barriers to entry, making it difficult for new competitors to displace Sempraโ€™s entrenched utility footprints.
  • Ecosystem stickiness: Integration across the energy value chainโ€”from power and gas delivery to LNG exportsโ€”enables Sempra to offer customers a one-stop solution, fostering customer retention and cross-business synergies.
  • Scale + supply chain leverage: Sempraโ€™s operational scale across multiple states and its experience in developing complex energy infrastructure offer procurement advantages, operating efficiencies, and bargaining power with suppliers and regulators.

๐Ÿš€ Growth Drivers Ahead

Sempra is positioned to benefit from several secular trends. The ongoing transition to cleaner energy sources drives investments in grid modernization, renewable energy integration, and energy storageโ€”all areas where Sempraโ€™s regulated utilities seek approved capital deployment. The growing demand for LNG, particularly from Asia and Europe, underscores expansion opportunities for Sempraโ€™s LNG export infrastructure. Additionally, population and economic growth in its core Texas and California markets underpin long-term demand for utility services. Strategic partnerships, infrastructure expansions, and technological innovation in energy delivery and decarbonization further expand the companyโ€™s addressable market and create avenues for sustained growth.

โš  Risk Factors to Monitor

Sempra operates within a heavily regulated industry, making it sensitive to policy changes, rate case outcomes, and evolving environmental standards. Regulatory delays or unfavorable rulings could impact returns on major capital projects. The company faces competitive risks from distributed energy resources, potential disruptions due to the rapid adoption of renewables, and the risk of margin pressure from shifting regulatory priorities or input cost volatility. Operational risks, such as weather events, safety incidents, and execution challenges in large infrastructure projects, present additional uncertainties.

๐Ÿ“Š Valuation Perspective

Market participants often value Sempra relative to other regulated utility and energy infrastructure providers, factoring in the stability of its earnings profile and its exposure to growth projects, particularly in LNG. The companyโ€™s blend of regulated and contracted assets may command a premium to pure-play utilities due to greater growth optionality, but may also reflect a conservative stance given regulatory and execution risks. Sempraโ€™s valuation is generally influenced by perceived defensiveness, capital allocation discipline, and the visible pipeline of approved infrastructure investments.

๐Ÿ” Investment Takeaway

Sempra offers investors an opportunity to participate in steady, regulated utility cash flows augmented by higher growth infrastructure projects. The companyโ€™s diversified asset base, exposure to secular growth trends, and strong execution track record contribute to an attractive investment profile for income-seeking and growth-oriented investors alike. However, investors must weigh regulatory complexity, potential for project delays, and evolving competitive dynamics as core risks. Overall, Sempra represents a blend of stability and growth, best suited for those comfortable navigating the nuances of the utility sector and long-term energy transition themes.


โš  AI-generated research summary โ€” not financial advice. Validate using official filings & independent analysis.

Sempraโ€™s Q4โ€™25 update shows strong execution in adjusted EPS (full-year $4.69, high end of guidance) alongside a record utility-focused capital program. The key driver is a $65B 2026โ€“2030 plan with 11% annualized rate-base growth, heavily tilted to Oncor transmission (nearly 70% of Oncor CapEx dedicated to transmission). Management emphasized higher certainty of future cash flows, enabling greater transparency: 2026E adjusted EPS $4.80โ€“$5.30, 2027E $5.10โ€“$5.70, and a 2030E EPS range of $6.70โ€“$7.50 (upper-end potential supported by $9B Oncor incremental opportunities that are outside the base plan). Multiple milestones reduce near-term uncertainty: Oncor base-rate settlement with a final order expected in H1โ€™26, California wildfire framework via SB 254, and LNG execution (Port Arthur LNG Phase 2 FID; ECA Phase 1 mechanical completion). Financing risk appears controlled with >$50B from operating cash flows/transaction proceeds, eliminating common equity issuance for the base plan. Main caveats: incremental upside depends on ERCOT/PUC approvals and 2028 California GRC execution.

AI IconGrowth Catalysts

  • Oncor transmission build-out continuing; Oncor expected to build more than half of ERCOTโ€™s $32Bโ€“$35B required transmission investment
  • Oncor base capital plan includes only projects with existing regulatory approvals and the Permian plan; confidence increases as projects clear ERCOT/PUC steps
  • FID declared on Port Arthur LNG Phase 2; mechanical completion reached at ECA LNG Phase 1 (Sempra Infrastructure)
  • Port Arthur LNG Phase 1 COD expected at or near 2027
  • California: SB 254 strengthens long-term stability of wildfire fund and calls for further wildfire risk reductions via natural catastrophe resiliency study (published April 2026)

Business Development

  • Sale announced (September 2025): sell 45% stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners for $10B (implies over $22B equity value); expected close in 2026 subject to conditions
  • Agreement entered (December 2025): Sempra Infrastructure Partners to sell Ecogas for ~$500M (USD equivalent); implied 12.7x EBITDA multiple; expected close in 2026 subject to conditions
  • Named regulatory/legal: Oncor comprehensive settlement in base rate review; final order expected first half of 2026

AI IconFinancial Highlights

  • Q4 2025 GAAP: $352M / $0.54 EPS (vs Q4 2024: $665M / $1.04)
  • Q4 2025 adjusted: $841M / $1.28 EPS (vs Q4 2024 adjusted: $960M / $1.50)
  • Full-year 2025 GAAP: $1.796B / $2.75 EPS (vs 2024: $2.081B / $4.42)
  • Full-year 2025 adjusted: $3.066B / $4.69 EPS; came in at high end of prior guidance range (vs 2024 adjusted: $2.969B / $4.65)
  • Sempra Texas: +$80M higher equity earnings attributed to UTM, higher invested capital, and customer growth (partially offset by higher interest expense, depreciation, and O&M)
  • Sempra California: +$213M primarily from lower income tax benefits and higher net interest expense
  • Sempra California: +$148M higher CPUC-based operating margin net of operating expenses, regulatory disallowances, and lower cost of capital
  • Sempra Infrastructure: +$123M primarily from higher asset and supply optimization, higher transportation results, and lower depreciation on assets held for sale (partially offset by lower income tax benefits)
  • Sempra parent: +$41M of higher losses driven by higher net interest expense (partially offset by higher income tax benefit, higher investment gains, and other)
  • After closing SIP transaction: target regulated earnings to be ~95% of business in 2027 and beyond

AI IconCapital Funding

  • New record capital plan: $65B for 2026โ€“2030 (increase of $9B vs last year)
  • Capital allocation: 95% of overall capital program targeted for utility investments
  • Funding: over $50B from operational cash flows and expected transaction proceeds; eliminated need for new common equity issuances for base capital plan
  • Sempra Infrastructure Partners transaction: additional $2.2B of cash generated beyond 2030 planning period expected
  • Post-transaction residual stake: retain 25% in Sempra Infrastructure Partners; implied equity value ~ $5.5B
  • Balance sheet/credit metrics: after closing, targeting at least 50โ€“150 bps of cushion on average above FFO-to-debt thresholds over plan period
  • Dividend: target annual dividend growth of 2% to 4% over the plan period

AI IconStrategy & Ops

  • 2025 value creation initiatives: prioritize utility investments with improved returns; highlight LNG franchise value; sell non-core Mexico assets; execute Fit for 2025 cost reductions (workforce modernization); elevate community safety/operational excellence
  • Oncor base rate review settlement: improvements to authorized equity layer, ROE, and cost of debt; expected to align cost structure to current environment and improve credit metrics
  • California execution: working on improving public policy for SB 254 follow-on efforts; engaged in California legislative/strategy updates
  • Planning framework: 2028 GRC in California expected filing in May (for 2030 visibility); Texas settlement expected finalized this spring (execution risk reduction)

AI IconMarket Outlook

  • 2026 full-year adjusted EPS guidance affirmed: $4.80 to $5.30
  • 2027 full-year adjusted EPS guidance introduced: $5.10 to $5.70
  • 2030 EPS outlook issued: $6.70 to $7.50
  • Port Arthur LNG Phase 1: COD at or near 2027
  • Oncor final order expected first half of 2026
  • California natural catastrophe resiliency study (for SB 254 follow-on): to be published April 2026
  • California 2028 GRC filing timing: expected in May

AI IconRisks & Headwinds

  • Execution/regulatory timing risk remains for: Oncor settlement approval (PUCT; final order H1 2026) and SIP transaction closing conditions (expected 2026)
  • Oncor incremental opportunity (~$9B) is described as outside the base plan; realization tied to ERCOT/PUC approvals and milestone filings (e.g., SRP filing targeted in 2027)
  • California: 2026โ€“2027 earnings reflect approved attrition from last GRC as the mix shifts; continued dependence on regulatory basket items pursued through 2027
  • Credit/rating agency risk: downgrade-threshold management referenced; cushion targeting 50โ€“150 bps over FFO-to-debt thresholds
  • LNG project risk: COD timing and schedule assumptions (Port Arthur LNG Phase 2 on schedule; COD expectations not explicitly quantified beyond Phase 1 at/near 2027)

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Note: This summary was synthesized by AI from the SRE Q4 2025 earnings transcript. Financial data is complex; please verify all metrics against official SEC filings before making investment decisions.

Fundamentals Overview

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๐Ÿ“Š AI Financial Analysis

Powered by StockMarketInfo
Earnings Data: Q Ending 2025-12-31

"For the quarter ended December 31, 2025, SRE reported revenue of $3.72 billion and net income of $484 million, resulting in an EPS of $0.95. The company achieved a net margin of approximately 13%, and free cash flow aligned with operating cash flow at $486 million. Year-over-year dynamics highlight revenue stability with focus on enhancing profitability. SRE has optimized its operations to sustain robust profitability, reflected in its substantial net margin and stable EPS growth. Notably, SRE generated solid free cash flow, facilitating consistent dividend payments, underscored by four quarterly payments of $0.645. The absence of capital expenditure indicates a strategic decision to prioritize cash conservation over expansion. The company's leverage remains pronounced with net debt at $35.02 billion against equity of $41.99 billion, suggesting moderate financial resilience. In terms of shareholder returns, SRE remains committed to distributions and repurchases, highlighted by a $57 million buyback. Analyst sentiment remains cautiously optimistic with a consensus price target of $100.88. While valuation metrics are unavailable, an understanding of market expectations and historical performance suggests current pricing aligns with projected growth prospects and profitability sustenance."

Revenue Growth

Neutral

Revenue growth is stable but lacks significant expansion. Strategies may focus on maintaining current levels.

Profitability

Good

Substantial net margins and consistent EPS signal strong operational efficiency and robust profitability.

Cash Flow Quality

Positive

Stable free cash flow supports dividends and buybacks, despite a lack of capital investment activities.

Leverage & Balance Sheet

Fair

High net debt relative to equity presents moderate risk, though financial management appears stable.

Shareholder Returns

Good

Consistent dividends and an active buyback program enhance total return to shareholders.

Analyst Sentiment & Valuation

Positive

Analyst targets are favorable, indicating moderate optimism; however, valuation metrics are not provided.

Disclaimer:This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only. Accuracy is not guaranteed and this does not constitute financial advice.

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SEC Filings (SRE)

ยฉ 2026 Stock Market Info โ€” Sempra (SRE) Financial Profile